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Ollie\'s Bargain Outlet Hldg (OLLI)


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Upturn Advisory Summary
10/22/2025: OLLI (3-star) is currently NOT-A-BUY. Pass it for now.
1 Year Target Price $147.2
1 Year Target Price $147.2
7 | Strong Buy |
4 | Buy |
5 | Hold |
0 | Sell |
0 | Strong Sell |
Analysis of Past Performance
Type Stock | Historic Profit 17.68% | Avg. Invested days 43 | Today’s Advisory PASS |
Upturn Star Rating ![]() | Upturn Advisory Performance ![]() | Stock Returns Performance ![]() |
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Key Highlights
Company Size Mid-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 7.64B USD | Price to earnings Ratio 35.18 | 1Y Target Price 147.2 |
Price to earnings Ratio 35.18 | 1Y Target Price 147.2 | ||
Volume (30-day avg) 16 | Beta 0.42 | 52 Weeks Range 86.88 - 141.74 | Updated Date 10/22/2025 |
52 Weeks Range 86.88 - 141.74 | Updated Date 10/22/2025 | ||
Dividends yield (FY) - | Basic EPS (TTM) 3.45 |
Earnings Date
Report Date - | When - | Estimate - | Actual - |
Profitability
Profit Margin 8.74% | Operating Margin (TTM) 11.33% |
Management Effectiveness
Return on Assets (TTM) 6.54% | Return on Equity (TTM) 12.64% |
Valuation
Trailing PE 35.18 | Forward PE 28.49 | Enterprise Value 8270404739 | Price to Sales(TTM) 3.13 |
Enterprise Value 8270404739 | Price to Sales(TTM) 3.13 | ||
Enterprise Value to Revenue 3.39 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA 26.18 | Shares Outstanding 61310152 | Shares Floating 61072269 |
Shares Outstanding 61310152 | Shares Floating 61072269 | ||
Percent Insiders 0.3 | Percent Institutions 114.24 |
Upturn AI SWOT
Ollie's Bargain Outlet Hldg

Company Overview
History and Background
Ollie's Bargain Outlet was founded in 1982 in Mechanicsburg, Pennsylvania. It has grown from a single store to a national chain known for selling closeout merchandise and excess inventory at discounted prices.
Core Business Areas
- Retail Operations: Ollie's operates a chain of retail stores across the United States, offering a wide range of discounted merchandise.
- Merchandise Sourcing: The company sources its products from various channels, including manufacturers, retailers, and distributors, often acquiring excess inventory or closeout items.
Leadership and Structure
The CEO of Ollie's Bargain Outlet Hldg is John Swygert. The organizational structure is typical of a retail chain, with regional and store-level management reporting to corporate headquarters.
Top Products and Market Share
Key Offerings
- Housewares: Includes items for the home such as cookware, appliances, and du00e9cor. Market share data is not publicly available for Ollie's specific housewares sales. Competitors include TJ Maxx (TJX), Ross Stores (ROST), and Big Lots (BIG).
- Food: Shelf-stable foods and snacks. Market share data is not publicly available for Ollie's specific food sales. Competitors include Dollar General (DG), Dollar Tree (DLTR), and grocery stores.
- Books and Stationery: Discounted books, stationery, and school supplies. Market share data is not publicly available for Ollie's specific books and stationery sales. Competitors include retailers such as Walmart (WMT) and Amazon (AMZN).
- Hardware and Automotive: Tools, hardware supplies, and automotive accessories. Market share data is not publicly available for Ollie's specific hardware and automotive sales. Competitors include Harbor Freight and auto parts retailers like AutoZone (AZO) and Advance Auto Parts (AAP).
Market Dynamics
Industry Overview
The discount retail industry is characterized by price competition, sourcing of closeout merchandise, and value-driven consumers. The industry is currently experiencing growth due to inflation and cost-conscious shoppers.
Positioning
Ollie's is positioned as a deep-discount retailer, offering a treasure hunt shopping experience and value pricing. Its competitive advantage lies in its opportunistic sourcing and cost-effective operations.
Total Addressable Market (TAM)
The total addressable market for discount retail in the US is estimated to be in the hundreds of billions of dollars. Ollie's is positioned to capture a portion of this market through store expansion and strategic sourcing.
Upturn SWOT Analysis
Strengths
- Strong brand recognition for value pricing
- Opportunistic sourcing capabilities
- Loyal customer base
- Experienced management team
- Low operating costs
Weaknesses
- Reliance on closeout merchandise, which can be unpredictable
- Limited online presence
- Vulnerability to supply chain disruptions
- High dependence on vendor relationships
- Smaller store footprint compared to competitors
Opportunities
- Expansion into new geographic markets
- Growth of e-commerce channel
- Increased demand for value-priced goods
- Strategic partnerships with manufacturers and retailers
- Development of private label brands
Threats
- Increased competition from other discount retailers
- Economic downturn impacting consumer spending
- Changes in consumer preferences
- Supply chain disruptions
- Inflationary pressures on sourcing costs
Competitors and Market Share
Key Competitors
- TJX
- ROST
- DLTR
- DG
- BIG
Competitive Landscape
Ollie's competes with other discount retailers based on price, product assortment, and store location. Its treasure hunt shopping experience differentiates it from some competitors.
Growth Trajectory and Initiatives
Historical Growth: Ollie's has demonstrated steady growth through store expansion and same-store sales increases in recent years.
Future Projections: Analyst estimates suggest continued growth driven by new store openings and comparable sales gains.
Recent Initiatives: Recent initiatives include expanding into new markets, enhancing the customer experience, and optimizing supply chain operations.
Summary
Ollie's Bargain Outlet has a solid foundation and proven business model that works well in tough economic times. Its sourcing capabilities are key to maintaining low prices. Expansion is a significant opportunity but supply chain vulnerability and competition present challenges. Maintaining its unique bargain-hunting experience is crucial for long-term success.
Peer Comparison
Sources and Disclaimers
Data Sources:
- Company websites
- Analyst reports
- Industry publications
- SEC filings
- Market research reports
Disclaimers:
The information provided is for informational purposes only and should not be considered investment advice. Market share data may be estimated and may not reflect precise figures.
AI Summarization is directionally correct and might not be accurate.
Summarized information shown could be a few years old and not current.
Fundamental Rating based on AI could be based on old data.
AI-generated summaries may have inaccuracies (hallucinations). Please verify the information before taking action.
About Ollie's Bargain Outlet Hldg
Exchange NASDAQ | Headquaters Harrisburg, PA, United States | ||
IPO Launch date 2015-07-16 | President, CEO & Director Mr. Eric van der Valk | ||
Sector Consumer Defensive | Industry Discount Stores | Full time employees 5900 | Website https://www.ollies.com |
Full time employees 5900 | Website https://www.ollies.com |
Ollie's Bargain Outlet Holdings, Inc. operates as a retailer of closeout merchandise and excess inventory in the United States. The company offers housewares, bed and bath, food, floor coverings, health and beauty aids, books and stationery, toys, and electronics; and other products, including hardware, candy, clothing, sporting goods, pet and lawn, and garden products. It sells its products under the Ollie's, Ollie's Bargain Outlet, Good Stuff Cheap, Ollie's Army, Real Brands Real Cheap!, Real Brands! Real Bargains, Sarasota Breeze, Steelton Tools, American Way, and Middleton Home brands. The company was formerly known as Bargain Holdings, Inc. and changed its name to Ollie's Bargain Outlet Holdings, Inc. in March 2015. Ollie's Bargain Outlet Holdings, Inc. was founded in 1982 and is headquartered in Harrisburg, Pennsylvania.

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