Rallybio Corp logo

Rallybio Corp(RLYB)

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EXPLORE ADVISORIES AND THEIR HISTORY
QUALITY SIGNAL RECENCY
1-STAR RATING
SELL
SELL for 3 days
PROFIT SINCE LAST BUY
+14.01% ▲
LAST CLOSE
$16.38
10/20/2026
(24-hour delay)

Advisory History & Simulated Performance *

*as per simulation (see disclosures)
  • ALL
  • 1Y
  • 1M
  • 1W
  • BUY Advisory
  • SELL Advisory (Profit)
  • SELL Advisory (Loss)
  • Profit
  • Loss
  • PASS (Skip)
Upturn Stock price based on last close iconStock price based on last close
Simulated performance—not actual client returns. Excludes advisory subscription fees, trading commissions, and taxes, which would reduce returns. Results depend on calculation assumptions and do not guarantee future outcomes. See Disclosures for full methodology, assumptions, and limitations.

Advisory Performance History (Simulated)Advisory Performance History info

Simulated performance—not actual client returns. Excludes advisory subscription fees, trading commissions, and taxes, which would reduce returns. Results depend on calculation assumptions and do not guarantee future outcomes. See Disclosures for full methodology, assumptions, and limitations.

Upturn Advisory & Investor View for RLYB

10/20/2026: RLYB (1-star) is a SELL. SELL for 3 days. Simulated Profits (14.01%). Updated daily EoD!

Rallybio Corp is a clinical-stage biotechnology company focused on developing therapies for severe and rare diseases. Its main strength lies in a specialized, research-driven pipeline that addresses significant unmet medical needs. The company's primary growth opportunity is the successful clinical development and eventual commercialization of its lead programs, such as those targeting FNAIT and complement-mediated disorders. However, Rallybio faces substantial risks, including binary clinical trial outcomes, intense competition from large-cap biopharma firms, and the need for future capital. It is primarily suited for risk-tolerant investors looking for long-term growth in the biotech sector, and shareholders should monitor clinical data readouts and potential partnership announcements closely.

How to Read the Upturn Advisory

The Upturn Star Rating and the current BUY, SELL, or PASS advisory are generated by Upturn’s AI advisory engine based on proprietary signal analysis, price behavior, advisory history, and historical signal performance.

Company fundamentals, valuation, risks, and news provide supporting context about the business.

Investor Fit

Investor styleFitWhy
Growth investorMixed fitRallybio offers speculative growth potential tied to clinical milestones rather than established commercial growth.
Momentum investorWeak fitThe stock often lacks consistent bullish momentum unless positive clinical data readouts trigger high volatility.
Value investorWeak fitThe company lacks current earnings or revenue, making traditional value metrics inapplicable.
Dividend investorWeak fitRallybio does not pay a dividend and focuses entirely on re-investing capital into R&D.
Low-risk investorWeak fitThe high binary risk of clinical-stage biotech makes this unsuitable for conservative portfolios.

Risk Profile

Risk factorLevelWhy it matters
Price volatilityHighClinical-stage biotech stocks fluctuate significantly based on regulatory news and clinical trial results.
Valuation riskMedium / highValuations are highly speculative and contingent upon future success of pipeline assets.
Competition risk (complement-mediated therapies)HighEstablished players have deeper resources to outmaneuver smaller firms in clinical development.
Business qualityMediumWhile the science is targeted, the company lacks a commercial, revenue-generating franchise.
Dividend incomeLow / noneThe company does not provide income, and dividend payments are not expected.
Execution riskHighSuccess depends entirely on the ability to successfully conduct and complete complex clinical trials.

Price Behavior

Strong Uptrend
PRICE PATH

Strong Uptrend

The stock has maintained a strong upward price trend across the last three quarters.

Extreme Price Shocks
PRICE STABILITY

Extreme Price Shocks

The stock has experienced exceptionally large and disruptive price movements during the period.

Analysis of Past Performance

Type Stock
Historic Profit -15.82%
Avg. Invested days 37
Today’s Advisory SELL
Upturn Advisory Rating upturn star rating icon
Upturn Advisory Performance Upturn Advisory Performance icon 2.0
Stock Returns Performance Upturn Returns Performance icon 1.0
Upturn Profits based on simulation icon Profits based on simulation
Upturn last close icon Last Close 10/20/2026

Upturn Scorecard

Upturn Star Rating

★★★★★
RLYB receives a 3-star rating, supported by solid company fundamentals. The rating is constrained by weak unit economics, soft analyst coverage, and weak price momentum.

Company Fundamentals

★★★★★
RLYB has solid overall fundamentals (4 stars), with soft financial health, solid growth momentum, and solid ownership. In FY2025 versus FY2024, strong earnings growth (+84.5%) and solid revenue growth (+34.9%) are partially offset by weak cash generation (FCF margin -3474.7%), weak profitability (net margin -1046.4%).

Financial Health Rating

★★★★★
RLYB's financial health is soft, with the relatively strongest area being moderate liquidity, including working-capital and asset support (WC/assets 91.6%). Cash strength is soft (2 stars), which helps explain the 2-star overall score.

Growth Momentum Score

★★★★★
Earnings growth is RLYB's strongest growth driver at +84.5% FY2025 versus FY2024 (strong, 5 stars). Revenue growth (+34.9%, solid) and free-cash-flow growth (+39.5%, strong) are also constructive, though not equally high across every growth measure.

