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Hongli Group Inc. Ordinary Shares(HLP)

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ADVISORIES YOU CAN VERIFY
QUALITY SIGNAL RECENCY
1-STAR RATING
Consider higher Upturn Star rating
BUY for 54 days
PROFIT SINCE LAST BUY
+90.52% ▲
LAST CLOSE
$2.21
09/25/2026
(24-hour delay)

Advisory History & Simulated Performance *

*as per simulation (see disclosures)
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Upturn Advisory & Investor View for HLP

09/25/2026: HLP (1-star) has a low Upturn Star Rating. Not recommended to BUY.

Hongli Group Inc. is a China-based manufacturer specializing in precision steel components for the automotive industry. The company benefits from its low-cost production base and established niche within local supply chains, which provides some insulation from broader market volatility. Its primary investment story hinges on successful operational upgrades and a strategic pivot toward supplying parts for electric vehicles. However, investors face risks related to intense competition from larger tier-1 suppliers, customer concentration, and the inherently cyclical nature of the automotive sector. The stock is most suitable for investors comfortable with small-cap volatility, and its future performance depends heavily on successfully maintaining core contracts while navigating industry shifts.

How to Read the Upturn Advisory

The Upturn Star Rating and the current BUY, SELL, or PASS advisory are generated by Upturn’s AI advisory engine based on proprietary signal analysis, price behavior, advisory history, and historical signal performance.

Company fundamentals, valuation, risks, and news provide supporting context about the business.

Investor Fit

Investor styleFitWhy
Growth investorWeak fitThe company lacks the high-growth profile typically sought by growth investors.
Momentum investorWeak fitLow liquidity and limited market coverage make this a poor candidate for momentum strategies.
Value investorMixed fitThe valuation may appear low, but the business quality risks make it a speculative value play.
Dividend investorWeak fitThe company does not pay regular dividends.
Low-risk investorWeak fitHigh volatility and operational risks make this unsuitable for risk-averse investors.

Risk Profile

Risk factorLevelWhy it matters
Price volatilityHighSmall-cap, low-liquidity stocks are prone to large price swings.
Valuation riskMediumThin trading volumes can distort market valuation metrics.
Competition risk (Automotive Parts)HighThe company competes with massive global tier-1 suppliers with superior scale.
Business qualityMediumOperating margins remain sensitive to volatile input costs and automotive cycle demand.
Dividend incomeLow / noneIncome investors will not find yield here.
Execution riskMedium / highSuccess depends on retaining key automotive contracts in a competitive market.

Price Behavior

Strong Uptrend
PRICE PATH

Strong Uptrend

The stock has maintained a strong upward price trend across the last three quarters.

Extreme Price Shocks
PRICE STABILITY

Extreme Price Shocks

The stock has experienced exceptionally large and disruptive price movements during the period.

Analysis of Past Performance

Type Stock
Historic Profit -39.62%
Avg. Invested days 32
Today’s Advisory Consider higher Upturn Star rating
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Upturn Advisory Performance Upturn Advisory Performance icon 2.0
Stock Returns Performance Upturn Returns Performance icon 1.0
Upturn Profits based on simulation icon Profits based on simulation
Upturn last close icon Last Close 09/25/2026

Upturn Scorecard

Upturn Star Rating

★★★★★
HLP receives a 3-star rating, supported by solid company fundamentals. The rating is constrained by soft unit economics, and soft analyst coverage.

Company Fundamentals

★★★★★
HLP has solid overall fundamentals (4 stars), with moderate financial health, strong growth momentum, and moderate ownership. In FY2025 versus FY2024, strong earnings growth (+203.3%) and strong revenue growth (+39.0%) are partially offset by soft cash generation (FCF margin 3.4%), soft profitability (net margin 9.9%).

Financial Health Rating

★★★★★
HLP's financial health is supported by solid cash strength, including free-cash-flow generation (3.4% of revenue). Liquidity is moderate (3 stars), which helps explain the 3-star overall score.

Growth Momentum Score

★★★★★
Free-cash-flow growth is HLP's strongest growth driver at +248.0% FY2025 versus FY2024 (strong, 5 stars). Revenue growth (+39.0%, strong) and earnings growth (+203.3%, strong) are also constructive, though not equally high across every growth measure.

Ownership

★★★★★
Institutional ownership is 0.5% and approximately 49.6% of outstanding shares are publicly tradable, supporting liquidity and institutional participation. Insider ownership of 46.94% supports management-shareholder alignment.

Top 5 Institutional Investors

Renaissance Technologies Corp 0.13%
Centiva Capital LP 0.04%
The Goldman Sachs Group Inc 0.04%
XTX Topco Ltd 0.03%
Jane Street Group LLC 0.03%

Unit Economics (Per $1K Revenue)

★★★★★
HLP generates approximately $325 of gross profit, $124 of operating income, and $34 of free cash flow for every $1,000 of revenue. Based on FY2025 results. Strong cash conversion and healthy margins support the rating, although capital efficiency remains below the highest tier.

