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Guess? Inc. (GES)



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Upturn Advisory Summary
06/20/2025: GES (1-star) has a low Upturn Star Rating. Not recommended to BUY.
1 Year Target Price $16
1 Year Target Price $16
1 | Strong Buy |
0 | Buy |
2 | Hold |
0 | Sell |
0 | Strong Sell |
Analysis of Past Performance
Type Stock | Historic Profit -14.24% | Avg. Invested days 29 | Today’s Advisory Consider higher Upturn Star rating |
Upturn Star Rating ![]() ![]() | Upturn Advisory Performance ![]() | Stock Returns Performance ![]() |
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Key Highlights
Company Size Small-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 628.88M USD | Price to earnings Ratio - | 1Y Target Price 16 |
Price to earnings Ratio - | 1Y Target Price 16 | ||
Volume (30-day avg) 3 | Beta 1.26 | 52 Weeks Range 8.01 - 22.47 | Updated Date 06/30/2025 |
52 Weeks Range 8.01 - 22.47 | Updated Date 06/30/2025 | ||
Dividends yield (FY) 9.90% | Basic EPS (TTM) -0.11 |
Analyzing Revenue: Products, Geography and Growth
Revenue by Products
Product revenue - Year on Year
Revenue by Geography
Geography revenue - Year on Year
Earnings Date
Report Date - | When - | Estimate - | Actual - |
Profitability
Profit Margin 0.47% | Operating Margin (TTM) -4.33% |
Management Effectiveness
Return on Assets (TTM) 3.54% | Return on Equity (TTM) 4.14% |
Valuation
Trailing PE - | Forward PE 10.15 | Enterprise Value 2073469198 | Price to Sales(TTM) 0.21 |
Enterprise Value 2073469198 | Price to Sales(TTM) 0.21 | ||
Enterprise Value to Revenue 0.68 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA 15.63 | Shares Outstanding 52016500 | Shares Floating 31158414 |
Shares Outstanding 52016500 | Shares Floating 31158414 | ||
Percent Insiders 41.5 | Percent Institutions 65.61 |
Analyst Ratings
Rating 2 | Target Price 16 | Buy - | Strong Buy 1 |
Buy - | Strong Buy 1 | ||
Hold 2 | Sell - | Strong Sell - | |
Strong Sell - |
Upturn AI SWOT
Guess? Inc.

Company Overview
History and Background
Guess? Inc. was founded in 1981 by brothers Paul and Maurice Marciano. Initially focused on denim jeans, the company expanded into clothing, accessories, and fragrances. It became a globally recognized brand in the 1980s and 1990s and has continued to evolve with fashion trends.
Core Business Areas
- Americas Retail: Operates retail stores and e-commerce sites in North and South America, selling apparel, accessories, and footwear.
- Americas Wholesale: Sells products to department stores and specialty retailers in North and South America.
- Europe: Operates retail stores, e-commerce sites, and wholesale distribution in Europe, offering a range of fashion apparel and accessories.
- Asia: Operates retail stores, e-commerce sites, and wholesale distribution in Asia, offering fashion apparel and accessories catering to the Asian market.
- Licensing: Grants licenses to third parties for the production and sale of certain products under the Guess? brand name.
Leadership and Structure
Carlos Alberini is the Chief Executive Officer. The company has a hierarchical structure with regional presidents overseeing operations in the Americas, Europe, and Asia. The board of directors provides oversight and guidance.
Top Products and Market Share
Key Offerings
- Apparel (Denim, Dresses, Tops): Offers a wide range of apparel for men and women, including denim jeans, dresses, tops, and outerwear. The brand is particularly known for its denim. Competitors include Levi's, Diesel, and True Religion. Revenue from apparel makes up the majority of company sales with significant revenue being from its denim division.
- Accessories (Handbags, Watches, Jewelry): Provides handbags, watches, jewelry, and other accessories. Handbags and watches are particularly popular. Competitors include Michael Kors (CPRI), Fossil (FOSL), and Coach (TPR). These have the highest margins for the company.
- Footwear: Offers a variety of footwear for men and women. Competitors include Steve Madden (SHOO), and Vince Camuto.
Market Dynamics
Industry Overview
The apparel and accessories industry is highly competitive and subject to changing fashion trends, consumer preferences, and economic conditions. Digital channels and sustainability are increasingly important.
