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Green Brick Partners Inc (GRBK)



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Upturn Advisory Summary
06/30/2025: GRBK (1-star) has a low Upturn Star Rating. Not recommended to BUY.
1 Year Target Price $62
1 Year Target Price $62
0 | Strong Buy |
0 | Buy |
3 | Hold |
0 | Sell |
0 | Strong Sell |
Analysis of Past Performance
Type Stock | Historic Profit 43.04% | Avg. Invested days 34 | Today’s Advisory Consider higher Upturn Star rating |
Upturn Star Rating ![]() ![]() | Upturn Advisory Performance ![]() | Stock Returns Performance ![]() |
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Key Highlights
Company Size Mid-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 2.78B USD | Price to earnings Ratio 7.63 | 1Y Target Price 62 |
Price to earnings Ratio 7.63 | 1Y Target Price 62 | ||
Volume (30-day avg) 3 | Beta 1.86 | 52 Weeks Range 50.57 - 84.66 | Updated Date 06/30/2025 |
52 Weeks Range 50.57 - 84.66 | Updated Date 06/30/2025 | ||
Dividends yield (FY) - | Basic EPS (TTM) 8.3 |
Analyzing Revenue: Products, Geography and Growth
Revenue by Products
Product revenue - Year on Year
Revenue by Geography
Geography revenue - Year on Year
Earnings Date
Report Date - | When - | Estimate - | Actual - |
Profitability
Profit Margin 17.37% | Operating Margin (TTM) 20.27% |
Management Effectiveness
Return on Assets (TTM) 14.12% | Return on Equity (TTM) 25.68% |
Valuation
Trailing PE 7.63 | Forward PE 8.06 | Enterprise Value 3021959945 | Price to Sales(TTM) 1.29 |
Enterprise Value 3021959945 | Price to Sales(TTM) 1.29 | ||
Enterprise Value to Revenue 1.41 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA 6.23 | Shares Outstanding 43926300 | Shares Floating 30821321 |
Shares Outstanding 43926300 | Shares Floating 30821321 | ||
Percent Insiders 8.24 | Percent Institutions 79.17 |
Analyst Ratings
Rating 2 | Target Price 62 | Buy - | Strong Buy - |
Buy - | Strong Buy - | ||
Hold 3 | Sell - | Strong Sell - | |
Strong Sell - |
Upturn AI SWOT
Green Brick Partners Inc

Company Overview
History and Background
Green Brick Partners was founded in 2008. The company operates as a homebuilding and land development company in the United States. It focuses on acquiring and developing land, as well as building and selling homes in high-growth markets.
Core Business Areas
- Homebuilding: Design, construction, and sale of single-family homes in various communities.
- Land Development: Acquisition and development of land for future homebuilding projects.
- Financial Services: Mortgage origination through third-party service agreements.
Leadership and Structure
Green Brick Partners is led by CEO Jed Dolson. The organizational structure consists of various divisions and regional teams overseeing land acquisition, construction, sales, and marketing operations.
Top Products and Market Share
Key Offerings
- Single-Family Homes: Construction and sale of single-family homes in planned communities. Competitors include DR Horton (DHI), Lennar (LEN), and PulteGroup (PHM). Market share varies regionally and is influenced by local housing market conditions.
- Developed Lots: Sale of finished lots to other builders or for Green Brick's own construction. Competitors are similar to single-family homes but include local smaller builders as well. Revenue data is not publicly broken out.
Market Dynamics
Industry Overview
The homebuilding industry is cyclical and sensitive to economic conditions such as interest rates, employment, and consumer confidence. Currently facing headwinds from higher interest rates, inflation, and supply chain issues, but underpinned by strong demographic demand.
Positioning
Green Brick Partners focuses on high-growth markets, offering a mix of entry-level and luxury homes. Their competitive advantage includes strategic land positions and efficient construction practices. They target higher margins than many competitors.
