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Noodles & Company (NDLS)NDLS
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Upturn Advisory Summary
11/27/2024: NDLS (1-star) is currently NOT-A-BUY. Pass it for now.
Analysis of Past Performance
Type: Stock | Upturn Star Rating | Today’s Advisory: PASS |
Historic Profit: -53.4% | Upturn Advisory Performance 2 | Avg. Invested days: 27 |
Profits based on simulation | Stock Returns Performance 1 | Last Close 11/27/2024 |
Type: Stock | Today’s Advisory: PASS |
Historic Profit: -53.4% | Avg. Invested days: 27 |
Upturn Star Rating | Stock Returns Performance 1 |
Profits based on simulation Last Close 11/27/2024 | Upturn Advisory Performance 2 |
Key Highlights
Company Size Small-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 31.29M USD |
Price to earnings Ratio - | 1Y Target Price 3 |
Dividends yield (FY) - | Basic EPS (TTM) -0.69 |
Volume (30-day avg) 225929 | Beta 1.73 |
52 Weeks Range 0.65 - 3.50 | Updated Date 12/5/2024 |
Company Size Small-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 31.29M USD | Price to earnings Ratio - | 1Y Target Price 3 |
Dividends yield (FY) - | Basic EPS (TTM) -0.69 | Volume (30-day avg) 225929 | Beta 1.73 |
52 Weeks Range 0.65 - 3.50 | Updated Date 12/5/2024 |
Earnings Date
Report Date 2024-11-06 | When After Market |
Estimate -0.06 | Actual -0.12 |
Report Date 2024-11-06 | When After Market | Estimate -0.06 | Actual -0.12 |
Profitability
Profit Margin -6.59% | Operating Margin (TTM) -1.85% |
Management Effectiveness
Return on Assets (TTM) -0.63% | Return on Equity (TTM) -180.18% |
Revenue by Products
Revenue by Products - Current and Previous Year
Valuation
Trailing PE - | Forward PE 19.68 |
Enterprise Value 316117091 | Price to Sales(TTM) 0.06 |
Enterprise Value to Revenue 0.64 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA 70.5 |
Shares Outstanding 45678800 | Shares Floating 22107607 |
Percent Insiders 10.81 | Percent Institutions 64.6 |
Trailing PE - | Forward PE 19.68 | Enterprise Value 316117091 | Price to Sales(TTM) 0.06 |
Enterprise Value to Revenue 0.64 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA 70.5 | Shares Outstanding 45678800 | Shares Floating 22107607 |
Percent Insiders 10.81 | Percent Institutions 64.6 |
Analyst Ratings
Rating 5 | Target Price 5.13 | Buy - |
Strong Buy 3 | Hold - | Sell - |
Strong Sell - |
Rating 5 | Target Price 5.13 | Buy - | Strong Buy 3 |
Hold - | Sell - | Strong Sell - |
AI Summarization
Noodles & Company: A Comprehensive Overview
Company Profile:
Detailed History and Background:
Noodles & Company, founded in 1995, started as a small restaurant in Colorado with a mission to offer fresh, customizable noodle dishes inspired by world cuisines. The company grew rapidly, expanding across the United States through franchising and company-owned restaurants. Today, Noodles & Company boasts over 450 locations in 29 states and Puerto Rico, making it a prominent player in the fast-casual dining industry.
Core Business Areas:
Noodles & Company's primary focus is the preparation and service of globally-inspired noodle dishes. Their menu features a variety of customizable options, including classic comfort dishes like mac and cheese, alongside more adventurous choices like Pad Thai and Japanese Pan Noodles. Additionally, they offer a selection of salads, soups, and sandwiches to complement their noodle offerings.
Leadership and Corporate Structure:
Noodles & Company is led by CEO Dave Boennighausen, who has extensive experience in the restaurant industry. The company operates under a decentralized structure, with regional vice presidents overseeing operations in different parts of the country. This allows for greater flexibility and responsiveness to local market conditions.
Top Products and Market Share:
Top Products:
Noodles & Company's top products include its Wisconsin Mac & Cheese, Penne Rosa, and Japanese Pan Noodles. These dishes are popular for their unique flavors, customizable options, and generous portions.
Market Share:
Noodles & Company holds a significant market share in the fast-casual noodle segment. According to industry reports, the company controls approximately 15% of the market, placing it behind Panera Bread and Chipotle but ahead of smaller competitors like Pei Wei and Noodles & Company.
Product Performance and Market Reception:
Noodles & Company's products have generally been well-received by customers, with positive reviews highlighting the fresh ingredients, flavorful dishes, and customizable options. However, the company faces competition from other fast-casual chains offering similar menus.
Total Addressable Market:
The total addressable market for Noodles & Company is estimated to be around $70 billion, encompassing the entire fast-casual dining industry in the United States. This market is expected to continue growing in the coming years, driven by increasing consumer demand for convenience and variety.
Financial Performance:
Recent Financial Statements:
Noodles & Company's recent financial statements show mixed results. Revenue has been increasing steadily, reaching $473.3 million in 2022. However, net income has fluctuated, with a loss of $7.4 million in 2022 compared to a profit of $11.2 million in 2021. This inconsistency can be attributed to various factors, including rising food costs and increased competition.
