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OLLI logo OLLI
Upturn stock rating
OLLI logo

Ollie\'s Bargain Outlet Hldg (OLLI)

Upturn stock rating
$120.6
Last Close (24-hour delay)
upturn advisory
PASS
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  • SELL Advisory (Loss)​
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Upturn Stock info Stock price based on last close
*as per simulation
(see disclosures)
Time period over
  • ALL
  • YEAR
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Upturn Advisory Summary

10/22/2025: OLLI (3-star) is currently NOT-A-BUY. Pass it for now.

Upturn Star Rating

rating

Moderate Performance

These Stocks/ETFs, based on Upturn Advisory, typically align with the market average, offering steady but unremarkable returns.

Number of Analysts

rating

16 Analysts rated it

Moderately tracked stock, growing coverage, gaining market and investor attention.

1 Year Target Price $147.2

1 Year Target Price $147.2

Analysts Price Target For last 52 week
$147.2 Target price
52w Low $86.88
Current$120.6
52w High $141.74

Analysis of Past Performance

Type Stock
Historic Profit 17.68%
Avg. Invested days 43
Today’s Advisory PASS
Upturn Star Rating upturn star rating icon
Upturn Advisory Performance Upturn Advisory Performance 3.0
Stock Returns Performance Upturn Returns Performance 2.0
Upturn Profits based on simulation Profits based on simulation
Upturn Profits based on simulation Last Close 10/22/2025

Key Highlights

Company Size Mid-Cap Stock
Market Capitalization 7.64B USD
Price to earnings Ratio 35.18
1Y Target Price 147.2
Price to earnings Ratio 35.18
1Y Target Price 147.2
Volume (30-day avg) 16
Beta 0.42
52 Weeks Range 86.88 - 141.74
Updated Date 10/22/2025
52 Weeks Range 86.88 - 141.74
Updated Date 10/22/2025
Dividends yield (FY) -
Basic EPS (TTM) 3.45

Earnings Date

Report Date -
When -
Estimate -
Actual -

Profitability

Profit Margin 8.74%
Operating Margin (TTM) 11.33%

Management Effectiveness

Return on Assets (TTM) 6.54%
Return on Equity (TTM) 12.64%

Valuation

Trailing PE 35.18
Forward PE 28.49
Enterprise Value 8270404739
Price to Sales(TTM) 3.13
Enterprise Value 8270404739
Price to Sales(TTM) 3.13
Enterprise Value to Revenue 3.39
Enterprise Value to EBITDA 26.18
Shares Outstanding 61310152
Shares Floating 61072269
Shares Outstanding 61310152
Shares Floating 61072269
Percent Insiders 0.3
Percent Institutions 114.24

ai summary icon Upturn AI SWOT

Ollie's Bargain Outlet Hldg

stock logo

Company Overview

overview logo History and Background

Ollie's Bargain Outlet was founded in 1982 in Mechanicsburg, Pennsylvania. It has grown from a single store to a national chain known for selling closeout merchandise and excess inventory at discounted prices.

business area logo Core Business Areas

  • Retail Operations: Ollie's operates a chain of retail stores across the United States, offering a wide range of discounted merchandise.
  • Merchandise Sourcing: The company sources its products from various channels, including manufacturers, retailers, and distributors, often acquiring excess inventory or closeout items.

leadership logo Leadership and Structure

The CEO of Ollie's Bargain Outlet Hldg is John Swygert. The organizational structure is typical of a retail chain, with regional and store-level management reporting to corporate headquarters.

Top Products and Market Share

overview logo Key Offerings

  • Housewares: Includes items for the home such as cookware, appliances, and du00e9cor. Market share data is not publicly available for Ollie's specific housewares sales. Competitors include TJ Maxx (TJX), Ross Stores (ROST), and Big Lots (BIG).
  • Food: Shelf-stable foods and snacks. Market share data is not publicly available for Ollie's specific food sales. Competitors include Dollar General (DG), Dollar Tree (DLTR), and grocery stores.
  • Books and Stationery: Discounted books, stationery, and school supplies. Market share data is not publicly available for Ollie's specific books and stationery sales. Competitors include retailers such as Walmart (WMT) and Amazon (AMZN).
  • Hardware and Automotive: Tools, hardware supplies, and automotive accessories. Market share data is not publicly available for Ollie's specific hardware and automotive sales. Competitors include Harbor Freight and auto parts retailers like AutoZone (AZO) and Advance Auto Parts (AAP).

