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Upturn AI Summary - About
Newell Brands Inc(NWL)
Advisory History & Simulated Performance *
*as per simulation (see disclosures)- ALL
- 1Y
- 1M
- 1W
- BUY Advisory
- SELL Advisory (Profit)
- SELL Advisory (Loss)
- Profit
- Loss
- PASS (Skip)
Stock price based on last close Advisory Performance History (Simulated)
Upturn Advisory & Investor View for NWL
10/08/2026: NWL (2-star) is currently NOT-A-BUY. Pass it for now.
Newell Brands is a consumer goods company managing a portfolio of well-known brands across home, office, and outdoor categories. Its main strengths lie in its deep retail relationships and established market presence, particularly in writing and organization. The current investment story centers on a multi-year restructuring program aimed at simplifying the business and reducing debt levels to stabilize performance. However, investors must consider risks related to high leverage, intense competition from private labels, and sensitivity to macroeconomic conditions. The stock may suit value-oriented investors who are monitoring the progress of its turnaround initiatives and the sustainability of its dividend payouts.
How to Read the Upturn Advisory
The Upturn Star Rating and the current BUY, SELL, or PASS advisory are generated by Upturn’s AI advisory engine based on proprietary signal analysis, price behavior, advisory history, and historical signal performance.
Company fundamentals, valuation, risks, and news provide supporting context about the business.
Investor Fit
| Investor style | Fit | Why |
|---|---|---|
| Growth investor | Weak fit | The company is currently in a restructuring phase rather than a high-growth stage. |
| Momentum investor | Weak fit | The stock has struggled to maintain positive price momentum in recent years. |
| Value investor | Mixed fit | Trading at lower multiples, the company may attract value investors seeking a turnaround. |
| Dividend investor | Mixed fit | Dividends are present but reliability is tied to the company's ability to generate sustained free cash flow. |
| Low-risk investor | Weak fit | High leverage and operational volatility make this a risky pick for conservative investors. |
Risk Profile
| Risk factor | Level | Why it matters |
|---|---|---|
| Price volatility | High | The stock price has shown significant swings correlated with restructuring news and macroeconomic updates. |
| Valuation risk | Medium | The market valuation reflects skepticism regarding the company's long-term earnings growth potential. |
| Competition risk | High | Private label expansion poses a consistent threat to market share for branded consumer goods. |
| Business quality | Medium | While the brand portfolio is iconic, the operational complexity presents ongoing management challenges. |
| Dividend income | Medium | Payouts are susceptible to reductions if cash flow needs for debt servicing escalate. |
| Execution risk | High | Success depends heavily on the effective implementation of cost-cutting and portfolio optimization strategies. |
Price Behavior
Strong Uptrend
The stock has maintained a strong upward price trend across the last three quarters.
Choppy
The stock has experienced frequent reversals and pronounced short-term price swings.
Analysis of Past Performance
Type Stock | Historic Profit -54.14% | Avg. Invested days 28 | Today’s Advisory PASS |
Upturn Advisory Rating  | Upturn Advisory Performance  2.0 | Stock Returns Performance  1.0 |
| Profits based on simulation | Last Close 10/08/2026 |
Upturn Scorecard
Upturn Star Rating 
Company Fundamentals
Financial Health Rating
Growth Momentum Score
Ownership
Top 5 Institutional Investors
Unit Economics (Per $1K Revenue)
Economic Dimensions
Quantitative Style Profile
Style Classification
Quality Focused
Key Highlights
Company Size Mid-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 2.44B USD | Price to earnings Ratio - | 1Y Target Price 6.66 |
Price to earnings Ratio - | 1Y Target Price 6.66 | ||
Volume (30-day avg) 6.3M shares | Beta 0.87 | 52 Weeks Range 2.87 - 7.05 | Updated Date 10/07/2026 |
52 Weeks Range 2.87 - 7.05 | Updated Date 10/07/2026 | ||
Dividends yield (FY) 5.05% | Basic EPS (TTM) -0.53 |
How Company Makes Money
| Business area | What it includes | Retail investor read |
|---|---|---|
| Home & Commercial | Rubbermaid, food storage, appliances. | Revenue is driven by everyday home usage and business cleaning supplies. |
| Learning & Development | Writing, arts, and crafts. | This segment relies on back-to-school and professional office demand. |
| Geography | Global sales with significant North American concentration. | US retail market conditions are the primary driver of top-line performance. |
Analyzing Revenue: Products, Geography and Growth
Revenue by Products
Product revenue - Year on Year
Revenue by Geography
Geography revenue - Year on Year
Valuation
Trailing PE - | Forward PE 7.5 | Enterprise Value 7.79B | Price to Sales(TTM) 0.34 |
Enterprise Value 7.79B | Price to Sales(TTM) 0.34 | ||
Enterprise Value to Revenue 1.08 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA 16.61 | Shares Outstanding 425.90M | Shares Floating 391.14M |
Shares Outstanding 425.90M | Shares Floating 391.14M | ||
Percent Insiders 1.38 | Percent Institutions 107.62 |
Financial Metrics
🧭 Investment Snapshot
Total Revenue (Scale)
Total money earned from selling products or services before any costs. It is needed to understand the scale of the business and its ability to generate income.
Net Income (Profit)
Final profit after all expenses, interest, and taxes are deducted. It is needed to determine the overall profitability available to shareholders.
Free Cash Flow (Cash Strength)
Cash remaining after operating activities and capital expenditures, showing cash available for growth. It is needed to evaluate the company’s ability to invest, pay dividends, or reduce debt.
📈 Growth & Strength
Operating Income (Core Profit)
Profit from core operations after deducting all operating expenses. It is needed to measure how efficiently the company runs its primary business activities.
EBITDA (Cash Earnings)
Earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization, indicating operating cash potential. It is needed to compare operating performance across companies without accounting or financing differences.
Gross Profit (Unit Profitability)
Revenue minus cost of revenue, showing profit after direct production costs. It is needed to evaluate core business profitability before overhead expenses.
🛡️ Financial Safety
Cash (Liquidity Buffer)
Total cash and cash equivalents on hand. It is needed to evaluate immediate liquidity and financial flexibility.
Total Debt (Leverage Risk)
Total debt including both short-term and long-term components. It is needed to assess the company’s leverage and financial risk.
Net Working Capital (Short-Term Health)
Current assets minus current liabilities, indicating short-term liquidity strength. It is needed to assess whether the company can meet its short-term obligations.
🧱 Balance Sheet Strength
Stockholder Equity (Net Worth)
Total equity value held by shareholders. It is needed to understand the net worth of the company from the owners’ perspective.
Total Assets (Asset Base)
The full value of everything the company owns, including cash, inventory, equipment, and investments. It is needed to understand the resource base used to generate revenue.
Income Before Tax (Pre-Tax Earnings)
Income before provision for income taxes. It is needed to analyze profitability independent of tax structures.
⚙️ Cost & Drag Factors
Cost of Revenue (Production Cost)
Direct costs required to produce and deliver the products or services sold. It is needed to assess efficiency in production and service delivery.
Total Operating Expenses (Operating Cost)
Indirect costs of running the business such as salaries, marketing, and administration. It is needed to understand how much it costs to sustain ongoing business operations.
Income Tax Expense (Tax Drag)
Amount of taxes paid or payable to the government. It is needed to evaluate the impact of taxation on overall profitability.
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