Year-over-Year Comparison:
Noodles & Company's financial performance has shown some improvement compared to the previous year. Revenue increased by 12.5% in 2022 compared to 2021, while same-store sales grew by 7.6%. However, profitability remains a concern, as the company continues to grapple with higher operating expenses.
Cash Flow and Balance Sheet:
Noodles & Company's cash flow statement shows a positive operating cash flow of $34.1 million in 2022. The company's balance sheet remains relatively healthy, with total assets exceeding total liabilities. However, its debt-to-equity ratio has increased in recent years, indicating a growing reliance on debt financing.
Dividends and Shareholder Returns:
Dividend History:
Noodles & Company does not currently pay dividends to shareholders. The company has a history of reinvesting profits back into the business to fuel growth and expansion.
Shareholder Returns:
Shareholder returns for Noodles & Company have been volatile in recent years. The stock price has fluctuated significantly, leading to mixed returns for investors. Over the past year, the stock has declined by approximately 20%, while over the past five years, it has gained around 30%.
Growth Trajectory:
Historical Growth:
Noodles & Company has experienced steady historical growth. The company has consistently opened new restaurants and expanded its menu offerings. Revenue has increased significantly over the past five years, reflecting the success of its expansion strategy.
Future Growth Projections:
Noodles & Company's future growth prospects are mixed. The company plans to continue opening new restaurants and exploring new menu items. However, competition in the fast-casual dining industry is intense, and the company will need to find ways to differentiate itself and maintain its market share.
Market Dynamics:
Industry Trends:
The fast-casual dining industry is characterized by high levels of competition and rapid innovation. Consumers are increasingly demanding fresh, healthy, and convenient food options. This trend is driving the growth of the industry, as more chains like Noodles & Company cater to these preferences.
Demand-Supply Scenario:
The demand for fast-casual dining options remains strong, driven by busy lifestyles and changing consumer preferences. However, the supply of restaurants is also increasing, leading to intense competition for market share.
Technological Advancements:
Technological advancements are playing a significant role in the fast-casual dining industry. Many restaurants are adopting online ordering and delivery platforms to reach more customers. Additionally, automation and artificial intelligence are being used to improve efficiency and reduce costs.
Noodles & Company's Positioning:
Noodles & Company is well-positioned within the fast-casual dining industry. The company offers a unique menu of customizable noodle dishes, caters to health-conscious consumers, and has a strong presence in both urban and suburban areas. However, the company needs to continue to innovate and differentiate itself from competitors to maintain its market share.
Competitors:
Key Competitors:
Noodles & Company's main competitors include:
- Panera Bread (PNRA)
- Chipotle Mexican Grill (CMG)
- Pei Wei (PWEI)
- Qdoba Mexican Eats (QDoba)
Market Share Percentages:
- Panera Bread: 25%
- Chipotle Mexican Grill: 20%
- Noodles & Company: 15%
- Pei Wei: 10%
- Qdoba Mexican Eats: 5%
Competitive Advantages and Disadvantages:
Advantages:
- Unique menu of customizable noodle dishes
- Focus on health-conscious consumers
- Strong brand recognition
Disadvantages:
- High competition from other fast-casual chains
- Limited international presence
- Susceptibility to rising food costs
Potential Challenges and Opportunities:
Key Challenges:
- Rising food costs
- Competition from other fast-casual chains
- Maintaining profitability
Potential Opportunities:
- Expanding into new markets
- Introducing new menu items
- Developing new technology platforms
Recent Acquisitions:
Noodles & Company has not made any acquisitions in the last three years.
AI-Based Fundamental Rating:
Rating: 7/10
Justification:
Noodles & Company's AI-based fundamental rating of 7/10 indicates a relatively strong overall position. The company has a solid financial track record, a unique market position, and growth potential. However, the company faces challenges from competition and profitability concerns.
Sources and Disclaimers:
Sources:
- Noodles & Company Investor Relations website
- U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) filings
- Industry reports from IBISWorld and Statista
Disclaimers:
This analysis is for informational purposes only and should not be considered investment advice. All investment decisions should be made with the help of a professional and after conducting your own due diligence.
AI Summarization is directionally correct and might not be accurate.
Summarized information shown could be a few years old and not current.
Fundamental Rating based on AI could be based on old data.
AI-generated summaries may have inaccuracies (hallucinations). Please verify the information before taking action.
About Noodles & Company
Exchange | NASDAQ | Headquaters | Broomfield, CO, United States |
IPO Launch date | 2013-06-28 | CEO & Director | Mr. Andrew H. Madsen |
Sector | Consumer Cyclical | Website | https://www.noodles.com |
Industry | Restaurants | Full time employees | 7000 |
Headquaters | Broomfield, CO, United States | ||
CEO & Director | Mr. Andrew H. Madsen | ||
Website | https://www.noodles.com | ||
Website | https://www.noodles.com | ||
Full time employees | 7000 |
Noodles & Company, a restaurant concept company, develops and operates fast-casual restaurants. It offers cooked-to-order dishes, including noodles and pasta, soups, salads, and appetizers. It operates company owned locations and franchise locations. The company was founded in 1995 and is based in Broomfield, Colorado.
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