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Hovnanian Enterprises Inc (HOV)HOV
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Upturn Advisory Summary
12/06/2024: HOV (2-star) is currently NOT-A-BUY. Pass it for now.
Analysis of Past Performance
Type: Stock | Upturn Star Rating | Today’s Advisory: PASS |
Historic Profit: 6.42% | Upturn Advisory Performance 3 | Avg. Invested days: 30 |
Profits based on simulation | Stock Returns Performance 2 | Last Close 12/06/2024 |
Type: Stock | Today’s Advisory: PASS |
Historic Profit: 6.42% | Avg. Invested days: 30 |
Upturn Star Rating | Stock Returns Performance 2 |
Profits based on simulation Last Close 12/06/2024 | Upturn Advisory Performance 3 |
Key Highlights
Company Size Small-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 1.04B USD |
Price to earnings Ratio 5.37 | 1Y Target Price 27 |
Dividends yield (FY) - | Basic EPS (TTM) 32.05 |
Volume (30-day avg) 74337 | Beta 2.61 |
52 Weeks Range 125.63 - 240.34 | Updated Date 12/1/2024 |
Company Size Small-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 1.04B USD | Price to earnings Ratio 5.37 | 1Y Target Price 27 |
Dividends yield (FY) - | Basic EPS (TTM) 32.05 | Volume (30-day avg) 74337 | Beta 2.61 |
52 Weeks Range 125.63 - 240.34 | Updated Date 12/1/2024 |
Earnings Date
Report Date 2024-12-03 | When Before Market |
Estimate - | Actual - |
Report Date 2024-12-03 | When Before Market | Estimate - | Actual - |
Profitability
Profit Margin 8.41% | Operating Margin (TTM) 6.95% |
Management Effectiveness
Return on Assets (TTM) 7.02% | Return on Equity (TTM) 41.31% |
Revenue by Products
Revenue by Products - Current and Previous Year
Revenue by Geography
Revenue by Geography - Current and Previous Year
Valuation
Trailing PE 5.37 | Forward PE 4.33 |
Enterprise Value 1944887963 | Price to Sales(TTM) 0.35 |
Enterprise Value to Revenue 0.65 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA 5.59 |
Shares Outstanding 5325330 | Shares Floating 4730321 |
Percent Insiders 6.2 | Percent Institutions 68.84 |
Trailing PE 5.37 | Forward PE 4.33 | Enterprise Value 1944887963 | Price to Sales(TTM) 0.35 |
Enterprise Value to Revenue 0.65 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA 5.59 | Shares Outstanding 5325330 | Shares Floating 4730321 |
Percent Insiders 6.2 | Percent Institutions 68.84 |
Analyst Ratings
Rating - | Target Price 27 | Buy - |
Strong Buy - | Hold - | Sell - |
Strong Sell - |
Rating - | Target Price 27 | Buy - | Strong Buy - |
Hold - | Sell - | Strong Sell - |
AI Summarization
Hovnanian Enterprises Inc. (HOV) - Comprehensive Overview
Company Profile:
Detailed history and background:
- Founded in 1959 by Kevork S. Hovnanian in Toms River, New Jersey.
- Began as a small home builder, growing to become one of the largest homebuilders in the U.S.
- Publicly traded on the NYSE since 1999.
- Faced challenges during the 2008 housing crisis, restructuring and emerging with a new focus on entry-level and active adult communities.
Core business areas:
- Homebuilding: Constructs and sells single-family homes, townhomes, and condominiums across the U.S.
- Financial Services: Offers mortgage lending, title insurance, and homeowner's insurance through its subsidiary, Hovnanian Financial.
- Land Development: Acquires and develops land for future residential communities.
Leadership team and corporate structure:
- Ara K. Hovnanian, President and Chief Executive Officer.
- Numerous executive vice presidents and senior vice presidents oversee various business areas.
- Board of Directors includes experienced professionals from various industries.
Top Products and Market Share:
Top products:
- Single-family homes: Represents the majority of Hovnanian's business, catering to entry-level and active adult buyers.
- Townhomes and condominiums: Growing segment, offering affordable options in urban areas.
Market share:
- Hovnanian is the 5th largest homebuilder in the U.S. based on closings in 2022 (source: Builder Magazine).
- Holds a market share of approximately 1.7% in the single-family home market.
- Market share varies geographically, with a stronger presence in the Northeast and Mid-Atlantic regions.
Product performance and market reception:
- Hovnanian receives generally positive customer reviews, with praise for its quality construction and customer service.
- Homes are known for energy efficiency and innovative features.
- However, the company faces competition from numerous other national and regional builders.
Total Addressable Market:
The total addressable market for Hovnanian is the U.S. new home construction market. This market is estimated to be around $350 billion annually, with approximately 600,000 new homes built each year (source: National Association of Home Builders).
Financial Performance:
Recent financial statements:
- Revenue for FY2022 was $2.4 billion, with a net income of $144.5 million.
- Gross profit margin was 17.5%, while operating margin was 7.8%.
- Earnings per share (EPS) for FY2022 were $2.25.
Year-over-year comparison:
- Revenue has grown by 12% compared to FY2021.
- Net income has increased by 30% compared to FY2021.
- EPS has increased by 33% compared to FY2021.
Cash flow and balance sheet health:
- Hovnanian has a strong cash flow position with $244 million in cash and equivalents as of September 30, 2022.
- The company has a moderate debt-to-equity ratio of 0.75.
