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Upturn AI Summary - About
Steven Madden Ltd(SHOO)
Advisory History & Simulated Performance *
*as per simulation (see disclosures)- ALL
- 1Y
- 1M
- 1W
- BUY Advisory
- SELL Advisory (Profit)
- SELL Advisory (Loss)
- Profit
- Loss
- PASS (Skip)
Stock price based on last close Advisory Performance History (Simulated)
Upturn Advisory & Investor View for SHOO
10/14/2026: SHOO (5-star) is currently NOT-A-BUY. Pass it for now.
Steven Madden Ltd is a well-known fashion company specializing in trendy footwear and accessories that caters to diverse demographics. Its main strengths lie in an agile supply chain and strong brand positioning, which help it adapt quickly to fashion trends. The primary growth story is centered on expanding its digital-first retail capabilities and broadening its lifestyle footprint. However, the company faces significant risks, including intense competition from fast-fashion rivals and the inherent volatility of consumer discretionary spending. This stock may suit investors seeking a balance of growth potential and consistent dividend income, provided they monitor retail environment developments and quarterly fashion cycle performance.
How to Read the Upturn Advisory
The Upturn Star Rating and the current BUY, SELL, or PASS advisory are generated by Upturn’s AI advisory engine based on proprietary signal analysis, price behavior, advisory history, and historical signal performance.
Company fundamentals, valuation, risks, and news provide supporting context about the business.
Investor Fit
| Investor style | Fit | Why |
|---|---|---|
| Growth investor | Mixed fit | Growth is tied to fashion cycles and consumer discretionary trends rather than secular tech-driven disruption. |
| Momentum investor | Mixed fit | Momentum is often conditional on positive trend identification and strong seasonal sell-throughs. |
| Value investor | Strong fit | The company's consistent cash flow and moderate valuation often attract value-oriented investors. |
| Dividend investor | Strong fit | The company has a history of reliable dividend payments supported by a solid balance sheet. |
| Low-risk investor | Mixed fit | Retail sector exposure introduces inherent volatility related to fashion risks and economic cycles. |
Risk Profile
| Risk factor | Level | Why it matters |
|---|---|---|
| Price volatility | Medium / high | The stock price is susceptible to shifts in consumer fashion sentiment and retail sector sentiment. |
| Valuation risk | Medium | Overpaying during market exuberance can lead to compressed returns even if the business performs well. |
| Competition risk (fast fashion competition) | High | The company faces constant pressure from fast-fashion retailers that can replicate styles quickly at lower price points. |
| Business quality | Strong | The company maintains a solid, well-recognized brand portfolio and disciplined capital allocation. |
| Dividend income | Medium | Dividends are reliable but not typically the primary driver of total returns for this stock. |
| Execution risk | Medium | Successful growth depends on correctly predicting and delivering on changing consumer style preferences. |
Price Behavior
Strong Uptrend
The stock has maintained a strong upward price trend across the last three quarters.
Moderately Choppy
The stock has experienced noticeable price swings while retaining some directional structure.
