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Upturn AI Summary - About
Tillys Inc(TLYS)
Advisory History & Simulated Performance *
*as per simulation (see disclosures)- ALL
- 1Y
- 1M
- 1W
- BUY Advisory
- SELL Advisory (Profit)
- SELL Advisory (Loss)
- Profit
- Loss
- PASS (Skip)
Stock price based on last close Advisory Performance History (Simulated)
Upturn Advisory & Investor View for TLYS
09/28/2026: TLYS (1-star) has a low Upturn Star Rating. Not recommended to BUY.
Tillys is a US-based specialty retailer focused on providing surf, skate, and street-inspired apparel to young consumers. The company operates through a network of brick-and-mortar stores and a growing e-commerce channel, relying on a mix of third-party brands and private labels. Its primary strength lies in its established brand identity and curated product selection. However, the company faces significant risks from intense competition, shifting fashion trends, and fluctuations in consumer spending power. Tillys may suit investors interested in the specialty retail space, but should be monitored for inventory management success and the effective execution of margin-improving private-label strategies.
How to Read the Upturn Advisory
The Upturn Star Rating and the current BUY, SELL, or PASS advisory are generated by Upturn’s AI advisory engine based on proprietary signal analysis, price behavior, advisory history, and historical signal performance.
Company fundamentals, valuation, risks, and news provide supporting context about the business.
Investor Fit
| Investor style | Fit | Why |
|---|---|---|
| Growth investor | Mixed fit | The company shows limited organic growth potential, making it less attractive for aggressive growth strategies. |
| Momentum investor | Weak fit | The stock lacks consistent upward price momentum and is subject to significant volatility based on retail trends. |
| Value investor | Mixed fit | Tillys may appear inexpensive on certain metrics, but value is highly dependent on potential for operational turnaround. |
| Dividend investor | Weak fit | The company does not provide a reliable or consistent dividend yield. |
| Low-risk investor | Weak fit | The retail industry is inherently volatile, making this an unsuitable choice for risk-averse portfolios. |
Risk Profile
| Risk factor | Level | Why it matters |
|---|---|---|
| Price volatility | High | The stock is subject to sharp price fluctuations driven by quarterly earnings reports and consumer sentiment. |
| Valuation risk | Medium | Valuation is sensitive to future earnings revisions, which are difficult to forecast in the current retail climate. |
| Competition risk (Retail/Fashion) | High | Intense rivalry from fast-fashion and online-only competitors threatens market share and pricing power. |
| Business quality | Medium | The business model relies on discretionary spending and third-party brand curation, which offers limited economic moats. |
| Dividend income | Low / none | Investors should not rely on Tillys for stable income through dividends. |
| Execution risk | Medium / high | Success depends on the management team's ability to navigate fashion trends and maintain operational margins. |
Price Behavior
Strong Uptrend
The stock has maintained a strong upward price trend across the last three quarters.
Extreme Price Shocks
The stock has experienced exceptionally large and disruptive price movements during the period.
Analysis of Past Performance
Type Stock | Historic Profit -50.44% | Avg. Invested days 15 | Today’s Advisory Consider higher Upturn Star rating |
Upturn Advisory Rating  | Upturn Advisory Performance  1.0 | Stock Returns Performance  1.0 |
| Profits based on simulation | Last Close 09/28/2026 |
Upturn Scorecard
Upturn Star Rating 
Company Fundamentals
Financial Health Rating
Growth Momentum Score
Ownership
Top 5 Institutional Investors
Unit Economics (Per $1K Revenue)
Economic Dimensions
Quantitative Style Profile
Style Classification
Quality Focused
Key Highlights
Company Size Small-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 130.61M USD | Price to earnings Ratio 71.17 | 1Y Target Price 5.5 |
Price to earnings Ratio 71.17 | 1Y Target Price 5.5 | ||
Volume (30-day avg) 1.0M shares | Beta 0.11 | 52 Weeks Range 1.14 - 6.25 | Updated Date 09/27/2026 |
52 Weeks Range 1.14 - 6.25 | Updated Date 09/27/2026 | ||
Dividends yield (FY) - | Basic EPS (TTM) 0.06 |
How Company Makes Money
| Business area | What it includes | Retail investor read |
|---|---|---|
| Retail Stores | In-store sales of apparel, footwear, and accessories. | The company makes money by selling trend-based clothing to young customers in physical shopping centers. |
| E-commerce | Direct-to-consumer sales via the Tillys website and mobile platforms. | Digital channels allow the company to reach a wider audience and manage inventory more efficiently. |
Analyzing Revenue: Products, Geography and Growth
Revenue by Products
Product revenue - Year on Year
Earnings Date
Report Date 2026-09-02 | When After Market | Estimate 0.17 | Actual 0.27 |
Profitability
Profit Margin 0.34% | Operating Margin (TTM) 5% |
Management Effectiveness
Return on Assets (TTM) 0.34% | Return on Equity (TTM) 2.32% |
Valuation
Trailing PE 71.17 | Forward PE 18.76 | Enterprise Value 233.54M | Price to Sales(TTM) 0.22 |
Enterprise Value 233.54M | Price to Sales(TTM) 0.22 | ||
Enterprise Value to Revenue 0.4 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA 23 | Shares Outstanding 23.28M | Shares Floating 14.28M |
Shares Outstanding 23.28M | Shares Floating 14.28M | ||
Percent Insiders 3.99 | Percent Institutions 87.25 |
Upturn AI Summary
AI Summarization is directionally correct and might not be accurate.