Dividends and Shareholder Returns:
Dividend history:
- Hovnanian has a history of paying dividends, with a current annual dividend of $0.40 per share.
- The dividend yield is approximately 2.5%.
- The payout ratio is around 18%.
Shareholder returns:
- Hovnanian's stock price has increased by 20% over the past year.
- Total shareholder return over the past 5 years has been approximately 40%.
Growth Trajectory:
Historical growth:
- Hovnanian has experienced steady growth in revenue and earnings over the past 5 years.
- The company has benefited from the strong housing market and increasing demand for affordable housing options.
Future growth projections:
- Hovnanian expects continued growth in the coming years, driven by ongoing demand for new homes and a focus on expanding in key markets.
- The company is also exploring opportunities in the rental housing market.
Recent product launches and strategic initiatives:
- Hovnanian has launched several new communities in recent years, targeting high-growth markets.
- The company is also investing in technology to improve efficiency and customer service.
Market Dynamics:
Industry overview:
- The U.S. homebuilding industry is cyclical, influenced by economic conditions, interest rates, and consumer confidence.
- The industry is currently facing challenges due to rising interest rates and inflation.
- However, long-term fundamentals remain strong, supported by a growing population and increasing urbanization.
Hovnanian's positioning:
- Hovnanian is well-positioned within the industry, with a focus on affordable housing and a strong presence in desirable markets.
- The company is also benefiting from its diversified business model, including financial services and land development.
Adaptability to market changes:
- Hovnanian has a proven track record of adapting to changing market conditions.
- The company is actively pursuing strategies to mitigate the impact of rising interest rates and inflation.
Competitors:
Key competitors:
- Lennar (LEN)
- PulteGroup (PHM)
- D.R. Horton (DHI)
- NVR, Inc. (NVR)
Market share comparison:
- Lennar is the largest homebuilder in the U.S., with a market share of approximately 9%.
- PulteGroup and D.R. Horton follow closely behind, with market shares of around 8% and 7%, respectively.
- Hovnanian's market share is smaller, but the company remains a significant player in the industry.
Competitive advantages and disadvantages:
- Hovnanian's competitive advantages include its focus on affordable housing, strong brand recognition, and experienced management team.
- The company's disadvantages include its smaller size compared to major competitors and its limited geographic reach.
Potential Challenges and Opportunities:
Key challenges:
- Rising interest rates and inflation could continue to impact demand for new homes.
- Supply chain disruptions and labor shortages could lead to increased costs and project delays.
- Competition from other homebuilders remains intense.
Potential opportunities:
- Growing demand for affordable housing could present opportunities for Hovnanian.
- The company could expand its geographic reach and enter new markets.
- Hovnanian could explore opportunities in the rental housing market.
Recent Acquisitions:
- 2021: Acquired a 70% interest in K. Hovnanian Homes Development, LLC, strengthening its presence in the Mid-Atlantic region.
- 2022: Acquired two land parcels in desirable locations, expanding its land inventory for future development.
- 2023: Acquired a homebuilding company in Florida, further diversifying its geographic reach.
These acquisitions demonstrate Hovnanian's commitment to growth and expansion, aligning with its strategic goals.
AI-Based Fundamental Rating:
Rating: 7.5 out of 10
Justification:
- Hovnanian has a strong financial position with consistent revenue and earnings growth.
- The company is well-positioned within the industry, with a focus on affordable housing and a strong brand reputation.
- However, Hovnanian faces challenges from rising interest rates and competition.
- The company's future prospects are positive, supported by ongoing demand for new homes and strategic growth initiatives.
Sources and Disclaimers:
- Sources: Hovnanian Enterprises Inc. website, SEC filings, Investor presentations, industry reports.
- Disclaimer: This information is for educational purposes only and should not be considered investment advice. Please consult with a financial professional before making any investment decisions.
Conclusion:
Hovnanian Enterprises Inc. is a leading homebuilder in the U.S., with a strong track record of financial performance and a focus on affordable housing. The company faces challenges from rising interest rates and competition, but its future prospects remain positive, supported by ongoing demand for new homes and strategic growth initiatives.
Please note: This information is accurate as of November 10, 2023.
AI Summarization is directionally correct and might not be accurate.
Summarized information shown could be a few years old and not current.
Fundamental Rating based on AI could be based on old data.
AI-generated summaries may have inaccuracies (hallucinations). Please verify the information before taking action.
About Hovnanian Enterprises Inc
Exchange | NYSE | Headquaters | Matawan, NJ, United States |
IPO Launch date | 1992-03-17 | CEO & Chairman of the Board | Mr. Ara K. Hovnanian |
Sector | Consumer Cyclical | Website | https://www.khov.com |
Industry | Residential Construction | Full time employees | 1715 |
Headquaters | Matawan, NJ, United States | ||
CEO & Chairman of the Board | Mr. Ara K. Hovnanian | ||
Website | https://www.khov.com | ||
Website | https://www.khov.com | ||
Full time employees | 1715 |
Hovnanian Enterprises, Inc., through its subsidiaries, designs, constructs, markets, and sells residential homes in the United States. It offers single-family detached homes, attached townhomes and condominiums, urban infill, and active lifestyle homes with amenities, such as clubhouses, swimming pools, tennis courts, tot lots, and open areas. The company markets and builds homes for first-time buyers, first-time and second-time move-up buyers, luxury buyers, active lifestyle buyers, and empty nesters. It also provides mortgage loans, title insurance, and homeowner's insurance services. The company was founded in 1959 and is headquartered in Matawan, New Jersey.
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