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Upturn stock ratingUpturn stock rating
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Ollie\'s Bargain Outlet Hldg (OLLI)

Upturn stock ratingUpturn stock rating
$131.39
Last Close (24-hour delay)
Profit since last BUY16.03%
upturn advisory
WEAK BUY
BUY since 106 days
  • BUY Advisory
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  • SELL Advisory (Loss)​
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Upturn Stock infoUpturn Stock info Stock price based on last close
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Upturn Advisory Summary

08/28/2025: OLLI (2-star) has a low Upturn Star Rating. Not recommended to BUY.

Upturn Star Rating

rating

Below Average Performance

These Stocks/ETFs, based on Upturn Advisory, often underperform the market, warranting careful consideration before investing.

Number of Analysts

rating

16 Analysts rated it

Moderately tracked stock, growing coverage, gaining market and investor attention.

1 Year Target Price $141.47

1 Year Target Price $141.47

Analysts Price Target For last 52 week
$141.47 Target price
52w Low $86.67
Current$131.39
52w High $141.74

Analysis of Past Performance

Type Stock
Historic Profit 20.8%
Avg. Invested days 42
Today’s Advisory WEAK BUY
Upturn Star Rating Upturn stock ratingUpturn stock rating
Upturn Advisory Performance Upturn Advisory Performance 3.0
Stock Returns Performance Upturn Returns Performance 3.0
Upturn Profits based on simulationUpturn Profits based on simulation Profits based on simulation
Upturn Profits based on simulationUpturn Profits based on simulation Last Close 08/28/2025

Key Highlights

Company Size Mid-Cap Stock
Market Capitalization 8.06B USD
Price to earnings Ratio 40.43
1Y Target Price 141.47
Price to earnings Ratio 40.43
1Y Target Price 141.47
Volume (30-day avg) 16
Beta 0.4
52 Weeks Range 86.67 - 141.74
Updated Date 08/29/2025
52 Weeks Range 86.67 - 141.74
Updated Date 08/29/2025
Dividends yield (FY) -
Basic EPS (TTM) 3.25

Earnings Date

Report Date 2025-08-28
When -
Estimate 0.9235
Actual 0.99

Profitability

Profit Margin 8.59%
Operating Margin (TTM) 9.74%

Management Effectiveness

Return on Assets (TTM) 6.34%
Return on Equity (TTM) 12.32%

Valuation

Trailing PE 40.43
Forward PE 34.48
Enterprise Value 8338791019
Price to Sales(TTM) 3.44
Enterprise Value 8338791019
Price to Sales(TTM) 3.44
Enterprise Value to Revenue 3.56
Enterprise Value to EBITDA 28.15
Shares Outstanding 61341100
Shares Floating 61100665
Shares Outstanding 61341100
Shares Floating 61100665
Percent Insiders 0.3
Percent Institutions 114.63

ai summary icon Upturn AI SWOT

Ollie's Bargain Outlet Hldg

stock logo

Company Overview

overview logo History and Background

Ollie's Bargain Outlet was founded in 1982 in Mechanicsburg, Pennsylvania. It has grown from a single store to a chain of over 500 stores across the Eastern United States, known for its closeout and discounted merchandise.

business area logo Core Business Areas

  • Retail Sales: The primary business segment involves selling discounted merchandise, including housewares, food, books, toys, and clothing. Ollie's operates on a 'closeout' buying strategy, purchasing overstocked or discontinued items from manufacturers and retailers.

leadership logo Leadership and Structure

The current CEO is John Swygert. The organizational structure is typical of a retail chain, with regional managers overseeing store operations and a corporate headquarters managing purchasing, marketing, and finance.

Top Products and Market Share

overview logo Key Offerings

  • Housewares and Home Goods: Includes items like kitchenware, bedding, and furniture. Market share for specific houseware items is fragmented but Ollie's competes with major retailers like Walmart and Target in this segment. Competitors: TJ Maxx, Ross Stores.
  • Food and Candy: Shelf-stable food items, snacks, and candies are a significant draw. Ollie's competes with discount grocery stores and dollar stores. Competitors: Dollar General, Dollar Tree, Big Lots.
  • Books and Toys: Discounted books and toys, including overstock from publishers and manufacturers. Competitors: Amazon, Walmart, Barnes & Noble.

