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Upturn stock rating
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Mattel Inc (MAT)

Upturn stock rating
$17.86
Last Close (24-hour delay)
upturn advisory
PASS
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  • SELL Advisory (Loss)​
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Upturn Stock info Stock price based on last close
*as per simulation
(see disclosures)
Time period over
  • ALL
  • YEAR
  • MONTH
  • WEEK

Upturn Advisory Summary

10/15/2025: MAT (1-star) is currently NOT-A-BUY. Pass it for now.

Upturn Star Rating

rating

Not Recommended Performance

These Stocks/ETFs, based on Upturn Advisory, consistently fall short of market performance, signaling caution before investing.

Number of Analysts

rating

14 Analysts rated it

Moderately tracked stock, growing coverage, gaining market and investor attention.

1 Year Target Price $24.67

1 Year Target Price $24.67

Analysts Price Target For last 52 week
$24.67 Target price
52w Low $13.95
Current$17.86
52w High $22.07

Analysis of Past Performance

Type Stock
Historic Profit -16.5%
Avg. Invested days 51
Today’s Advisory PASS
Upturn Star Rating upturn star rating icon
Upturn Advisory Performance Upturn Advisory Performance 2.0
Stock Returns Performance Upturn Returns Performance 1.0
Upturn Profits based on simulation Profits based on simulation
Upturn Profits based on simulation Last Close 10/15/2025

Key Highlights

Company Size Mid-Cap Stock
Market Capitalization 5.93B USD
Price to earnings Ratio 11.95
1Y Target Price 24.67
Price to earnings Ratio 11.95
1Y Target Price 24.67
Volume (30-day avg) 14
Beta 0.69
52 Weeks Range 13.95 - 22.07
Updated Date 10/17/2025
52 Weeks Range 13.95 - 22.07
Updated Date 10/17/2025
Dividends yield (FY) -
Basic EPS (TTM) 1.54

Analyzing Revenue: Products, Geography and Growth

Revenue by Products

Product revenue - Year on Year

Revenue by Geography

Geography revenue - Year on Year

Earnings Date

Report Date 2025-10-22
When After Market
Estimate 1.08
Actual -

Profitability

Profit Margin 9.86%
Operating Margin (TTM) 8.43%

Management Effectiveness

Return on Assets (TTM) 7.48%
Return on Equity (TTM) 25.39%

Valuation

Trailing PE 11.95
Forward PE 9.97
Enterprise Value 7359486000
Price to Sales(TTM) 1.11
Enterprise Value 7359486000
Price to Sales(TTM) 1.11
Enterprise Value to Revenue 1.38
Enterprise Value to EBITDA 7.67
Shares Outstanding 322200000
Shares Floating 277923276
Shares Outstanding 322200000
Shares Floating 277923276
Percent Insiders 0.76
Percent Institutions 100.89

ai summary icon Upturn AI SWOT

Mattel Inc

stock logo

Company Overview

overview logo History and Background

Mattel, Inc. was founded in 1945 by Harold Matson, Ruth Handler, and Elliot Handler. Initially a picture frame business, it shifted to toy manufacturing. Barbie, launched in 1959, became a cultural icon, followed by Hot Wheels in 1968. Mattel grew through acquisitions and expanded its portfolio, navigating industry shifts and adapting to evolving consumer preferences.

business area logo Core Business Areas

  • North America: Sales of toys and other products in North America.
  • International: Sales of toys and other products in international markets.
  • American Girl: Direct-to-consumer and retail sales of American Girl dolls, accessories, and experiences.

leadership logo Leadership and Structure

Ynon Kreiz serves as Chairman and CEO. Mattel operates with a functional organizational structure with various divisions focusing on specific brands and regions.

Top Products and Market Share

overview logo Key Offerings

  • Barbie: Barbie is a fashion doll and Mattel's most iconic brand. Competitors include MGA Entertainment's Bratz and Hasbro's My Little Pony. Barbie is estimated to generate over $1 billion in revenue annually. Market share for fashion dolls fluctuates, with Barbie holding a leading, but not dominant, position.
  • Hot Wheels: Hot Wheels are die-cast toy cars. A major competitor is Matchbox by Mattel. Hot Wheels is estimated to generate nearly $1 billion in sales. Hot Wheels maintains a strong market share in the die-cast vehicle category.
  • Fisher-Price: Fisher-Price is focused on preschool toys. Fisher-Price competitors include LeapFrog and VTech. Revenue is estimated in hundreds of millions of dollars annually.