Total Addressable Market (TAM)
The total addressable market for new home sales in the US is estimated at over $300 billion annually. Green Brick Partners is positioned to capture a portion of this market through its focus on high-growth regions.
Upturn SWOT Analysis
Strengths
- Strategic land positions in high-growth markets
- Efficient construction processes
- Strong relationships with land sellers
- Diversified product offerings
Weaknesses
- Exposure to cyclical downturns in the housing market
- Dependence on external financing
- Geographic concentration in certain regions
- Smaller scale compared to national homebuilders
Opportunities
- Expansion into new high-growth markets
- Increased demand for housing due to demographic trends
- Adoption of innovative construction technologies
- Strategic acquisitions of smaller homebuilders
Threats
- Rising interest rates
- Economic recession
- Supply chain disruptions
- Increased competition
Competitors and Market Share
Key Competitors
- DHI
- LEN
- PHM
- NVR
- TOL
Competitive Landscape
Green Brick Partners competes with larger national homebuilders and regional players. Their advantages include strategic land positions and a focus on high-growth markets. Disadvantages include smaller scale and limited brand recognition.
Major Acquisitions
Acquisition #1 TBD
- Year: 2024
- Acquisition Price (USD millions): 0
- Strategic Rationale: Acquisition to expand geographical presence and product offerings.
Growth Trajectory and Initiatives
Historical Growth: Green Brick Partners has experienced significant growth in revenue and earnings over the past decade, driven by acquisitions and organic expansion in high-growth markets.
Future Projections: Analyst estimates project continued growth in revenue and earnings, driven by favorable demographic trends and expansion into new markets. These projections are subject to change based on economic conditions and market dynamics.
Recent Initiatives: Recent strategic initiatives include acquisitions of land parcels, partnerships with land developers, and expansion into new product segments.
Summary
Green Brick Partners is a homebuilder that operates in high-growth markets. They have a strong land position which is a key asset. The company's growth trajectory hinges on the housing market and economic conditions, which are currently uncertain. They need to maintain a strong balance sheet and manage costs effectively and the company should keep a close eye on interest rate fluctuations and supply chain pressures to maintain profitability. Expansion into new markets and product segments will drive growth.
Peer Comparison
Sources and Disclaimers
Data Sources:
- SEC Filings
- Company Investor Relations
- Industry Reports
Disclaimers:
The information provided is for informational purposes only and should not be construed as investment advice. Market share is an estimate. Financial data should be verified with official company filings.
AI Summarization is directionally correct and might not be accurate.
Summarized information shown could be a few years old and not current.
Fundamental Rating based on AI could be based on old data.
AI-generated summaries may have inaccuracies (hallucinations). Please verify the information before taking action.
About Green Brick Partners Inc
Exchange NYSE | Headquaters Plano, TX, United States | ||
IPO Launch date 2007-06-14 | Co-Founder, CEO & Director Mr. James R. Brickman | ||
Sector Consumer Cyclical | Industry Residential Construction | Full time employees 650 | |
Full time employees 650 |
Green Brick Partners, Inc (NYSE: GRBK), the third largest homebuilder in Dallas-Fort Worth, is a diversified homebuilding and land development company that operates in Texas, Georgia, and Florida. Green Brick owns five subsidiary homebuilders in Texas (CB JENI Homes, Normandy Homes, Southgate Homes, Trophy Signature Homes, and a 90% interest in Centre Living Homes), as well as a 50% interest in a homebuilder in Atlanta, Georgia (The Providence Group) and an 80% interest in a homebuilder in Port St. Lucie, Florida (GHO Homes). Green Brick also retains interests in related financial services platforms, including Green Brick Title, GRBK Mortgage, and Green Brick Insurance. Green Brick is engaged in all aspects of the homebuilding process, including land acquisition and development, entitlements, design, construction, marketing, and sales for its residential neighborhoods and master-planned communities.
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