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Upturn AI Summary - About
WW Grainger Inc(GWW)
Advisory History & Simulated Performance *
*as per simulation (see disclosures)- ALL
- 1Y
- 1M
- 1W
- BUY Advisory
- SELL Advisory (Profit)
- SELL Advisory (Loss)
- Profit
- Loss
- PASS (Skip)
Advisory Performance History (Simulated)
Upturn Advisory & Investor View for GWW
10/23/2026: GWW (3-star) is a STRONG-BUY. BUY for 6 days. Simulated Profits (1.44%). Updated daily EoD!
WW Grainger is a large-scale distributor of maintenance, repair, and operating supplies, acting as a critical partner for businesses across various industries. The company has a leading position, benefiting from a robust logistics network and the successful expansion of its digital-first e-commerce platforms. Its primary growth strategy hinges on capturing share within small and mid-sized business segments. Investors face risks related to cyclical industrial demand and increasing competition from broader online marketplaces. As a financially stable company known for reliable dividends, it may best suit income-focused or moderate-risk investors monitoring its ability to sustain margins amid shifting e-commerce competition.
How to Read the Upturn Advisory
The Upturn Star Rating and the current BUY, SELL, or PASS advisory are generated by Upturn’s AI advisory engine based on proprietary signal analysis, price behavior, advisory history, and historical signal performance.
Company fundamentals, valuation, risks, and news provide supporting context about the business.
Investor Fit
| Investor style | Fit | Why |
|---|---|---|
| Growth investor | Mixed fit | Grainger offers steady growth but is more characteristic of a mature, industrial leader than a high-growth tech disruptor. |
| Momentum investor | Strong fit while signal remains positive | The stock often benefits from positive industrial cycle sentiment and relative strength in the distribution sector. |
| Value investor | Mixed fit | The valuation typically reflects its high-quality status, often leaving limited room for deep-value bargain opportunities. |
| Dividend investor | Strong fit | With a long track record of annual dividend increases, it is a reliable choice for income-focused portfolios. |
| Low-risk investor | Strong fit | Its established market position and diversified revenue stream provide relatively lower volatility compared to pure-play manufacturing. |
Risk Profile
| Risk factor | Level | Why it matters |
|---|---|---|
| Price volatility | Medium | The stock price is sensitive to changes in macroeconomic indicators and industrial production forecasts. |
| Valuation risk | Medium | Premium market multiples may compress if growth expectations fail to materialize in a slowing economy. |
| Competition risk (Digital Marketplace competition) | Medium / high | Shift toward lower-cost online retail competitors puts pressure on long-term pricing power. |
| Business quality | Strong | The company demonstrates high operational efficiency and a durable competitive advantage in logistics. |
| Dividend income | Strong | Consistent payout history and financial health support reliable long-term income. |
| Execution risk | Medium | Successfully integrating new digital platforms while maintaining service standards remains a primary operational challenge. |
Price Behavior

Strong Uptrend
The stock has maintained a strong upward price trend across the last three quarters.

Smooth
The stock has moved along a generally orderly path with only modest fluctuations.
Analysis of Past Performance
Type Stock | Historic Profit 54.27% | Avg. Invested days 59 | Today’s Advisory Strong Buy |
Upturn Advisory Rating ![]() | Upturn Advisory Performance | Stock Returns Performance |
Upturn Scorecard
Upturn Star Rating 
Company Fundamentals 
Financial Health Rating 
Growth Momentum Score 
Ownership 
Top 5 Institutional Investors
Unit Economics (Per $1K Revenue) 
Economic Dimensions
Quantitative Style Profile 
Style Classification
Quality Focused
Key Highlights
Company Size Large-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 63.58B USD | Price to earnings Ratio 34.43 | 1Y Target Price 1331.57 |
Price to earnings Ratio 34.43 | 1Y Target Price 1331.57 | ||
Volume (30-day avg) 265.7K shares | Beta 1.01 | 52 Weeks Range 901.22 - 1417.14 | Updated Date 10/25/2026 |
52 Weeks Range 901.22 - 1417.14 | Updated Date 10/25/2026 | ||
Dividends yield (FY) 0.68% | Basic EPS (TTM) 39.21 |
How Company Makes Money
| Business area | What it includes | Retail investor read |
|---|---|---|
| North American High-Touch | Includes sales to large customers needing inventory management and procurement support. | This is the core, stable business that handles complex orders for major businesses. |
| Endless Assortment | Zoro and MonotaRO e-commerce sales. | This is the faster-growing digital segment capturing smaller business customers. |
Analyzing Revenue: Products, Geography and Growth
Revenue by Products
Product revenue - Year on Year
Revenue by Geography
Geography revenue - Year on Year
Valuation
Trailing PE 34.43 | Forward PE 24.57 | Enterprise Value 61.68B | Price to Sales(TTM) 3.37 |
Enterprise Value 61.68B | Price to Sales(TTM) 3.37 | ||
Enterprise Value to Revenue 3.27 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA 20.4 | Shares Outstanding 47.10M | Shares Floating 43.10M |
Shares Outstanding 47.10M | Shares Floating 43.10M | ||
Percent Insiders 6.28 | Percent Institutions 76.95 |
Financial Metrics
🧭 Investment Snapshot
Total Revenue (Scale)
Total money earned from selling products or services before any costs. It is needed to understand the scale of the business and its ability to generate income.
Net Income (Profit)
Final profit after all expenses, interest, and taxes are deducted. It is needed to determine the overall profitability available to shareholders.
Free Cash Flow (Cash Strength)
Cash remaining after operating activities and capital expenditures, showing cash available for growth. It is needed to evaluate the company’s ability to invest, pay dividends, or reduce debt.
📈 Growth & Strength
Operating Income (Core Profit)
Profit from core operations after deducting all operating expenses. It is needed to measure how efficiently the company runs its primary business activities.
EBITDA (Cash Earnings)
Earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization, indicating operating cash potential. It is needed to compare operating performance across companies without accounting or financing differences.
Gross Profit (Unit Profitability)
Revenue minus cost of revenue, showing profit after direct production costs. It is needed to evaluate core business profitability before overhead expenses.
🛡️ Financial Safety
Cash (Liquidity Buffer)
Total cash and cash equivalents on hand. It is needed to evaluate immediate liquidity and financial flexibility.
Total Debt (Leverage Risk)
Total debt including both short-term and long-term components. It is needed to assess the company’s leverage and financial risk.
Net Working Capital (Short-Term Health)
Current assets minus current liabilities, indicating short-term liquidity strength. It is needed to assess whether the company can meet its short-term obligations.
🧱 Balance Sheet Strength
Stockholder Equity (Net Worth)
Total equity value held by shareholders. It is needed to understand the net worth of the company from the owners’ perspective.
Total Assets (Asset Base)
The full value of everything the company owns, including cash, inventory, equipment, and investments. It is needed to understand the resource base used to generate revenue.
Income Before Tax (Pre-Tax Earnings)
Income before provision for income taxes. It is needed to analyze profitability independent of tax structures.
⚙️ Cost & Drag Factors
Cost of Revenue (Production Cost)
Direct costs required to produce and deliver the products or services sold. It is needed to assess efficiency in production and service delivery.
Total Operating Expenses (Operating Cost)
Indirect costs of running the business such as salaries, marketing, and administration. It is needed to understand how much it costs to sustain ongoing business operations.
Income Tax Expense (Tax Drag)
Amount of taxes paid or payable to the government. It is needed to evaluate the impact of taxation on overall profitability.

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