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Upturn AI Summary - About
Smith Douglas Homes Corp.(SDHC)
Advisory History & Simulated Performance *
*as per simulation (see disclosures)- ALL
- 1Y
- 1M
- 1W
- BUY Advisory
- SELL Advisory (Profit)
- SELL Advisory (Loss)
- Profit
- Loss
- PASS (Skip)
Stock price based on last close Advisory Performance History (Simulated)
Upturn Advisory & Investor View for SDHC
09/25/2026: SDHC (1-star) is currently NOT-A-BUY. Pass it for now.
Smith Douglas Homes Corp. is a residential homebuilder primarily active in the southeastern United States, focusing on affordable single-family homes. The company utilizes a capital-efficient, land-light business model that allows it to maintain flexibility and strong operational performance. Its primary growth opportunity lies in its regional footprint, which benefits from consistent demographic migration and structural housing shortages. However, the company faces risks related to interest rate fluctuations, material cost volatility, and competition from large national builders. It remains a cyclically sensitive stock, best suited for growth-oriented investors who monitor housing market health and regional economic conditions closely.
How to Read the Upturn Advisory
The Upturn Star Rating and the current BUY, SELL, or PASS advisory are generated by Upturn’s AI advisory engine based on proprietary signal analysis, price behavior, advisory history, and historical signal performance.
Company fundamentals, valuation, risks, and news provide supporting context about the business.
Investor Fit
| Investor style | Fit | Why |
|---|---|---|
| Growth investor | Strong fit | The company's expansion strategy in high-growth regions makes it a potential play for residential housing growth. |
| Momentum investor | Mixed fit | Momentum depends on the broader housing cycle and sustained positive earnings reports post-IPO. |
| Value investor | Mixed fit | Valuation depends on prevailing market multiples for homebuilders and interest rate environments. |
| Dividend investor | Weak fit | The company prioritizes reinvestment for growth rather than immediate dividend distributions. |
| Low-risk investor | Weak fit | Homebuilding is a cyclical and volatile industry susceptible to macroeconomic shifts. |
Risk Profile
| Risk factor | Level | Why it matters |
|---|---|---|
| Price volatility | High | Homebuilder stocks are highly sensitive to interest rate changes and housing market sentiment. |
| Valuation risk | Medium | Earnings can swing based on home price appreciation and construction costs. |
| Competition risk (National homebuilder dominance) | High | Large scale builders can often out-compete on price and land acquisition power. |
| Business quality | Medium | The land-light model offers efficiency but requires strong execution in land option management. |
| Dividend income | Low / none | Dividends are not the primary focus of the capital allocation strategy. |
| Execution risk | Medium | Operational success relies on maintaining construction timelines and managing labor availability. |
Price Behavior
Steep Decline
The stock price has dropped sharply with strong downward pressure.
Choppy
The stock has experienced frequent reversals and pronounced short-term price swings.
Analysis of Past Performance
Type Stock | Historic Profit -15.84% | Avg. Invested days 34 | Today’s Advisory PASS |
Upturn Advisory Rating  | Upturn Advisory Performance  2.0 | Stock Returns Performance  1.0 |
| Profits based on simulation | Last Close 09/25/2026 |
Upturn Scorecard
Upturn Star Rating 
Company Fundamentals
Financial Health Rating
Growth Momentum Score
Ownership
Top 5 Institutional Investors
Unit Economics (Per $1K Revenue)
Economic Dimensions
Quantitative Style Profile
Style Classification
Quality Focused
Key Highlights
Company Size Small-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 86.27M USD | Price to earnings Ratio 14.28 | 1Y Target Price 13.17 |
Price to earnings Ratio 14.28 | 1Y Target Price 13.17 | ||
Volume (30-day avg) 57.5K shares | Beta 0.83 | 52 Weeks Range 9.75 - 23.49 | Updated Date 09/26/2026 |
52 Weeks Range 9.75 - 23.49 | Updated Date 09/26/2026 | ||
Dividends yield (FY) - | Basic EPS (TTM) 0.72 |
How Company Makes Money
| Business area | What it includes | Retail investor read |
|---|---|---|
| Homebuilding | Construction and sale of single-family homes. | Revenue comes directly from the sale of new homes to consumers. |
| Geography (Southeastern U.S.) | Operations in states such as Georgia, North Carolina, and South Carolina. | Performance is highly tied to the regional economy and migration trends of the Southeast. |
Analyzing Revenue: Products, Geography and Growth
Revenue by Products
Product revenue - Year on Year
Revenue by Geography
Geography revenue - Year on Year
Valuation
Trailing PE 14.28 | Forward PE 21.98 | Enterprise Value 600.63M | Price to Sales(TTM) 0.09 |
Enterprise Value 600.63M | Price to Sales(TTM) 0.09 | ||
Enterprise Value to Revenue 0.6 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA 12.82 | Shares Outstanding 8.39M | Shares Floating 6.44M |
Shares Outstanding 8.39M | Shares Floating 6.44M | ||
Percent Insiders 4.64 | Percent Institutions 85.06 |
Upturn AI Summary
AI Summarization is directionally correct and might not be accurate.