Market Dynamics

industry overview logo Industry Overview

The discount retail industry is experiencing steady growth, driven by consumer demand for value and affordability, especially during economic downturns. The industry is highly competitive with many small companies and a few leading giants.

Positioning

Ollie's is positioned as a deep-discount retailer, focusing on opportunistic buying and cost control to offer lower prices than traditional retailers.

Total Addressable Market (TAM)

The total addressable market for discount retail is estimated to be over $80 billion in the US. Ollie's is capturing a small, but growing, portion of this market through store expansion and comparable sales growth.

Upturn SWOT Analysis

Strengths

  • Strong brand recognition for value and bargains
  • Opportunistic buying model allowing for unique product offerings
  • Experienced management team
  • Loyal customer base

Weaknesses

  • Dependence on availability of closeout merchandise
  • Limited online presence
  • Geographic concentration in the Eastern United States
  • Inconsistent product assortment

Opportunities

  • Expansion into new geographic markets
  • Growth through e-commerce initiatives
  • Increased focus on private-label brands
  • Enhancing customer loyalty programs

Threats

  • Economic downturn impacting consumer spending
  • Increased competition from other discount retailers
  • Supply chain disruptions affecting merchandise availability
  • Changes in consumer preferences

Competitors and Market Share

competitor logo Key Competitors

  • Dollar General (DG)
  • Dollar Tree (DLTR)
  • Big Lots (BIG)

Competitive Landscape

Ollie's differentiates itself with a treasure hunt experience and unique product offerings. It competes with larger discount retailers on price, but its smaller store footprint and opportunistic buying strategy set it apart.

Growth Trajectory and Initiatives

Historical Growth: Ollie's has experienced consistent store growth and comparable sales increases in recent years, driven by its value proposition and opportunistic buying model.

Future Projections: Analysts project continued store growth and moderate comparable sales increases for Ollie's in the coming years.

Recent Initiatives: Recent initiatives include expanding store count, enhancing the loyalty program (Ollie's Army), and improving supply chain efficiencies.

Summary

Ollie's Bargain Outlet is a discount retailer with a strong brand and loyal customer base. Its opportunistic buying model allows it to offer unique and compelling deals. However, its dependence on closeout merchandise and limited online presence pose challenges. Continued store expansion and strategic initiatives will be crucial for future growth.

Peer Comparison

Sources and Disclaimers

Data Sources:

  • Company SEC Filings (10-K, 10-Q)
  • Investor Presentations
  • Market Research Reports
  • Analyst Reports

Disclaimers:

The information provided is for informational purposes only and should not be construed as investment advice. Market share percentages are estimates and may vary. The AI-based rating is generated using an algorithm and is not a substitute for professional financial advice.

Upturn AI SummarizationUpturn AI Summarization AI Summarization is directionally correct and might not be accurate.

Upturn AI SummarizationUpturn AI Summarization Summarized information shown could be a few years old and not current.

Upturn AI SummarizationUpturn AI Summarization Fundamental Rating based on AI could be based on old data.

Upturn AI SummarizationUpturn AI Summarization AI-generated summaries may have inaccuracies (hallucinations). Please verify the information before taking action.

About Ollie's Bargain Outlet Hldg

Exchange NASDAQ
Headquaters Harrisburg, PA, United States
IPO Launch date 2015-07-16
President, CEO & Director Mr. Eric van der Valk
Sector Consumer Defensive
Industry Discount Stores
Full time employees 5900
Full time employees 5900

Ollie's Bargain Outlet Holdings, Inc. operates as a retailer of closeout merchandise and excess inventory in the United States. The company offers housewares, bed and bath, food, floor coverings, health and beauty aids, books and stationery, toys, and electronics; and other products, including hardware, candy, clothing, sporting goods, pet and lawn, and garden products. It sells its products under the Ollie's, Ollie's Bargain Outlet, Good Stuff Cheap, Ollie's Army, Real Brands Real Cheap!, Real Brands! Real Bargains, Sarasota Breeze, Steelton Tools, American Way, and Middleton Home brands. The company was formerly known as Bargain Holdings, Inc. and changed its name to Ollie's Bargain Outlet Holdings, Inc. in March 2015. Ollie's Bargain Outlet Holdings, Inc. was founded in 1982 and is headquartered in Harrisburg, Pennsylvania.