Home 
Today's Top Picks 
Top Performers 
Watchlist 
My Robo Portfolios 
ETF Zone 
How It Works 
News - Chart
- Upturn Summary
- Highlights
- Valuation
Upturn AI Summary - About
Ollie\'s Bargain Outlet Hldg(OLLI)
Advisory History & Simulated Performance *
*as per simulation (see disclosures)- ALL
- 1Y
- 1M
- 1W
- BUY Advisory
- SELL Advisory (Profit)
- SELL Advisory (Loss)
- Profit
- Loss
- PASS (Skip)
Stock price based on last close Advisory Performance History (Simulated)
Upturn Advisory & Investor View for OLLI
10/26/2026: OLLI (1-star) has a low Upturn Star Rating. Not recommended to BUY.
Ollie's Bargain Outlet Hldg is an extreme-value retailer that thrives on a 'treasure hunt' shopping experience by offering closeout merchandise at significant discounts. The company has a solid track record of store expansion and benefits from a model that often performs well during economic uncertainty. Its primary growth opportunity lies in its potential to increase its store footprint across the U.S. while leveraging its loyalty program. However, the business faces risks related to inventory sourcing consistency, stiff competition from massive dollar-store chains, and execution challenges in maintaining margins. The stock may best suit growth-oriented investors, while those seeking dividends should look elsewhere.
How to Read the Upturn Advisory
The Upturn Star Rating and the current BUY, SELL, or PASS advisory are generated by Upturn’s AI advisory engine based on proprietary signal analysis, price behavior, advisory history, and historical signal performance.
Company fundamentals, valuation, risks, and news provide supporting context about the business.
Investor Fit
| Investor style | Fit | Why |
|---|---|---|
| Growth investor | Strong fit | The company's consistent store count expansion offers a clear growth path for investors. |
| Momentum investor | Mixed fit | Performance is highly conditional on broader retail sector sentiment and quarterly inventory execution. |
| Value investor | Mixed fit | While the business model is value-oriented, the stock's valuation often reflects growth expectations. |
| Dividend investor | Weak fit | The company does not pay a dividend, making it unsuitable for income-focused portfolios. |
| Low-risk investor | Weak fit | Retail sector volatility and reliance on closeout sourcing introduce higher risks. |
Risk Profile
| Risk factor | Level | Why it matters |
|---|---|---|
| Price volatility | Medium / high | Retail stocks are often subject to sharp movements based on consumer spending reports. |
| Valuation risk | Medium | Investors should be wary of overpaying for growth during periods of market optimism. |
| Competition risk (Dollar stores) | High | Larger competitors with more scale can compress margins and threaten market share. |
| Business quality | Medium | The reliance on opportunistic inventory makes long-term performance harder to predict. |
| Dividend income | Low / none | There is no dividend to provide a floor for total returns. |
| Execution risk | Medium | Operational success depends on the ability to manage rapid store growth and supply chain efficiency. |
Price Behavior
Steep Decline
The stock price has dropped sharply with strong downward pressure.
Moderately Choppy
The stock has experienced noticeable price swings while retaining some directional structure.
Analysis of Past Performance
Type Stock | Historic Profit 20.14% | Avg. Invested days 44 | Today’s Advisory Consider higher Upturn Star rating |
Upturn Advisory Rating  | Upturn Advisory Performance  3.0 | Stock Returns Performance  3.0 |
| Profits based on simulation | Last Close 10/26/2026 |
Upturn Scorecard
Upturn Star Rating 
Company Fundamentals
Financial Health Rating
Growth Momentum Score
Ownership
Top 5 Institutional Investors
Unit Economics (Per $1K Revenue)
Economic Dimensions
Quantitative Style Profile
Style Classification
Quality Focused
Key Highlights
Company Size Mid-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 5.21B USD | Price to earnings Ratio 19.62 | 1Y Target Price 101.6 |
Price to earnings Ratio 19.62 | 1Y Target Price 101.6 | ||
Volume (30-day avg) 1.8M shares | Beta 0.41 | 52 Weeks Range 60.29 - 130.40 | Updated Date 10/25/2026 |
52 Weeks Range 60.29 - 130.40 | Updated Date 10/25/2026 | ||
Dividends yield (FY) - | Basic EPS (TTM) 4.47 |
How Company Makes Money
| Business area | What it includes | Retail investor read |
|---|---|---|
| Extreme Value Retail | Sale of closeout home goods, consumables, and toys in brick-and-mortar stores. | The company makes money by buying excess goods from brands at low prices and selling them for a margin to bargain-hunting shoppers. |
Valuation
Trailing PE 19.62 | Forward PE 17.04 | Enterprise Value 4.90B | Price to Sales(TTM) 1.87 |
Enterprise Value 4.90B | Price to Sales(TTM) 1.87 | ||
Enterprise Value to Revenue 1.79 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA 12.46 | Shares Outstanding 59.40M | Shares Floating 59.14M |
Shares Outstanding 59.40M | Shares Floating 59.14M | ||
Percent Insiders 0.34 | Percent Institutions 122.72 |
Financial Metrics
🧭 Investment Snapshot
Total Revenue (Scale)
Total money earned from selling products or services before any costs. It is needed to understand the scale of the business and its ability to generate income.