Positioning
Guess? Inc. is positioned as a global lifestyle brand targeting younger consumers with trendy and accessible fashion. Its competitive advantages include brand recognition, a diverse product portfolio, and a global distribution network.
Total Addressable Market (TAM)
The global apparel market is estimated to be worth over $1.5 trillion. Guess? Inc. aims to capture a portion of this market through its brand strength, product diversification, and global reach.
Upturn SWOT Analysis
Strengths
- Strong brand recognition
- Global distribution network
- Diverse product portfolio
- Loyal customer base
- Effective marketing campaigns
Weaknesses
- Over-reliance on denim
- Fluctuations in brand perception
- High dependence on department stores
- Inconsistent quality control
- Supply chain vulnerabilities
Opportunities
- Expansion into emerging markets
- Increased focus on e-commerce
- Development of sustainable products
- Strategic partnerships and collaborations
- Leveraging social media for marketing
Threats
- Intense competition
- Changing fashion trends
- Economic downturns
- Currency fluctuations
- Geopolitical instability
Competitors and Market Share
Key Competitors
- PVH
- LEVI
- CPRI
- VFC
Competitive Landscape
Guess? Inc. faces intense competition from other apparel and accessories companies. It competes on brand recognition, product design, price, and distribution. Guess? Inc. has an advantage in brand recognition and a diverse product portfolio but faces challenges from larger companies with greater resources.
Growth Trajectory and Initiatives
Historical Growth: Guess? Inc. has experienced moderate growth over the past decade, driven by expansion into new markets and product categories.
Future Projections: Analysts project continued growth for Guess? Inc., driven by e-commerce expansion, international growth, and product innovation. Revenue is expected to grow in the low single digits annually.
Recent Initiatives: Recent initiatives include expanding e-commerce capabilities, launching new product lines, and streamlining supply chain operations.
Summary
Guess? Inc. is a well-known apparel and accessories brand with a global presence. While brand recognition and a diverse product portfolio are strengths, the company faces challenges such as intense competition and changing consumer preferences. Successful initiatives in e-commerce and strategic partnerships will be crucial for continued growth. Risks to monitor include economic downturns and supply chain vulnerabilities. The company needs to monitor brand image and consumer trends in a fast changing world of fashion apparel.
Peer Comparison
Sources and Disclaimers
Data Sources:
- Company SEC Filings (10-K, 10-Q), Investor Relations, MarketWatch, Yahoo Finance, Analyst Reports
Disclaimers:
The information provided is for informational purposes only and should not be construed as financial advice. Market share data is based on estimates and may vary. Financial data is based on publicly available information and may be subject to change.
AI Summarization is directionally correct and might not be accurate.
Summarized information shown could be a few years old and not current.
Fundamental Rating based on AI could be based on old data.
AI-generated summaries may have inaccuracies (hallucinations). Please verify the information before taking action.
About Guess? Inc.
Exchange NYSE | Headquaters - | ||
IPO Launch date 1996-08-07 | CEO & Director Mr. Carlos E. Alberini | ||
Sector Consumer Cyclical | Industry Apparel Retail | Full time employees 13000 | Website https://guess.in |
Full time employees 13000 | Website https://guess.in |
Guess", Inc. designs, markets, distributes, and licenses lifestyle collections of apparel and accessories for men, women, and children. It operates through five segments: Americas Retail, Americas Wholesale, Europe, Asia, and Licensing. The company's clothing collection includes jeans, pants, skirts, dresses, shorts, blouses, shirts, jackets, activewear, knitwear, and intimate apparel. It also grants licenses to design, manufacture, and distribute various products that complement its apparel lines, such as eyewear, watches, handbags, footwear, kids' and infants' apparel, fragrance, jewelry, and other fashion accessories, as well as to wholesale partners to operate and sell products through licensed retail stores. The company markets its products under the GUESS, GUESS", GUESS U.S.A., GUESS Jeans, GUESS" and Triangle Design, MARCIANO, Question Mark and Triangle Design, a stylized G and a stylized M, GUESS Kids, Baby GUESS, YES, G by GUESS, GUESS by MARCIANO, and Gc brand names. It sells its products through direct-to-consumer, wholesale, and licensing distribution channels, as well as through retail websites. Guess", Inc. was founded in 1981 and is based in Bioggio, Switzerland.
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