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Guess? Inc. (GES)

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Upturn Advisory Summary
01/09/2026: GES (1-star) has a low Upturn Star Rating. Not recommended to BUY.
1 Year Target Price $16.75
1 Year Target Price $16.75
| 1 | Strong Buy |
| 0 | Buy |
| 2 | Hold |
| 0 | Sell |
| 0 | Strong Sell |
Analysis of Past Performance
Type Stock | Historic Profit 25.6% | Avg. Invested days 52 | Today’s Advisory WEAK BUY |
Upturn Star Rating ![]() | Upturn Advisory Performance | Stock Returns Performance |
Key Highlights
Company Size Small-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 875.11M USD | Price to earnings Ratio 14.47 | 1Y Target Price 16.75 |
Price to earnings Ratio 14.47 | 1Y Target Price 16.75 | ||
Volume (30-day avg) 3 | Beta 1.01 | 52 Weeks Range 7.80 - 16.92 | Updated Date 01/9/2026 |
52 Weeks Range 7.80 - 16.92 | Updated Date 01/9/2026 | ||
Dividends yield (FY) 6.70% | Basic EPS (TTM) 1.16 |
Analyzing Revenue: Products, Geography and Growth
Revenue by Products
Product revenue - Year on Year
Revenue by Geography
Geography revenue - Year on Year
Earnings Date
Report Date - | When - | Estimate - | Actual - |
Profitability
Profit Margin 2.56% | Operating Margin (TTM) 3.41% |
Management Effectiveness
Return on Assets (TTM) 2.69% | Return on Equity (TTM) 17.17% |
Valuation
Trailing PE 14.47 | Forward PE 10.5 | Enterprise Value 2371099863 | Price to Sales(TTM) 0.28 |
Enterprise Value 2371099863 | Price to Sales(TTM) 0.28 | ||
Enterprise Value to Revenue 0.75 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA 12.2 | Shares Outstanding 52151599 | Shares Floating 26135252 |
Shares Outstanding 52151599 | Shares Floating 26135252 | ||
Percent Insiders 41.52 | Percent Institutions 56.42 |
Upturn AI SWOT
Guess? Inc.