Summarized information shown could be a few years old and not current.
Fundamental Rating based on AI could be based on old data.
AI-generated summaries may have inaccuracies (hallucinations). Please verify the information before taking action.
Financial Metrics
🧭 Investment Snapshot
Total Revenue (Scale)
Total money earned from selling products or services before any costs. It is needed to understand the scale of the business and its ability to generate income.
Net Income (Profit)
Final profit after all expenses, interest, and taxes are deducted. It is needed to determine the overall profitability available to shareholders.
Free Cash Flow (Cash Strength)
Cash remaining after operating activities and capital expenditures, showing cash available for growth. It is needed to evaluate the company’s ability to invest, pay dividends, or reduce debt.
📈 Growth & Strength
Operating Income (Core Profit)
Profit from core operations after deducting all operating expenses. It is needed to measure how efficiently the company runs its primary business activities.
EBITDA (Cash Earnings)
Earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization, indicating operating cash potential. It is needed to compare operating performance across companies without accounting or financing differences.
Gross Profit (Unit Profitability)
Revenue minus cost of revenue, showing profit after direct production costs. It is needed to evaluate core business profitability before overhead expenses.
🛡️ Financial Safety
Cash (Liquidity Buffer)
Total cash and cash equivalents on hand. It is needed to evaluate immediate liquidity and financial flexibility.
Total Debt (Leverage Risk)
Total debt including both short-term and long-term components. It is needed to assess the company’s leverage and financial risk.
Net Working Capital (Short-Term Health)
Current assets minus current liabilities, indicating short-term liquidity strength. It is needed to assess whether the company can meet its short-term obligations.
🧱 Balance Sheet Strength
Stockholder Equity (Net Worth)
Total equity value held by shareholders. It is needed to understand the net worth of the company from the owners’ perspective.
Total Assets (Asset Base)
The full value of everything the company owns, including cash, inventory, equipment, and investments. It is needed to understand the resource base used to generate revenue.
Income Before Tax (Pre-Tax Earnings)
Income before provision for income taxes. It is needed to analyze profitability independent of tax structures.
⚙️ Cost & Drag Factors
Cost of Revenue (Production Cost)
Direct costs required to produce and deliver the products or services sold. It is needed to assess efficiency in production and service delivery.
Total Operating Expenses (Operating Cost)
Indirect costs of running the business such as salaries, marketing, and administration. It is needed to understand how much it costs to sustain ongoing business operations.
Income Tax Expense (Tax Drag)
Amount of taxes paid or payable to the government. It is needed to evaluate the impact of taxation on overall profitability.
About Smith Douglas Homes Corp.
Exchange NYSE | Headquarters Woodstock, GA, United States | ||
IPO Launch date 2024-01-11 | President, CEO & Vice Chairman Mr. Gregory S. Bennett | ||
Sector Real Estate | Industry Real Estate - Development | Full time employees 510 | Website https://www.smithdouglas.com |
Full time employees 510 | Website https://www.smithdouglas.com | ||
Smith Douglas Homes Corp. engages in designing, constructing, and sale of single-family homes. The company offers title insurance and mortgage brokerage services. It targets and markets homes and communities to entry-level and empty-nest homebuyers. Smith Douglas Homes Corp. was founded in 2008 and is headquartered in Woodstock, Georgia
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