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Upturn AI Summary - About
Steven Madden Ltd(SHOO)
Advisory History & Simulated Performance *
*as per simulation (see disclosures)- ALL
- 1Y
- 1M
- 1W
- BUY Advisory
- SELL Advisory (Profit)
- SELL Advisory (Loss)
- Profit
- Loss
- PASS (Skip)
Stock price based on last close Advisory Performance History (Simulated)
Upturn Advisory & Investor View for SHOO
11/13/2026: SHOO (5-star) is currently NOT-A-BUY. Pass it for now.
Steven Madden Ltd is a prominent designer and marketer of fashion-forward footwear and accessories. The company is known for its design speed and an agile supply chain that allows it to react quickly to retail trends. Its primary growth opportunity lies in expanding its international presence and growing its higher-margin direct-to-consumer business. Risks include heavy reliance on third-party manufacturing, sensitivity to consumer discretionary spending, and intense competition from fast-fashion rivals. The stock may suit value-oriented and growth-focused investors who can tolerate cyclical volatility, and it is worth monitoring for management's ability to maintain margins amidst fluctuating global supply chain costs.
How to Read the Upturn Advisory
The Upturn Star Rating and the current BUY, SELL, or PASS advisory are generated by Upturn’s AI advisory engine based on proprietary signal analysis, price behavior, advisory history, and historical signal performance.
Company fundamentals, valuation, risks, and news provide supporting context about the business.
Investor Fit
| Investor style | Fit | Why |
|---|---|---|
| Growth investor | Mixed fit | Growth is largely dependent on the success of seasonal fashion trends and consumer spending cycles. |
| Momentum investor | Strong fit while signal remains positive | The stock often reacts strongly to positive earnings surprises and successful product launches. |
| Value investor | Strong fit | The company's strong balance sheet and cash-rich position often make it attractive at reasonable valuation multiples. |
| Dividend investor | Mixed fit | The company pays a dividend, but it is primarily viewed as a growth-oriented consumer discretionary stock. |
| Low-risk investor | Weak fit | Exposure to volatile fashion trends makes the stock unsuitable for those seeking low-volatility investments. |
Risk Profile
| Risk factor | Level | Why it matters |
|---|---|---|
| Price volatility | Medium / high | The stock price is sensitive to quarterly sales performance and fashion cycle changes. |
| Valuation risk | Medium | Market sentiment changes can lead to swings in P/E ratios based on projected consumer health. |
| Competition risk (fast fashion) | High | Intense rivalry from fast-fashion giants puts pressure on pricing power and market share. |
| Business quality | Strong | The company has a long track record of profitability and a clean balance sheet. |
| Dividend income | Low | Dividends are reliable but represent a secondary component of total return compared to capital appreciation. |
| Execution risk | Medium | Managing inventory across diverse global channels requires precise logistical execution. |
Key Highlights
Company Size Mid-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 3.01B USD | Price to earnings Ratio 16.95 | 1Y Target Price 48.89 |
Price to earnings Ratio 16.95 | 1Y Target Price 48.89 | ||
Volume (30-day avg) 1.4M shares | Beta 1.17 | 52 Weeks Range 31.02 - 49.45 | Updated Date 11/13/2026 |
52 Weeks Range 31.02 - 49.45 | Updated Date 11/13/2026 | ||
Dividends yield (FY) 1.97% | Basic EPS (TTM) 2.43 |
Sector & Industry Intelligence
Sector
Consumer Cyclical
Constructive- Sentiment
- Strong Bullish
- Momentum
- BUY Breadth Improving
- BUY participation
- 67.4%
- Active BUY / eligible
- 31 / 46
- 30-Day BUY Count Change
- +23
- Market state
- Strong Bullish
More qualifying stocks are receiving or maintaining BUY advisories, indicating improving market participation.
Industry
Footwear & Accessories
- BUY participation
- 0.0%
- Active BUY / eligible
- 0 / 1
- 30-Day BUY Count Change
- 0
Eligible universe: 1 stock.
Sector signal summarizes BUY breadth conditions for the sector. It does not override this stock’s BUY, SELL, or PASS advisory.
Price Behavior
Strong Uptrend
The stock has maintained a strong upward price trend across the last three quarters.
Moderately Choppy
The stock has experienced noticeable price swings while retaining some directional structure.