Ownership

★★★★★
Institutional ownership is 84.3% and approximately 32.0% of outstanding shares are publicly tradable, supporting liquidity and institutional participation. Insider ownership of 24.88% supports management-shareholder alignment.

Top 5 Institutional Investors

ADAR1 Capital Management LLC 17.44%
FMR Inc 14.96%
Viking Global Investors LP 9.87%
TPG GP A, LLC 7.13%
Nantahala Capital Management, LLC 7.09%

Unit Economics (Per $1K Revenue)

★★★★★
RLYB generates approximately $893 of gross profit, $-32,709 of operating income, and $-34,747 of free cash flow for every $1,000 of revenue. Based on FY2025 results. Operating losses and cash burn explain the 1-star rating, with weak cash conversion and weak capital efficiency.

Economic Dimensions

★★★★★
Effective Tax Rate: 0.00%

Quantitative Style Profile

★★★★★
RLYB has a relatively low-volatility profile. Weak momentum is the primary drawback, while valuation that is moderately attractive rather than deeply discounted.

Style Classification

Quality Focused

Low VolatilitySmall / Mid Cap Risk

Key Highlights

Company Size Small-Cap Stock
Market Capitalization 86.86M USD
Price to earnings Ratio 2.08
1Y Target Price 8
Price to earnings Ratio 2.08
1Y Target Price 8
Volume (30-day avg) 12.7K shares
Beta -0.71
52 Weeks Range 3.67 - 17.57
Updated Date 10/20/2026
52 Weeks Range 3.67 - 17.57
Updated Date 10/20/2026
Dividends yield (FY) -
Basic EPS (TTM) 7.87

How Company Makes Money

Business areaWhat it includesRetail investor read
Clinical DevelopmentResearch and development of specialized therapeutics for rare diseases.Rallybio is not currently generating sales; investor returns depend on successful drug development and potential future licensing.

Analyzing Revenue: Products, Geography and Growth

Revenue by Products

Product revenue - Year on Year

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Valuation

Trailing PE 2.08
Forward PE -
Enterprise Value -3.28M
Price to Sales(TTM) 134.46
Enterprise Value -3.28M
Price to Sales(TTM) 134.46
Enterprise Value to Revenue 45.84
Enterprise Value to EBITDA -1.41
Shares Outstanding 5.31M
Shares Floating 1.70M
Shares Outstanding 5.31M
Shares Floating 1.70M
Percent Insiders 24.88
Percent Institutions 84.33

Financial Metrics

🧭 Investment Snapshot

Total Revenue (Scale)

Information icon Total money earned from selling products or services before any costs. It is needed to understand the scale of the business and its ability to generate income.

Net Income (Profit)

Information icon Final profit after all expenses, interest, and taxes are deducted. It is needed to determine the overall profitability available to shareholders.

Free Cash Flow (Cash Strength)

Information icon Cash remaining after operating activities and capital expenditures, showing cash available for growth. It is needed to evaluate the company’s ability to invest, pay dividends, or reduce debt.

📈 Growth & Strength

Operating Income (Core Profit)

Information icon Profit from core operations after deducting all operating expenses. It is needed to measure how efficiently the company runs its primary business activities.

EBITDA (Cash Earnings)

Information icon Earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization, indicating operating cash potential. It is needed to compare operating performance across companies without accounting or financing differences.

Gross Profit (Unit Profitability)

Information icon Revenue minus cost of revenue, showing profit after direct production costs. It is needed to evaluate core business profitability before overhead expenses.

🛡️ Financial Safety

Cash (Liquidity Buffer)

Information icon Total cash and cash equivalents on hand. It is needed to evaluate immediate liquidity and financial flexibility.

Total Debt (Leverage Risk)

Information icon Total debt including both short-term and long-term components. It is needed to assess the company’s leverage and financial risk.

Net Working Capital (Short-Term Health)

Information icon Current assets minus current liabilities, indicating short-term liquidity strength. It is needed to assess whether the company can meet its short-term obligations.

🧱 Balance Sheet Strength

Stockholder Equity (Net Worth)

Information icon Total equity value held by shareholders. It is needed to understand the net worth of the company from the owners’ perspective.

Total Assets (Asset Base)

Information icon The full value of everything the company owns, including cash, inventory, equipment, and investments. It is needed to understand the resource base used to generate revenue.

Income Before Tax (Pre-Tax Earnings)

Information icon Income before provision for income taxes. It is needed to analyze profitability independent of tax structures.

⚙️ Cost & Drag Factors

Cost of Revenue (Production Cost)

Information icon Direct costs required to produce and deliver the products or services sold. It is needed to assess efficiency in production and service delivery.

Total Operating Expenses (Operating Cost)

Information icon Indirect costs of running the business such as salaries, marketing, and administration. It is needed to understand how much it costs to sustain ongoing business operations.

Income Tax Expense (Tax Drag)

Information icon Amount of taxes paid or payable to the government. It is needed to evaluate the impact of taxation on overall profitability.

Form CRS provides a relationship summary of our automated advisory services, flat subscription fees, and conflicts of interest. Form ADV Part 2A brochure contains complete details on services, billing, and disclosures. If any summary differs from our current regulatory filings, the filed Form ADV controls.