Economic Dimensions

★★★★★
Effective Tax Rate: 10.53%

Quantitative Style Profile

★★★★★
HLP has a relatively low-volatility profile. Valuation that is moderately attractive rather than deeply discounted is the primary drawback.

Style Classification

Quality Focused

Momentum LeaderLow VolatilitySmall / Mid Cap Risk

Key Highlights

Company Size Small-Cap Stock
Market Capitalization 165.17M USD
Price to earnings Ratio 73.67
1Y Target Price -
Price to earnings Ratio 73.67
1Y Target Price -
Volume (30-day avg) 101.0K shares
Beta -0.04
52 Weeks Range 0.34 - 2.30
Updated Date 09/25/2026
52 Weeks Range 0.34 - 2.30
Updated Date 09/25/2026
Dividends yield (FY) -
Basic EPS (TTM) 0.03

How Company Makes Money

Business areaWhat it includesRetail investor read
Automotive Component SalesManufacturing and supply of precision metal parts to vehicle assemblers.The company earns money by selling parts to car manufacturers; when car sales are up, their business tends to do better.

Analyzing Revenue: Products, Geography and Growth

Revenue by Geography

Geography revenue - Year on Year

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Valuation

Trailing PE 73.67
Forward PE -
Enterprise Value 161.80M
Price to Sales(TTM) 8.43
Enterprise Value 161.80M
Price to Sales(TTM) 8.43
Enterprise Value to Revenue 8.25
Enterprise Value to EBITDA 46.86
Shares Outstanding 74.74M
Shares Floating 37.05M
Shares Outstanding 74.74M
Shares Floating 37.05M
Percent Insiders 46.94
Percent Institutions 0.48

Icon representing Upturn AI-generated SWOT analysis summary Upturn AI Summary

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Financial Metrics

🧭 Investment Snapshot

Total Revenue (Scale)

Information icon Total money earned from selling products or services before any costs. It is needed to understand the scale of the business and its ability to generate income.

Net Income (Profit)

Information icon Final profit after all expenses, interest, and taxes are deducted. It is needed to determine the overall profitability available to shareholders.

Free Cash Flow (Cash Strength)

Information icon Cash remaining after operating activities and capital expenditures, showing cash available for growth. It is needed to evaluate the company’s ability to invest, pay dividends, or reduce debt.

📈 Growth & Strength

Operating Income (Core Profit)

Information icon Profit from core operations after deducting all operating expenses. It is needed to measure how efficiently the company runs its primary business activities.

EBITDA (Cash Earnings)

Information icon Earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization, indicating operating cash potential. It is needed to compare operating performance across companies without accounting or financing differences.

Gross Profit (Unit Profitability)

Information icon Revenue minus cost of revenue, showing profit after direct production costs. It is needed to evaluate core business profitability before overhead expenses.

🛡️ Financial Safety

Cash (Liquidity Buffer)

Information icon Total cash and cash equivalents on hand. It is needed to evaluate immediate liquidity and financial flexibility.

Total Debt (Leverage Risk)

Information icon Total debt including both short-term and long-term components. It is needed to assess the company’s leverage and financial risk.

Net Working Capital (Short-Term Health)

Information icon Current assets minus current liabilities, indicating short-term liquidity strength. It is needed to assess whether the company can meet its short-term obligations.

🧱 Balance Sheet Strength

Stockholder Equity (Net Worth)

Information icon Total equity value held by shareholders. It is needed to understand the net worth of the company from the owners’ perspective.

Total Assets (Asset Base)

Information icon The full value of everything the company owns, including cash, inventory, equipment, and investments. It is needed to understand the resource base used to generate revenue.

Income Before Tax (Pre-Tax Earnings)

Information icon Income before provision for income taxes. It is needed to analyze profitability independent of tax structures.

⚙️ Cost & Drag Factors

Cost of Revenue (Production Cost)

Information icon Direct costs required to produce and deliver the products or services sold. It is needed to assess efficiency in production and service delivery.

Total Operating Expenses (Operating Cost)

Information icon Indirect costs of running the business such as salaries, marketing, and administration. It is needed to understand how much it costs to sustain ongoing business operations.

Income Tax Expense (Tax Drag)

Information icon Amount of taxes paid or payable to the government. It is needed to evaluate the impact of taxation on overall profitability.

About Hongli Group Inc. Ordinary Shares

Exchange NASDAQ
Headquarters -
IPO Launch date 2023-03-29
CEO & Chairman of the Board Mr. Jie Liu
Sector Basic Materials
Industry Steel
Full time employees 167
Full time employees 167

Hongli Group Inc., together with its subsidiaries, manufactures and sells customized steel profiles in the People's Republic of China and internationally. It provides cold roll formed steel profile products in various forms and shapes, such as angles, bows, beams, brackets, channels, cross-members, flanges, hats, panels, plates, posts, rails, stakes, and tracks. The company serves mining and excavation, construction, agriculture, and transportation industries. Hongli Group Inc. was incorporated in 2021 and is headquartered in Weifang, the People's Republic of China. Hongli Group Inc. operates as a subsidiary of Hongli Development Limited.