Analysis of Past Performance
Type Stock | Historic Profit 56.05% | Avg. Invested days 52 | Today’s Advisory PASS |
Upturn Advisory Rating  | Upturn Advisory Performance  3.0 | Stock Returns Performance  3.0 |
| Profits based on simulation | Last Close 11/13/2026 |
Upturn Scorecard
Upturn Star Rating 
Company Fundamentals
Financial Health Rating
Growth Momentum Score
Ownership
Top 5 Institutional Investors
Unit Economics (Per $1K Revenue)
Economic Dimensions
Quantitative Style Profile
Style Classification
Quality Focused
How Company Makes Money
| Business area | What it includes | Retail investor read |
|---|---|---|
| Wholesale Footwear | Sales of Steve Madden, Madden Girl, and other brands to retailers. | The primary revenue engine driven by distribution partnerships. |
| Direct-to-Consumer | Revenue from retail stores and e-commerce websites. | This segment offers higher margins and direct brand engagement. |
| Geography | Operations primarily in North America with growing international exposure. | Highly concentrated in US spending; international growth is the new frontier. |
Analyzing Revenue: Products, Geography and Growth
Revenue by Products
Product revenue - Year on Year
Revenue by Geography
Geography revenue - Year on Year
Earnings Date
Report Date 2026-11-05 | When Before Market | Estimate 0.69 | Actual 0.79 |
Profitability
Profit Margin 6.16% | Operating Margin (TTM) 10.43% |
Management Effectiveness
Return on Assets (TTM) 9.39% | Return on Equity (TTM) 18.6% |
Valuation
Trailing PE 16.95 | Forward PE 20.79 | Enterprise Value 3.32B | Price to Sales(TTM) 1.06 |
Enterprise Value 3.32B | Price to Sales(TTM) 1.06 | ||
Enterprise Value to Revenue 1.2 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA 12.09 | Shares Outstanding 73.21M | Shares Floating 71.51M |
Shares Outstanding 73.21M | Shares Floating 71.51M | ||
Percent Insiders 2.16 | Percent Institutions 105.5 |
Financial Metrics
🧭 Investment Snapshot
Total Revenue (Scale)
Total money earned from selling products or services before any costs. It is needed to understand the scale of the business and its ability to generate income.
Net Income (Profit)
Final profit after all expenses, interest, and taxes are deducted. It is needed to determine the overall profitability available to shareholders.
Free Cash Flow (Cash Strength)
Cash remaining after operating activities and capital expenditures, showing cash available for growth. It is needed to evaluate the company’s ability to invest, pay dividends, or reduce debt.
📈 Growth & Strength
Operating Income (Core Profit)
Profit from core operations after deducting all operating expenses. It is needed to measure how efficiently the company runs its primary business activities.
EBITDA (Cash Earnings)
Earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization, indicating operating cash potential. It is needed to compare operating performance across companies without accounting or financing differences.
Gross Profit (Unit Profitability)
Revenue minus cost of revenue, showing profit after direct production costs. It is needed to evaluate core business profitability before overhead expenses.
🛡️ Financial Safety
Cash (Liquidity Buffer)
Total cash and cash equivalents on hand. It is needed to evaluate immediate liquidity and financial flexibility.
Total Debt (Leverage Risk)
Total debt including both short-term and long-term components. It is needed to assess the company’s leverage and financial risk.
Net Working Capital (Short-Term Health)
Current assets minus current liabilities, indicating short-term liquidity strength. It is needed to assess whether the company can meet its short-term obligations.
🧱 Balance Sheet Strength
Stockholder Equity (Net Worth)
Total equity value held by shareholders. It is needed to understand the net worth of the company from the owners’ perspective.
Total Assets (Asset Base)
The full value of everything the company owns, including cash, inventory, equipment, and investments. It is needed to understand the resource base used to generate revenue.
Income Before Tax (Pre-Tax Earnings)
Income before provision for income taxes. It is needed to analyze profitability independent of tax structures.
⚙️ Cost & Drag Factors
Cost of Revenue (Production Cost)
Direct costs required to produce and deliver the products or services sold. It is needed to assess efficiency in production and service delivery.
Total Operating Expenses (Operating Cost)
Indirect costs of running the business such as salaries, marketing, and administration. It is needed to understand how much it costs to sustain ongoing business operations.
Income Tax Expense (Tax Drag)
Amount of taxes paid or payable to the government. It is needed to evaluate the impact of taxation on overall profitability.
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