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Ollie\'s Bargain Outlet Hldg (OLLI)



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Upturn Advisory Summary
08/28/2025: OLLI (2-star) has a low Upturn Star Rating. Not recommended to BUY.
1 Year Target Price $141.47
1 Year Target Price $141.47
7 | Strong Buy |
4 | Buy |
5 | Hold |
0 | Sell |
0 | Strong Sell |
Analysis of Past Performance
Type Stock | Historic Profit 20.8% | Avg. Invested days 42 | Today’s Advisory WEAK BUY |
Upturn Star Rating ![]() ![]() | Upturn Advisory Performance ![]() | Stock Returns Performance ![]() |
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Key Highlights
Company Size Mid-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 8.06B USD | Price to earnings Ratio 40.43 | 1Y Target Price 141.47 |
Price to earnings Ratio 40.43 | 1Y Target Price 141.47 | ||
Volume (30-day avg) 16 | Beta 0.4 | 52 Weeks Range 86.67 - 141.74 | Updated Date 08/29/2025 |
52 Weeks Range 86.67 - 141.74 | Updated Date 08/29/2025 | ||
Dividends yield (FY) - | Basic EPS (TTM) 3.25 |
Earnings Date
Report Date 2025-08-28 | When - | Estimate 0.9235 | Actual 0.99 |
Profitability
Profit Margin 8.59% | Operating Margin (TTM) 9.74% |
Management Effectiveness
Return on Assets (TTM) 6.34% | Return on Equity (TTM) 12.32% |
Valuation
Trailing PE 40.43 | Forward PE 34.48 | Enterprise Value 8338791019 | Price to Sales(TTM) 3.44 |
Enterprise Value 8338791019 | Price to Sales(TTM) 3.44 | ||
Enterprise Value to Revenue 3.56 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA 28.15 | Shares Outstanding 61341100 | Shares Floating 61100665 |
Shares Outstanding 61341100 | Shares Floating 61100665 | ||
Percent Insiders 0.3 | Percent Institutions 114.63 |
Upturn AI SWOT
Ollie's Bargain Outlet Hldg

Company Overview
History and Background
Ollie's Bargain Outlet was founded in 1982 in Mechanicsburg, Pennsylvania. It has grown from a single store to a chain of over 500 stores across the Eastern United States, known for its closeout and discounted merchandise.
Core Business Areas
- Retail Sales: The primary business segment involves selling discounted merchandise, including housewares, food, books, toys, and clothing. Ollie's operates on a 'closeout' buying strategy, purchasing overstocked or discontinued items from manufacturers and retailers.
Leadership and Structure
The current CEO is John Swygert. The organizational structure is typical of a retail chain, with regional managers overseeing store operations and a corporate headquarters managing purchasing, marketing, and finance.
Top Products and Market Share
Key Offerings
- Housewares and Home Goods: Includes items like kitchenware, bedding, and furniture. Market share for specific houseware items is fragmented but Ollie's competes with major retailers like Walmart and Target in this segment. Competitors: TJ Maxx, Ross Stores.
- Food and Candy: Shelf-stable food items, snacks, and candies are a significant draw. Ollie's competes with discount grocery stores and dollar stores. Competitors: Dollar General, Dollar Tree, Big Lots.
- Books and Toys: Discounted books and toys, including overstock from publishers and manufacturers. Competitors: Amazon, Walmart, Barnes & Noble.
Market Dynamics
Industry Overview
The discount retail industry is experiencing steady growth, driven by consumer demand for value and affordability, especially during economic downturns. The industry is highly competitive with many small companies and a few leading giants.
Positioning
Ollie's is positioned as a deep-discount retailer, focusing on opportunistic buying and cost control to offer lower prices than traditional retailers.
Total Addressable Market (TAM)
The total addressable market for discount retail is estimated to be over $80 billion in the US. Ollie's is capturing a small, but growing, portion of this market through store expansion and comparable sales growth.
Upturn SWOT Analysis
Strengths
- Strong brand recognition for value and bargains
- Opportunistic buying model allowing for unique product offerings
- Experienced management team
- Loyal customer base
Weaknesses
- Dependence on availability of closeout merchandise
- Limited online presence
- Geographic concentration in the Eastern United States
- Inconsistent product assortment
Opportunities
- Expansion into new geographic markets
- Growth through e-commerce initiatives
- Increased focus on private-label brands
- Enhancing customer loyalty programs
Threats
- Economic downturn impacting consumer spending
- Increased competition from other discount retailers
- Supply chain disruptions affecting merchandise availability
- Changes in consumer preferences
Competitors and Market Share
Key Competitors
- Dollar General (DG)
- Dollar Tree (DLTR)
- Big Lots (BIG)
Competitive Landscape
Ollie's differentiates itself with a treasure hunt experience and unique product offerings. It competes with larger discount retailers on price, but its smaller store footprint and opportunistic buying strategy set it apart.
Growth Trajectory and Initiatives
Historical Growth: Ollie's has experienced consistent store growth and comparable sales increases in recent years, driven by its value proposition and opportunistic buying model.
Future Projections: Analysts project continued store growth and moderate comparable sales increases for Ollie's in the coming years.
Recent Initiatives: Recent initiatives include expanding store count, enhancing the loyalty program (Ollie's Army), and improving supply chain efficiencies.
Summary
Ollie's Bargain Outlet is a discount retailer with a strong brand and loyal customer base. Its opportunistic buying model allows it to offer unique and compelling deals. However, its dependence on closeout merchandise and limited online presence pose challenges. Continued store expansion and strategic initiatives will be crucial for future growth.
Peer Comparison
Sources and Disclaimers
Data Sources:
- Company SEC Filings (10-K, 10-Q)
- Investor Presentations
- Market Research Reports
- Analyst Reports
Disclaimers:
The information provided is for informational purposes only and should not be construed as investment advice. Market share percentages are estimates and may vary. The AI-based rating is generated using an algorithm and is not a substitute for professional financial advice.
AI Summarization is directionally correct and might not be accurate.
Summarized information shown could be a few years old and not current.
Fundamental Rating based on AI could be based on old data.
AI-generated summaries may have inaccuracies (hallucinations). Please verify the information before taking action.
About Ollie's Bargain Outlet Hldg
Exchange NASDAQ | Headquaters Harrisburg, PA, United States | ||
IPO Launch date 2015-07-16 | President, CEO & Director Mr. Eric van der Valk | ||
Sector Consumer Defensive | Industry Discount Stores | Full time employees 5900 | Website https://www.ollies.com |
Full time employees 5900 | Website https://www.ollies.com |
Ollie's Bargain Outlet Holdings, Inc. operates as a retailer of closeout merchandise and excess inventory in the United States. The company offers housewares, bed and bath, food, floor coverings, health and beauty aids, books and stationery, toys, and electronics; and other products, including hardware, candy, clothing, sporting goods, pet and lawn, and garden products. It sells its products under the Ollie's, Ollie's Bargain Outlet, Good Stuff Cheap, Ollie's Army, Real Brands Real Cheap!, Real Brands! Real Bargains, Sarasota Breeze, Steelton Tools, American Way, and Middleton Home brands. The company was formerly known as Bargain Holdings, Inc. and changed its name to Ollie's Bargain Outlet Holdings, Inc. in March 2015. Ollie's Bargain Outlet Holdings, Inc. was founded in 1982 and is headquartered in Harrisburg, Pennsylvania.

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