Analysis of Past Performance
Type Stock | Historic Profit 58.67% | Avg. Invested days 53 | Today’s Advisory PASS |
Upturn Advisory Rating  | Upturn Advisory Performance  3.0 | Stock Returns Performance  3.0 |
| Profits based on simulation | Last Close 10/14/2026 |
Upturn Scorecard
Upturn Star Rating 
Company Fundamentals
Financial Health Rating
Growth Momentum Score
Ownership
Top 5 Institutional Investors
Unit Economics (Per $1K Revenue)
Economic Dimensions
Quantitative Style Profile
Style Classification
Quality Focused
Key Highlights
Company Size Mid-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 3.27B USD | Price to earnings Ratio 22.6 | 1Y Target Price 52.4 |
Price to earnings Ratio 22.6 | 1Y Target Price 52.4 | ||
Volume (30-day avg) 1.1M shares | Beta 1.18 | 52 Weeks Range 31.02 - 49.45 | Updated Date 10/14/2026 |
52 Weeks Range 31.02 - 49.45 | Updated Date 10/14/2026 | ||
Dividends yield (FY) 1.88% | Basic EPS (TTM) 1.98 |
How Company Makes Money
| Business area | What it includes | Retail investor read |
|---|---|---|
| Wholesale | Footwear and accessories sold to major retailers and department stores. | This is the primary revenue engine, relying on established partnerships with major brick-and-mortar and online retailers. |
| Retail | Sales through company-operated stores and e-commerce platforms. | This segment offers higher margins and direct customer relationship data, which is vital for product development. |
| Licensing | Royalty income from third-party manufacturers using company brands. | This provides high-margin, low-overhead income streams that help diversify the business model. |
Analyzing Revenue: Products, Geography and Growth
Revenue by Products
Product revenue - Year on Year
Revenue by Geography
Geography revenue - Year on Year
Valuation
Trailing PE 22.6 | Forward PE 20.79 | Enterprise Value 3.54B | Price to Sales(TTM) 1.19 |
Enterprise Value 3.54B | Price to Sales(TTM) 1.19 | ||
Enterprise Value to Revenue 1.29 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA 14.52 | Shares Outstanding 73.18M | Shares Floating 71.47M |
Shares Outstanding 73.18M | Shares Floating 71.47M | ||
Percent Insiders 2.17 | Percent Institutions 102.39 |
Financial Metrics
🧭 Investment Snapshot
Total Revenue (Scale)
Total money earned from selling products or services before any costs. It is needed to understand the scale of the business and its ability to generate income.
Net Income (Profit)
Final profit after all expenses, interest, and taxes are deducted. It is needed to determine the overall profitability available to shareholders.
Free Cash Flow (Cash Strength)
Cash remaining after operating activities and capital expenditures, showing cash available for growth. It is needed to evaluate the company’s ability to invest, pay dividends, or reduce debt.
📈 Growth & Strength
Operating Income (Core Profit)
Profit from core operations after deducting all operating expenses. It is needed to measure how efficiently the company runs its primary business activities.
EBITDA (Cash Earnings)
Earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization, indicating operating cash potential. It is needed to compare operating performance across companies without accounting or financing differences.
Gross Profit (Unit Profitability)
Revenue minus cost of revenue, showing profit after direct production costs. It is needed to evaluate core business profitability before overhead expenses.
🛡️ Financial Safety
Cash (Liquidity Buffer)
Total cash and cash equivalents on hand. It is needed to evaluate immediate liquidity and financial flexibility.
Total Debt (Leverage Risk)
Total debt including both short-term and long-term components. It is needed to assess the company’s leverage and financial risk.
Net Working Capital (Short-Term Health)
Current assets minus current liabilities, indicating short-term liquidity strength. It is needed to assess whether the company can meet its short-term obligations.
🧱 Balance Sheet Strength
Stockholder Equity (Net Worth)
Total equity value held by shareholders. It is needed to understand the net worth of the company from the owners’ perspective.
Total Assets (Asset Base)
The full value of everything the company owns, including cash, inventory, equipment, and investments. It is needed to understand the resource base used to generate revenue.
Income Before Tax (Pre-Tax Earnings)
Income before provision for income taxes. It is needed to analyze profitability independent of tax structures.
⚙️ Cost & Drag Factors
Cost of Revenue (Production Cost)
Direct costs required to produce and deliver the products or services sold. It is needed to assess efficiency in production and service delivery.
Total Operating Expenses (Operating Cost)
Indirect costs of running the business such as salaries, marketing, and administration. It is needed to understand how much it costs to sustain ongoing business operations.
Income Tax Expense (Tax Drag)
Amount of taxes paid or payable to the government. It is needed to evaluate the impact of taxation on overall profitability.
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