Market Dynamics

industry overview logo Industry Overview

The discount retail industry is characterized by price competition, sourcing of closeout merchandise, and value-driven consumers. The industry is currently experiencing growth due to inflation and cost-conscious shoppers.

Positioning

Ollie's is positioned as a deep-discount retailer, offering a treasure hunt shopping experience and value pricing. Its competitive advantage lies in its opportunistic sourcing and cost-effective operations.

Total Addressable Market (TAM)

The total addressable market for discount retail in the US is estimated to be in the hundreds of billions of dollars. Ollie's is positioned to capture a portion of this market through store expansion and strategic sourcing.

Upturn SWOT Analysis

Strengths

  • Strong brand recognition for value pricing
  • Opportunistic sourcing capabilities
  • Loyal customer base
  • Experienced management team
  • Low operating costs

Weaknesses

  • Reliance on closeout merchandise, which can be unpredictable
  • Limited online presence
  • Vulnerability to supply chain disruptions
  • High dependence on vendor relationships
  • Smaller store footprint compared to competitors

Opportunities

  • Expansion into new geographic markets
  • Growth of e-commerce channel
  • Increased demand for value-priced goods
  • Strategic partnerships with manufacturers and retailers
  • Development of private label brands

Threats

  • Increased competition from other discount retailers
  • Economic downturn impacting consumer spending
  • Changes in consumer preferences
  • Supply chain disruptions
  • Inflationary pressures on sourcing costs

Competitors and Market Share

competitor logo Key Competitors

  • TJX
  • ROST
  • DLTR
  • DG
  • BIG

Competitive Landscape

Ollie's competes with other discount retailers based on price, product assortment, and store location. Its treasure hunt shopping experience differentiates it from some competitors.

Growth Trajectory and Initiatives

Historical Growth: Ollie's has demonstrated steady growth through store expansion and same-store sales increases in recent years.

Future Projections: Analyst estimates suggest continued growth driven by new store openings and comparable sales gains.

Recent Initiatives: Recent initiatives include expanding into new markets, enhancing the customer experience, and optimizing supply chain operations.

Summary

Ollie's Bargain Outlet has a solid foundation and proven business model that works well in tough economic times. Its sourcing capabilities are key to maintaining low prices. Expansion is a significant opportunity but supply chain vulnerability and competition present challenges. Maintaining its unique bargain-hunting experience is crucial for long-term success.

Peer Comparison

Sources and Disclaimers

Data Sources:

  • Company websites
  • Analyst reports
  • Industry publications
  • SEC filings
  • Market research reports

Disclaimers:

The information provided is for informational purposes only and should not be considered investment advice. Market share data may be estimated and may not reflect precise figures.

Upturn AI Summarization AI Summarization is directionally correct and might not be accurate.

Upturn AI Summarization Summarized information shown could be a few years old and not current.

Upturn AI Summarization Fundamental Rating based on AI could be based on old data.

Upturn AI Summarization AI-generated summaries may have inaccuracies (hallucinations). Please verify the information before taking action.

About Ollie's Bargain Outlet Hldg

Exchange NASDAQ
Headquaters Harrisburg, PA, United States
IPO Launch date 2015-07-16
President, CEO & Director Mr. Eric van der Valk
Sector Consumer Defensive
Industry Discount Stores
Full time employees 5900
Full time employees 5900

Ollie's Bargain Outlet Holdings, Inc. operates as a retailer of closeout merchandise and excess inventory in the United States. The company offers housewares, bed and bath, food, floor coverings, health and beauty aids, books and stationery, toys, and electronics; and other products, including hardware, candy, clothing, sporting goods, pet and lawn, and garden products. It sells its products under the Ollie's, Ollie's Bargain Outlet, Good Stuff Cheap, Ollie's Army, Real Brands Real Cheap!, Real Brands! Real Bargains, Sarasota Breeze, Steelton Tools, American Way, and Middleton Home brands. The company was formerly known as Bargain Holdings, Inc. and changed its name to Ollie's Bargain Outlet Holdings, Inc. in March 2015. Ollie's Bargain Outlet Holdings, Inc. was founded in 1982 and is headquartered in Harrisburg, Pennsylvania.