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Pagerduty Inc(PD)
Advisory History & Simulated Performance *
*as per simulation (see disclosures)- ALL
- 1Y
- 1M
- 1W
- BUY Advisory
- SELL Advisory (Profit)
- SELL Advisory (Loss)
- Profit
- Loss
- PASS (Skip)
Stock price based on last close Advisory Performance History (Simulated)
Upturn Advisory & Investor View for PD
10/28/2026: PD (3-star) is a STRONG-BUY. BUY for 87 days. Simulated Profits (97.47%). Updated daily EoD!
Pagerduty Inc is a provider of cloud-based digital operations management software designed to help businesses automate incident response and maintain system uptime. The company has a leading position in the technical operations space, supported by a broad ecosystem of integrations and high-value, mission-critical usage. Its primary growth opportunity lies in leveraging AI and automation to expand into broader workflow management. However, investors must consider risks such as competition from large platform incumbents and sensitivity to enterprise tech spending cycles. Pagerduty remains a stock most suited for growth-oriented investors looking for exposure to the digital transformation of enterprise infrastructure.
How to Read the Upturn Advisory
The Upturn Star Rating and the current BUY, SELL, or PASS advisory are generated by Upturn’s AI advisory engine based on proprietary signal analysis, price behavior, advisory history, and historical signal performance.
Company fundamentals, valuation, risks, and news provide supporting context about the business.
Investor Fit
| Investor style | Fit | Why |
|---|---|---|
| Growth investor | Strong fit | The company is a cloud-native SaaS player targeting the growing digital operations market. |
| Momentum investor | Mixed fit | Momentum is conditional on market sentiment toward high-growth SaaS and the company's ability to beat earnings expectations. |
| Value investor | Weak fit | The company trades primarily on growth and future platform potential rather than current valuation multiples. |
| Dividend investor | Weak fit | The company does not pay a dividend, prioritizing reinvestment in growth. |
| Low-risk investor | Weak fit | High valuation volatility and tech-sector beta make this stock unsuitable for low-risk portfolios. |
Risk Profile
| Risk factor | Level | Why it matters |
|---|---|---|
| Price volatility | High | As a growth-oriented SaaS company, its stock price is highly sensitive to interest rate changes and sector sentiment. |
| Valuation risk | Medium / high | High P/S ratios leave little room for error if revenue growth targets are missed. |
| Competition risk (platform bundles) | High | Large platforms like ServiceNow may bundle incident management into existing suites, increasing pricing pressure. |
| Business quality | Medium | The sticky nature of incident response software provides strong retention, though growth has slowed. |
| Dividend income | Low / none | Investors should not expect income as the company is focused on capital appreciation. |
| Execution risk | Medium | Successful scaling depends on the effective integration of AI and new automation products. |
Price Behavior
Strong Uptrend
The stock has maintained a strong upward price trend across the last three quarters.
Extreme Price Shocks
The stock has experienced exceptionally large and disruptive price movements during the period.
Analysis of Past Performance
Type Stock | Historic Profit 84.42% | Avg. Invested days 33 | Today’s Advisory Strong Buy |
Upturn Advisory Rating  | Upturn Advisory Performance  3.0 | Stock Returns Performance  4.0 |
| Profits based on simulation | Last Close 10/28/2026 |
Upturn Scorecard
Upturn Star Rating 
Company Fundamentals
Financial Health Rating
Growth Momentum Score
Ownership
Top 5 Institutional Investors
Unit Economics (Per $1K Revenue)
Economic Dimensions
Quantitative Style Profile
Style Classification
Quality Focused
Key Highlights
Company Size Small-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 1.40B USD | Price to earnings Ratio 8.79 | 1Y Target Price 12.86 |
Price to earnings Ratio 8.79 | 1Y Target Price 12.86 | ||
Volume (30-day avg) 1.7M shares | Beta 0.97 | 52 Weeks Range 5.70 - 18.06 | Updated Date 10/28/2026 |
52 Weeks Range 5.70 - 18.06 | Updated Date 10/28/2026 | ||
Dividends yield (FY) - | Basic EPS (TTM) 2.02 |
How Company Makes Money
| Business area | What it includes | Retail investor read |
|---|---|---|
| Subscription Services | Platform fees for PagerDuty Operations Cloud and Process Automation. | The company generates nearly all revenue through recurring software subscriptions. |
| Geography: North America | Majority of revenue is generated from North American customers. | Performance is tied closely to the US enterprise tech spending environment. |
Analyzing Revenue: Products, Geography and Growth
Revenue by Geography
Geography revenue - Year on Year
Valuation
Trailing PE 8.79 | Forward PE 12.42 | Enterprise Value 1.34B | Price to Sales(TTM) 2.82 |
Enterprise Value 1.34B | Price to Sales(TTM) 2.82 | ||
Enterprise Value to Revenue 2.72 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA 22.33 | Shares Outstanding 78.65M | Shares Floating 70.83M |
Shares Outstanding 78.65M | Shares Floating 70.83M | ||
Percent Insiders 9.09 | Percent Institutions 98.14 |
Financial Metrics
🧭 Investment Snapshot
Total Revenue (Scale)
Total money earned from selling products or services before any costs. It is needed to understand the scale of the business and its ability to generate income.
Net Income (Profit)
Final profit after all expenses, interest, and taxes are deducted. It is needed to determine the overall profitability available to shareholders.
Free Cash Flow (Cash Strength)
Cash remaining after operating activities and capital expenditures, showing cash available for growth. It is needed to evaluate the company’s ability to invest, pay dividends, or reduce debt.
📈 Growth & Strength
Operating Income (Core Profit)
Profit from core operations after deducting all operating expenses. It is needed to measure how efficiently the company runs its primary business activities.
EBITDA (Cash Earnings)
Earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization, indicating operating cash potential. It is needed to compare operating performance across companies without accounting or financing differences.
Gross Profit (Unit Profitability)
Revenue minus cost of revenue, showing profit after direct production costs. It is needed to evaluate core business profitability before overhead expenses.
🛡️ Financial Safety
Cash (Liquidity Buffer)
Total cash and cash equivalents on hand. It is needed to evaluate immediate liquidity and financial flexibility.
Total Debt (Leverage Risk)
Total debt including both short-term and long-term components. It is needed to assess the company’s leverage and financial risk.
Net Working Capital (Short-Term Health)
Current assets minus current liabilities, indicating short-term liquidity strength. It is needed to assess whether the company can meet its short-term obligations.
🧱 Balance Sheet Strength
Stockholder Equity (Net Worth)
Total equity value held by shareholders. It is needed to understand the net worth of the company from the owners’ perspective.
Total Assets (Asset Base)
The full value of everything the company owns, including cash, inventory, equipment, and investments. It is needed to understand the resource base used to generate revenue.
Income Before Tax (Pre-Tax Earnings)
Income before provision for income taxes. It is needed to analyze profitability independent of tax structures.
⚙️ Cost & Drag Factors
Cost of Revenue (Production Cost)
Direct costs required to produce and deliver the products or services sold. It is needed to assess efficiency in production and service delivery.
Total Operating Expenses (Operating Cost)
Indirect costs of running the business such as salaries, marketing, and administration. It is needed to understand how much it costs to sustain ongoing business operations.
Income Tax Expense (Tax Drag)
Amount of taxes paid or payable to the government. It is needed to evaluate the impact of taxation on overall profitability.
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