Market Dynamics

industry overview logo Industry Overview

The toy industry is driven by consumer spending, product innovation, licensing deals, and digital integration. Trends include increasing demand for educational toys, sustainable toys, and licensed merchandise. The industry is competitive and affected by economic cycles.

Positioning

Mattel is a leading global toy company with a portfolio of iconic brands. Its competitive advantages include strong brand recognition, extensive distribution networks, and licensing agreements.

Total Addressable Market (TAM)

The global toy market is estimated to be over $100 billion. Mattel is positioned to capture a significant portion of this market through its diverse product offerings and global presence. However, market fragmentation and changing consumer preferences present challenges.

Upturn SWOT Analysis

Strengths

  • Strong brand recognition
  • Extensive distribution network
  • Diverse product portfolio
  • Licensing agreements
  • Global presence

Weaknesses

  • Reliance on a few key brands
  • Susceptibility to economic cycles
  • Exposure to changing consumer preferences
  • Supply chain vulnerabilities

Opportunities

  • Expansion into emerging markets
  • Development of digital and online content
  • Strategic acquisitions
  • Focus on sustainability
  • Leveraging entertainment through film and tv

Threats

  • Intense competition
  • Changing consumer preferences
  • Economic downturns
  • Supply chain disruptions
  • Intellectual property infringement

Competitors and Market Share

competitor logo Key Competitors

  • HAS
  • JAKK
  • BAND

Competitive Landscape

Mattel competes with Hasbro (HAS), Jakks Pacific (JAKK), and other toy companies. Mattel's strengths lie in its iconic brands, while weaknesses include its historical reliance on a few core products. They are leveraging entertainment partnerships to move the brands into new markets and revive older toy lines.

Growth Trajectory and Initiatives

Historical Growth: Mattel's growth has been inconsistent due to economic cycles and changes in consumer preferences.

Future Projections: Analyst projections depend on market conditions and execution of strategic initiatives.

Recent Initiatives: Focus on digital content, entertainment, and cost-cutting measures.

Summary

Mattel is a leading toy company with a strong brand portfolio but faces challenges in a competitive industry. Its iconic brands like Barbie and Hot Wheels provide a solid foundation, but the company needs to adapt to changing consumer preferences and leverage digital opportunities. Strategic initiatives focused on entertainment and cost management will be crucial for future growth.

Peer Comparison

Sources and Disclaimers

Data Sources:

  • Company reports
  • Industry analysis
  • Financial news sources

Disclaimers:

This analysis is based on publicly available information and is not financial advice. Market conditions and company performance can change rapidly.

Upturn AI Summarization AI Summarization is directionally correct and might not be accurate.

Upturn AI Summarization Summarized information shown could be a few years old and not current.

Upturn AI Summarization Fundamental Rating based on AI could be based on old data.

Upturn AI Summarization AI-generated summaries may have inaccuracies (hallucinations). Please verify the information before taking action.

About Mattel Inc

Exchange NASDAQ
Headquaters El Segundo, CA, United States
IPO Launch date 1982-01-04
Executive Chairman & CEO Mr. Ynon Kreiz
Sector Consumer Cyclical
Industry Leisure
Full time employees 34000
Full time employees 34000

Mattel, Inc., a toy and family entertainment company, designs, manufactures, and markets toys and consumer products in North America, Latin America, Europe, the Middle East, Africa, and the Asia Pacific. It operates through North America, International, and American Girl segments. The company offers dolls and accessories, as well as books, content, gaming, and lifestyle products for children under the Barbie, American Girl, Disney Princess and Disney Frozen, Monster High, and Polly Pocket brands; die-cast vehicles, tracks, playsets, and accessories for kids, adults, and collectors under the Hot Wheels, Hot Wheels Monster Trucks, Hot Wheels Mario Kart, Matchbox, and Cars brand names; and infant, toddler, and preschool products comprising content, toys, live events, and other consumer products under the Fisher-Price, Little People and Imaginext, and Thomas & Friends, and Power wheels brands. It also provides action figures, building sets, games, and other products under the Masters of the Universe, MEGA, UNO, Jurassic World, Minecraft, WWE, Lightyear, and Star Wars; and licensor partner brands, including Disney Pixar, Microsoft, NBCUniversal, and WWE. It sells its products directly to consumers through its catalog, website, and proprietary retail stores; retailers, including omnichannel retailers, discount and free-standing toy stores, chain stores, department stores, and other retail outlets; and wholesalers, as well as through agents and distributors. Additionally, it manufactures AI-powered products. Mattel, Inc. was founded in 1945 and is headquartered in El Segundo, California.