Net Income (Profit)
Final profit after all expenses, interest, and taxes are deducted. It is needed to determine the overall profitability available to shareholders.
Free Cash Flow (Cash Strength)
Cash remaining after operating activities and capital expenditures, showing cash available for growth. It is needed to evaluate the company’s ability to invest, pay dividends, or reduce debt.
📈 Growth & Strength
Operating Income (Core Profit)
Profit from core operations after deducting all operating expenses. It is needed to measure how efficiently the company runs its primary business activities.
EBITDA (Cash Earnings)
Earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization, indicating operating cash potential. It is needed to compare operating performance across companies without accounting or financing differences.
Gross Profit (Unit Profitability)
Revenue minus cost of revenue, showing profit after direct production costs. It is needed to evaluate core business profitability before overhead expenses.
🛡️ Financial Safety
Cash (Liquidity Buffer)
Total cash and cash equivalents on hand. It is needed to evaluate immediate liquidity and financial flexibility.
Total Debt (Leverage Risk)
Total debt including both short-term and long-term components. It is needed to assess the company’s leverage and financial risk.
Net Working Capital (Short-Term Health)
Current assets minus current liabilities, indicating short-term liquidity strength. It is needed to assess whether the company can meet its short-term obligations.
🧱 Balance Sheet Strength
Stockholder Equity (Net Worth)
Total equity value held by shareholders. It is needed to understand the net worth of the company from the owners’ perspective.
Total Assets (Asset Base)
The full value of everything the company owns, including cash, inventory, equipment, and investments. It is needed to understand the resource base used to generate revenue.
Income Before Tax (Pre-Tax Earnings)
Income before provision for income taxes. It is needed to analyze profitability independent of tax structures.
⚙️ Cost & Drag Factors
Cost of Revenue (Production Cost)
Direct costs required to produce and deliver the products or services sold. It is needed to assess efficiency in production and service delivery.
Total Operating Expenses (Operating Cost)
Indirect costs of running the business such as salaries, marketing, and administration. It is needed to understand how much it costs to sustain ongoing business operations.
Income Tax Expense (Tax Drag)
Amount of taxes paid or payable to the government. It is needed to evaluate the impact of taxation on overall profitability.
Note: This website is maintained by Upturn Corporation, which is an investment adviser registered with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission. Such registration does not imply a certain level of skill or training. Investing in securities has risks. Past performance is no guarantee of future returns. No assurance is provided as to any particular investment return, and you may lose money using our services. You are strongly advised to consult appropriate counsel before making any investments in companies you learn about through our services. You should obtain appropriate legal, tax, investment, accounting, and other advice that takes into account your investment portfolio and overall financial situation. You are solely responsible for conducting due diligence on a potential investment. We do not affect trades for you. You will select your own broker through which to transact. Investments are not FDIC insured, they are not guaranteed, and they may lose value. Please see the Privacy Policy, Terms of Use, and Disclosure for more information.
All company names, trademarks, logos, and brands are the property of their respective owners and are used for identification and informational purposes only. Use of these names, trademarks, and logos does not imply endorsement by their respective owners.