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Freshpet Inc (FRPT)



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Upturn Advisory Summary
08/29/2025: FRPT (2-star) is currently NOT-A-BUY. Pass it for now.
1 Year Target Price $88.69
1 Year Target Price $88.69
12 | Strong Buy |
2 | Buy |
5 | Hold |
0 | Sell |
0 | Strong Sell |
Analysis of Past Performance
Type Stock | Historic Profit 16.23% | Avg. Invested days 44 | Today’s Advisory PASS |
Upturn Star Rating ![]() ![]() | Upturn Advisory Performance ![]() | Stock Returns Performance ![]() |
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Key Highlights
Company Size Mid-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 2.72B USD | Price to earnings Ratio 84.58 | 1Y Target Price 88.69 |
Price to earnings Ratio 84.58 | 1Y Target Price 88.69 | ||
Volume (30-day avg) 19 | Beta 1.77 | 52 Weeks Range 55.75 - 164.07 | Updated Date 08/30/2025 |
52 Weeks Range 55.75 - 164.07 | Updated Date 08/30/2025 | ||
Dividends yield (FY) - | Basic EPS (TTM) 0.66 |
Analyzing Revenue: Products, Geography and Growth
Revenue by Products
Product revenue - Year on Year
Earnings Date
Report Date 2025-08-04 | When - | Estimate 0.11 | Actual 0.33 |
Profitability
Profit Margin 3.23% | Operating Margin (TTM) 6.81% |
Management Effectiveness
Return on Assets (TTM) 2.19% | Return on Equity (TTM) 3.26% |
Valuation
Trailing PE 84.58 | Forward PE 54.64 | Enterprise Value 2974359510 | Price to Sales(TTM) 2.61 |
Enterprise Value 2974359510 | Price to Sales(TTM) 2.61 | ||
Enterprise Value to Revenue 2.85 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA 22.78 | Shares Outstanding 48779900 | Shares Floating 47727203 |
Shares Outstanding 48779900 | Shares Floating 47727203 | ||
Percent Insiders 2.15 | Percent Institutions 119.55 |
Upturn AI SWOT
Freshpet Inc

Company Overview
History and Background
Freshpet Inc. was founded in 2006 with the mission of providing fresh, refrigerated pet food. It pioneered the refrigerated pet food category and has grown significantly through expansion of its distribution network and product line.
Core Business Areas
- Refrigerated Pet Food: The core business is the development, manufacturing, and marketing of refrigerated pet food products for dogs and cats. This segment includes various recipes and formats like rolls, bags, and treats.
Leadership and Structure
Billy Cyr is the current CEO. The company has a traditional corporate structure with departments for marketing, sales, operations, and finance.
Top Products and Market Share
Key Offerings
- Freshpet Dog Food Rolls: Refrigerated dog food in a roll format, often made with ingredients like chicken, beef, and vegetables. Freshpet holds a significant market share in the refrigerated pet food category, estimated at over 60%. Competitors include JustFoodForDogs and NomNomNow, although they operate with different business models (e.g., subscription services).
- Freshpet Vital: A line of grain-free refrigerated pet food with a focus on natural ingredients. While specific revenue figures for this product aren't public, it contributes significantly to overall sales. Competitors include other premium pet food brands offering grain-free options, such as Blue Buffalo and Wellness.
- Freshpet Cat Food: Refrigerated cat food recipes. This sector contributes to the Freshpet's revenue. Key competitors are same as the dog food, though there is additional competition from wet canned foods by Royal Canin
Market Dynamics
Industry Overview
The pet food industry is experiencing growth, particularly in the premium and natural segments. Pet owners are increasingly seeking higher-quality, healthier food options for their pets, driving demand for fresh and refrigerated products.
Positioning
Freshpet is a leader in the refrigerated pet food category, differentiating itself through its fresh, natural ingredients and unique distribution model with branded refrigerators in retail stores. Its competitive advantage lies in its established brand recognition and refrigerated supply chain.
Total Addressable Market (TAM)
The total US pet food market is estimated to be worth over $40 billion. Freshpet is targeting the premium segment within this market, which is experiencing faster growth than the overall market. Their refrigerated segment has significant room for growth relative to traditional dry kibble.
Upturn SWOT Analysis
Strengths
- Strong brand recognition in the refrigerated pet food category
- Established refrigerated distribution network
- High-quality, natural ingredients
- Strong relationships with retailers
- Innovative product development
Weaknesses
- High production and distribution costs due to refrigeration
- Reliance on a relatively small number of key retailers
- Susceptibility to supply chain disruptions
- Pricing premium might hinder mass market adoption
- Marketing expenses are high as portion of revenue.
Opportunities
- Expanding distribution to new retailers and channels
- Developing new products and recipes
- Increasing brand awareness through marketing and advertising
- Capitalizing on the growing trend of pet humanization
- International expansion
Threats
- Competition from other premium pet food brands
- Rising ingredient costs
- Changes in consumer preferences
- Economic downturn affecting consumer spending
- Supply chain issues
Competitors and Market Share
Key Competitors
- JMIA
- BLUE
- CHWY
- TSN
Competitive Landscape
Freshpet's advantage lies in its refrigerated distribution network and brand recognition. However, it faces competition from established players in the broader pet food market with greater resources and brand awareness. JMIA and BLUE are competitors on the general pet food market while FRPT focuses on the refrigerated niche.
Growth Trajectory and Initiatives
Historical Growth: Experienced strong revenue growth over the past several years, driven by increased distribution and product innovation.
Future Projections: Analysts project continued revenue growth, driven by increasing demand for fresh pet food. Profitability improvements are also expected as the company achieves greater scale.
Recent Initiatives: Expansion of manufacturing facilities, increased marketing spending, and new product launches.
Summary
Freshpet is a growing company in the premium pet food market with a strong brand and distribution network. High costs and the competitive landscape could be a threat. Continued expansion and improved profitability are crucial for sustained success. FRPT should look out for supply chain issues and pricing sensitivity.
Peer Comparison
Sources and Disclaimers
Data Sources:
- Company SEC Filings
- Analyst Reports
- Industry Research Reports
- Company Website
Disclaimers:
This analysis is based on publicly available information and analyst estimates. Actual results may vary. This is not financial advice. Invest at your own risk.
AI Summarization is directionally correct and might not be accurate.
Summarized information shown could be a few years old and not current.
Fundamental Rating based on AI could be based on old data.
AI-generated summaries may have inaccuracies (hallucinations). Please verify the information before taking action.
About Freshpet Inc
Exchange NASDAQ | Headquaters Bedminster, NJ, United States | ||
IPO Launch date 2014-11-07 | CEO & Executive Director Mr. William B. Cyr | ||
Sector Consumer Defensive | Industry Packaged Foods | Full time employees 1296 | Website https://www.freshpet.com |
Full time employees 1296 | Website https://www.freshpet.com |
Freshpet, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, manufactures, distributes, and markets natural fresh meals and treats for dogs and cats in the United States, Canada, and Europe. It offers dog food, cat food, and dog treats under the Freshpet brand name; and fresh treats under the Dognation and Dog Joy brand names. The company sells its products through a network of company-owned branded refrigerators, the Freshpet Fridges, as well as through various classes of retail, including grocery, mass, club, pet specialty, and natural, as well as online. The company was incorporated in 2004 and is headquartered in Bedminster, New Jersey.

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