Summarized information shown could be a few years old and not current.
Fundamental Rating based on AI could be based on old data.
AI-generated summaries may have inaccuracies (hallucinations). Please verify the information before taking action.
Financial Metrics
🧭 Investment Snapshot
Total Revenue (Scale)
Total money earned from selling products or services before any costs. It is needed to understand the scale of the business and its ability to generate income.
Net Income (Profit)
Final profit after all expenses, interest, and taxes are deducted. It is needed to determine the overall profitability available to shareholders.
Free Cash Flow (Cash Strength)
Cash remaining after operating activities and capital expenditures, showing cash available for growth. It is needed to evaluate the company’s ability to invest, pay dividends, or reduce debt.
📈 Growth & Strength
Operating Income (Core Profit)
Profit from core operations after deducting all operating expenses. It is needed to measure how efficiently the company runs its primary business activities.
EBITDA (Cash Earnings)
Earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization, indicating operating cash potential. It is needed to compare operating performance across companies without accounting or financing differences.
Gross Profit (Unit Profitability)
Revenue minus cost of revenue, showing profit after direct production costs. It is needed to evaluate core business profitability before overhead expenses.
🛡️ Financial Safety
Cash (Liquidity Buffer)
Total cash and cash equivalents on hand. It is needed to evaluate immediate liquidity and financial flexibility.
Total Debt (Leverage Risk)
Total debt including both short-term and long-term components. It is needed to assess the company’s leverage and financial risk.
Net Working Capital (Short-Term Health)
Current assets minus current liabilities, indicating short-term liquidity strength. It is needed to assess whether the company can meet its short-term obligations.
🧱 Balance Sheet Strength
Stockholder Equity (Net Worth)
Total equity value held by shareholders. It is needed to understand the net worth of the company from the owners’ perspective.
Total Assets (Asset Base)
The full value of everything the company owns, including cash, inventory, equipment, and investments. It is needed to understand the resource base used to generate revenue.
Income Before Tax (Pre-Tax Earnings)
Income before provision for income taxes. It is needed to analyze profitability independent of tax structures.
⚙️ Cost & Drag Factors
Cost of Revenue (Production Cost)
Direct costs required to produce and deliver the products or services sold. It is needed to assess efficiency in production and service delivery.
Total Operating Expenses (Operating Cost)
Indirect costs of running the business such as salaries, marketing, and administration. It is needed to understand how much it costs to sustain ongoing business operations.
Income Tax Expense (Tax Drag)
Amount of taxes paid or payable to the government. It is needed to evaluate the impact of taxation on overall profitability.
About Tillys Inc
Exchange NYSE | Headquarters Irvine, CA, United States | ||
IPO Launch date 2012-05-04 | President, CEO & Director Mr. Nathan M. Smith | ||
Sector Consumer Cyclical | Industry Apparel Retail | Full time employees 1314 | Website https://www.tillys.com |
Full time employees 1314 | Website https://www.tillys.com | ||
Tilly's, Inc. operates as a specialty retailer of casual apparel, footwear, accessories, and hardgoods for young men and women, boys, and girls in the United States. Its apparel merchandise comprising branded, fashion, and styles for tops, outerwear, bottoms, swim and dresses; and accessories merchandise consist of backpacks, hydration bottles, hats, sunglasses, handbags, watches, jewelry, and others. The company also provides third-party merchandise assortment across its various product categories. It sells its merchandise through its stores and e-commerce website, www.tillys.com. Tilly's, Inc. was founded in 1982 and is headquartered in Irvine, California.
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