Company Overview
History and Background
Guess? Inc. was founded in 1981 by brothers Georges and Armand Marciano, who moved from Marseille, France, to Los Angeles. They revolutionized the denim industry with their stonewashed, form-fitting jeans. Key milestones include their iconic advertising campaigns, expansion into various apparel and accessory categories, and global retail presence.
Core Business Areas
- Apparel: Design, marketing, and distribution of fashion apparel for men, women, and children. This includes jeans, tops, dresses, outerwear, and more.
- Accessories: Design, marketing, and distribution of fashion accessories. This includes watches, jewelry, handbags, wallets, shoes, and eyewear.
- Licensing: Licensing of the Guess? brand name and trademarks to third parties for use on various products, such as fragrances, eyewear, and other fashion items.
Leadership and Structure
Guess? Inc. is led by a management team with Paul R. Lawrence serving as the Interim Chief Executive Officer. The company operates through a global network of directly operated stores, wholesale partners, and e-commerce channels.
Top Products and Market Share
Key Offerings
- Jeans: Iconic stonewashed and fashion-forward denim jeans for men and women. Competitors include Levi Strauss & Co., True Religion, and Calvin Klein Jeans. Market share data for specific product lines is not publicly disclosed by the company but is a significant contributor to revenue.
- Handbags: Fashionable handbags and wallets for women, featuring the Guess? logo and trendy designs. Competitors include Michael Kors, Coach, and Kate Spade. Revenue contribution is substantial, but specific figures are not detailed.
- Apparel (Tops, Dresses, Outerwear): A wide range of contemporary apparel beyond denim. Competitors are numerous in the fast-fashion and contemporary apparel markets, including Zara, H&M, and Abercrombie & Fitch.
Market Dynamics
Industry Overview
The global apparel and accessories market is highly competitive and influenced by fashion trends, consumer spending, and economic conditions. The industry is increasingly digital, with a growing emphasis on e-commerce and social media marketing. Sustainability and ethical sourcing are also becoming more important to consumers.
Positioning
Guess? Inc. positions itself as a contemporary fashion brand offering trend-driven apparel and accessories at accessible luxury price points. Its strong brand recognition, particularly in denim and handbags, and global retail footprint are key competitive advantages.
Total Addressable Market (TAM)
The global apparel and accessories market is valued in the hundreds of billions of dollars. Guess? Inc. operates within the segments of denim, contemporary apparel, and fashion accessories. While a precise TAM for Guess? Inc.'s niche is hard to define, the overall market is vast. Guess? Inc. holds a significant, but not dominant, share within its target market segments.
Upturn SWOT Analysis
Strengths
- Strong brand recognition and heritage, especially in denim.
- Global retail presence and established distribution channels.
- Iconic advertising campaigns that build brand equity.
- Diversified product offerings across apparel and accessories.
- Experienced management team.
Weaknesses
- Dependence on fashion trends, which can lead to volatility.
- Intense competition in the fast-fashion and contemporary apparel segments.
- Past financial performance has shown fluctuations.
- Reliance on wholesale partners can impact margins.
Opportunities
- Expansion in emerging markets with growing middle classes.
- Growth of e-commerce and digital marketing strategies.
- Leveraging social media influencers and digital content.
- Exploring sustainability initiatives to appeal to conscious consumers.
- Potential for strategic partnerships or collaborations.
Threats
- Economic downturns impacting consumer discretionary spending.
- Increasing competition from online-only retailers and direct-to-consumer brands.
- Fluctuations in raw material costs (e.g., cotton for denim).
- Changes in consumer preferences and fashion cycles.
- Geopolitical risks and trade policy changes.
Competitors and Market Share
Key Competitors
- Levi Strauss & Co. (LEVI)
- Kontoor Brands, Inc. (KTB)
- PVH Corp. (PVH)
- Capri Holdings Limited (CPRI)
- G-III Apparel Group, Ltd. (GIII)
Competitive Landscape
Guess? Inc. competes in a crowded market. Its advantages lie in its established brand equity, particularly in denim, and its global reach. However, it faces strong competition from heritage denim brands, fast-fashion giants, and contemporary luxury labels. Its ability to adapt to rapidly changing fashion trends and effectively leverage digital channels is crucial for maintaining its competitive edge.
Growth Trajectory and Initiatives
Historical Growth: Guess? Inc. has experienced periods of strong growth followed by more challenging times, reflecting the cyclical nature of the fashion industry and its own strategic decisions. Recent performance indicates a rebound in profitability and a stable revenue base.
Future Projections: Analyst projections for Guess? Inc. often vary. Generally, they anticipate continued focus on core product categories, digital growth, and international expansion. Profitability is expected to be maintained or improve, contingent on market conditions and effective execution of strategic initiatives.
Recent Initiatives: Recent initiatives likely include strengthening its e-commerce capabilities, optimizing its retail store portfolio, investing in marketing and brand building, and potentially exploring product line extensions or partnerships.
Summary
Guess? Inc. is a well-established fashion retailer with strong brand recognition, particularly in denim and accessories. The company has demonstrated a recent return to profitability after a period of losses, indicating improved operational performance. Its global presence and diverse product offerings are strengths, but it faces intense competition and the inherent volatility of the fashion industry. Key for its future success will be continued digital transformation, strategic international expansion, and adapting to evolving consumer preferences for sustainability.
Similar Stocks
Sources and Disclaimers
Data Sources:
- Guess? Inc. Official Investor Relations Website (SEC Filings - 10-K, 10-Q)
- Financial Data Providers (e.g., Yahoo Finance, Bloomberg - for market share estimations and competitor data)
- Industry Analysis Reports
Disclaimers:
This analysis is based on publicly available information and aims to provide a structured overview. Market share percentages are estimations and may not reflect precise figures. Financial data is subject to change and reporting updates. This information is for informational purposes only and not intended as financial advice. Investors should conduct their own due diligence.
AI Summarization is directionally correct and might not be accurate.
Summarized information shown could be a few years old and not current.
Fundamental Rating based on AI could be based on old data.
AI-generated summaries may have inaccuracies (hallucinations). Please verify the information before taking action.
About Guess? Inc.
Exchange NYSE | Headquaters - | ||
IPO Launch date 1996-08-07 | CEO & Director Mr. Carlos E. Alberini | ||
Sector Consumer Cyclical | Industry Apparel Retail | Full time employees 13000 | Website https://guess.in |
Full time employees 13000 | Website https://guess.in | ||
Guess", Inc. designs, markets, distributes, and licenses lifestyle collections of apparel and accessories for men, women, and children. It operates through five segments: Americas Retail, Americas Wholesale, Europe, Asia, and Licensing. The company's clothing collection includes jeans, pants, skirts, dresses, shorts, blouses, shirts, jackets, activewear, knitwear, and intimate apparel. It also grants licenses to design, manufacture, and distribute various products that complement its apparel lines, such as eyewear, watches, handbags, footwear, kids' and infants' apparel, fragrance, jewelry, and other fashion accessories, as well as to wholesale partners to operate and sell products through licensed retail stores. The company markets its products under the GUESS, GUESS", GUESS U.S.A., GUESS Jeans, GUESS" and Triangle Design, MARCIANO, Question Mark and Triangle Design, a stylized G and a stylized M, GUESS Kids, Baby GUESS, YES, G by GUESS, GUESS by MARCIANO, and Gc brand names. It sells its products through direct-to-consumer, wholesale, and licensing distribution channels, as well as through retail websites. Guess", Inc. was founded in 1981 and is based in Bioggio, Switzerland.

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