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Ollie\'s Bargain Outlet Hldg (OLLI)



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Upturn Advisory Summary
09/16/2025: OLLI (3-star) is currently NOT-A-BUY. Pass it for now.
1 Year Target Price $146.6
1 Year Target Price $146.6
7 | Strong Buy |
4 | Buy |
5 | Hold |
0 | Sell |
0 | Strong Sell |
Analysis of Past Performance
Type Stock | Historic Profit 17.68% | Avg. Invested days 43 | Today’s Advisory PASS |
Upturn Star Rating ![]() ![]() | Upturn Advisory Performance ![]() | Stock Returns Performance ![]() |
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Key Highlights
Company Size Mid-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 8.35B USD | Price to earnings Ratio 39.49 | 1Y Target Price 146.6 |
Price to earnings Ratio 39.49 | 1Y Target Price 146.6 | ||
Volume (30-day avg) 16 | Beta 0.45 | 52 Weeks Range 86.88 - 141.74 | Updated Date 09/16/2025 |
52 Weeks Range 86.88 - 141.74 | Updated Date 09/16/2025 | ||
Dividends yield (FY) - | Basic EPS (TTM) 3.45 |
Earnings Date
Report Date 2025-08-28 | When - | Estimate 0.92 | Actual 0.99 |
Profitability
Profit Margin 8.74% | Operating Margin (TTM) 11.33% |
Management Effectiveness
Return on Assets (TTM) 6.54% | Return on Equity (TTM) 12.64% |
Valuation
Trailing PE 39.49 | Forward PE 34.25 | Enterprise Value 8412644292 | Price to Sales(TTM) 3.42 |
Enterprise Value 8412644292 | Price to Sales(TTM) 3.42 | ||
Enterprise Value to Revenue 3.45 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA 26.63 | Shares Outstanding 61310200 | Shares Floating 61072269 |
Shares Outstanding 61310200 | Shares Floating 61072269 | ||
Percent Insiders 0.3 | Percent Institutions 114.67 |
Upturn AI SWOT
Ollie's Bargain Outlet Hldg

Company Overview
History and Background
Ollie's Bargain Outlet was founded in 1982 in Mechanicsburg, Pennsylvania. It has grown from a single store to a chain of over 500 stores across the eastern United States. Ollie's focuses on selling closeout merchandise and excess inventory at discounted prices.
Core Business Areas
- Retail Sales: Ollie's operates retail stores selling a wide range of products, including housewares, food, books, toys, and clothing at discounted prices.
Leadership and Structure
The CEO of Ollie's Bargain Outlet is Eric van der Valk. The company has a traditional hierarchical structure with regional managers and store managers reporting to corporate leadership.
Top Products and Market Share
Key Offerings
- Housewares: Includes kitchenware, bedding, and home du00e9cor. Market share data is not publicly available for specific product categories within Ollie's. Competitors include Big Lots (BIG), Dollar General (DG), and Dollar Tree (DLTR).
- Food: Shelf-stable food items and snacks. Market share data is not publicly available for specific product categories within Ollie's. Competitors include Big Lots (BIG), Dollar General (DG), and Grocery Outlet (GO).
- Books and Toys: Discounted books and toys from various publishers and manufacturers. Market share data is not publicly available for specific product categories within Ollie's. Competitors include Big Lots (BIG) and Five Below (FIVE).
Market Dynamics
Industry Overview
The discount retail industry is characterized by price competition and fluctuating consumer demand. The industry has been growing steadily, especially during economic downturns, as consumers seek value.
Positioning
Ollie's is positioned as a deep-discount retailer offering brand-name merchandise at closeout prices. Its competitive advantage lies in its ability to source and distribute discounted goods efficiently.
Total Addressable Market (TAM)
The total addressable market for discount retail is estimated to be several hundred billion dollars annually. Ollie's is positioned to capture a portion of this market through expansion and strategic sourcing.
Upturn SWOT Analysis
Strengths
- Strong Brand Recognition
- Unique Sourcing Strategy
- Loyal Customer Base
- Efficient Operations
Weaknesses
- Dependence on Supplier Closeouts
- Inconsistent Product Availability
- Limited Online Presence
- Geographic Concentration (East Coast)
Opportunities
- Geographic Expansion
- Increased Online Sales
- Private Label Development
- Strategic Partnerships
Threats
- Increased Competition
- Economic Downturns
- Supply Chain Disruptions
- Changing Consumer Preferences
Competitors and Market Share
Key Competitors
- BIG
- DG
- DLTR
- FIVE
- GO
Competitive Landscape
Ollie's differentiates itself through its treasure-hunt shopping experience and deep discounts. It faces competition from other discount retailers, but its unique sourcing strategy provides a competitive edge.
Growth Trajectory and Initiatives
Historical Growth: Ollie's has experienced significant growth in recent years, driven by new store openings and comparable store sales growth.
Future Projections: Analysts expect Ollie's to continue expanding its store base and increasing sales through strategic sourcing and marketing initiatives.
Recent Initiatives: Recent initiatives include expanding into new geographic markets, enhancing the customer experience and investing in supply chain improvements.
Summary
Ollie's Bargain Outlet is a growing discount retailer with a unique sourcing strategy and loyal customer base. Its strengths include a strong brand and efficient operations; however, the company faces challenges regarding inconsistent product availability and dependence on supplier closeouts. Geographic expansion and enhanced online sales represent key opportunities. Increased competition and economic downturns pose potential threats.
Peer Comparison
Sources and Disclaimers
Data Sources:
- Company Filings
- Analyst Reports
- Industry Research
Disclaimers:
This analysis is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Market share data is estimated based on available information.
AI Summarization is directionally correct and might not be accurate.
Summarized information shown could be a few years old and not current.
Fundamental Rating based on AI could be based on old data.
AI-generated summaries may have inaccuracies (hallucinations). Please verify the information before taking action.
About Ollie's Bargain Outlet Hldg
Exchange NASDAQ | Headquaters Harrisburg, PA, United States | ||
IPO Launch date 2015-07-16 | President, CEO & Director Mr. Eric van der Valk | ||
Sector Consumer Defensive | Industry Discount Stores | Full time employees 5900 | Website https://www.ollies.com |
Full time employees 5900 | Website https://www.ollies.com |
Ollie's Bargain Outlet Holdings, Inc. operates as a retailer of closeout merchandise and excess inventory in the United States. The company offers housewares, bed and bath, food, floor coverings, health and beauty aids, books and stationery, toys, and electronics; and other products, including hardware, candy, clothing, sporting goods, pet and lawn, and garden products. It sells its products under the Ollie's, Ollie's Bargain Outlet, Good Stuff Cheap, Ollie's Army, Real Brands Real Cheap!, Real Brands! Real Bargains, Sarasota Breeze, Steelton Tools, American Way, and Middleton Home brands. The company was formerly known as Bargain Holdings, Inc. and changed its name to Ollie's Bargain Outlet Holdings, Inc. in March 2015. Ollie's Bargain Outlet Holdings, Inc. was founded in 1982 and is headquartered in Harrisburg, Pennsylvania.

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