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Tillys Inc (TLYS)

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Upturn Advisory Summary
12/24/2025: TLYS (1-star) is currently NOT-A-BUY. Pass it for now.
1 Year Target Price $2.25
1 Year Target Price $2.25
| 0 | Strong Buy |
| 0 | Buy |
| 2 | Hold |
| 0 | Sell |
| 0 | Strong Sell |
Analysis of Past Performance
Type Stock | Historic Profit -37.41% | Avg. Invested days 27 | Today’s Advisory PASS |
Upturn Star Rating ![]() | Upturn Advisory Performance | Stock Returns Performance |
Key Highlights
Company Size Small-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 55.77M USD | Price to earnings Ratio - | 1Y Target Price 2.25 |
Price to earnings Ratio - | 1Y Target Price 2.25 | ||
Volume (30-day avg) 2 | Beta 1.12 | 52 Weeks Range 0.57 - 4.75 | Updated Date 12/27/2025 |
52 Weeks Range 0.57 - 4.75 | Updated Date 12/27/2025 | ||
Dividends yield (FY) - | Basic EPS (TTM) -1.14 |
Analyzing Revenue: Products, Geography and Growth
Revenue by Products
Product revenue - Year on Year
Earnings Date
Report Date 2025-12-04 | When After Market | Estimate -0.32 | Actual -0.05 |
Profitability
Profit Margin -6.24% | Operating Margin (TTM) 5.29% |
Management Effectiveness
Return on Assets (TTM) -6.07% | Return on Equity (TTM) -34.77% |
Valuation
Trailing PE - | Forward PE 16.13 | Enterprise Value 183583025 | Price to Sales(TTM) 0.1 |
Enterprise Value 183583025 | Price to Sales(TTM) 0.1 | ||
Enterprise Value to Revenue 0.34 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA -29.21 | Shares Outstanding 23167562 | Shares Floating 9261863 |
Shares Outstanding 23167562 | Shares Floating 9261863 | ||
Percent Insiders 3.06 | Percent Institutions 92.08 |
Upturn AI SWOT
Tillys Inc

Company Overview
History and Background
Tillys, Inc. was founded in 1984 by Hezy Shaked and started as a small surf-inspired apparel store in Southern California. Over the years, it has grown into a prominent national specialty retailer of casual apparel, footwear, and accessories for young men, women, and kids. Key milestones include its expansion into a multi-brand retailer and its initial public offering (IPO) in 2007. Tillys has evolved to offer a blend of well-known brands and private label merchandise, adapting to changing fashion trends and consumer preferences.
Core Business Areas
- Apparel: Tillys offers a wide range of casual clothing, including t-shirts, hoodies, sweatshirts, jeans, shorts, dresses, skirts, and activewear, catering to current fashion trends among its target demographic.
- Footwear: The company stocks a diverse selection of athletic and casual footwear, including sneakers, sandals, and boots, from popular brands.
- Accessories: Tillys provides a variety of accessories such as hats, bags, backpacks, belts, sunglasses, and jewelry to complement its apparel offerings.
- Footwear Brands: A significant portion of Tillys' sales comes from a curated selection of popular footwear brands.
Leadership and Structure
Tillys, Inc. is led by a management team that includes a CEO, CFO, and various executives overseeing merchandising, operations, marketing, and e-commerce. The company operates through a hierarchical structure with departmental responsibilities and oversight from a Board of Directors.
Top Products and Market Share
Key Offerings
- Description: Casual tops featuring graphics from popular brands, lifestyle themes, or collaborations. These are core to the youth apparel market. Competitors include Zumiez, PacSun, and general apparel retailers like Target and Amazon.
- Market Share Data:
- Product Name 1: Graphic T-Shirts and Hoodies
- Description: A wide variety of denim styles from leading brands, a staple in casual wear. Competitors include American Eagle Outfitters, Levi's stores, and other fashion retailers.
- Market Share Data:
- Product Name 2: Denim Jeans
- Description: Popular sneaker models from brands like Nike, Adidas, Vans, and Converse. This is a highly competitive category with specialty shoe stores, online retailers, and direct-to-consumer brand websites as competitors.
- Market Share Data:
- Product Name 3: Athletic/Casual Sneakers
Market Dynamics
Industry Overview
The specialty retail apparel and footwear industry for young adults and teens is highly dynamic and influenced by rapidly changing fashion trends, social media influence, and competition from both brick-and-mortar and e-commerce channels. The market is characterized by a mix of established brands, fast fashion retailers, and direct-to-consumer offerings.
Positioning
Tillys positions itself as a lifestyle retailer offering a curated selection of popular brands that appeal to its target demographic, emphasizing a blend of fashion-forward and classic casual wear. Its competitive advantages lie in its store footprint in accessible locations, a strong online presence, and a diverse brand assortment.
Total Addressable Market (TAM)
The TAM for the US apparel and footwear market is in the hundreds of billions of dollars. Tillys operates within the specialty apparel and footwear segment for youth, which is a significant portion of this larger market. Tillys' market share is relatively small within the overall TAM, indicating substantial room for growth, but also highlights the intense competition it faces.
Upturn SWOT Analysis
Strengths
- Strong brand relationships with popular apparel and footwear companies.
- Loyal customer base attracted to its curated product selection.
- Established omni-channel retail presence with both physical stores and e-commerce.
- Focus on trendy, lifestyle-oriented products for a specific demographic.
- Experienced management team with deep industry knowledge.
Weaknesses
- Reliance on a limited number of key brands can be a vulnerability.
- Susceptibility to fashion trend shifts and potential markdowns.
- Intense competition from online pure-plays and larger retailers.
- Limited geographical diversification within the United States.
- Potentially higher operating costs compared to online-only retailers.
Opportunities
- Expansion of e-commerce capabilities and digital marketing efforts.
- Introduction of more private label brands to increase margins and differentiation.
- Growth in new product categories or services.
- Potential for strategic partnerships or acquisitions.
- Leveraging social media and influencer marketing more effectively.
Threats
- Economic downturns impacting discretionary spending on apparel.
- Increased competition and pricing pressures.
- Supply chain disruptions and rising costs of goods.
- Shifts in consumer preferences and the rapid evolution of fashion trends.
- The ongoing transition to online shopping, impacting brick-and-mortar traffic.
Competitors and Market Share
Key Competitors
- Zumiez Inc. (ZUMZ)
- PacSun (Private, but a direct competitor)
- Urban Outfitters, Inc. (URBN)
- American Eagle Outfitters, Inc. (AEO)
Competitive Landscape
Tillys' advantages include its curated selection of popular brands and a strong lifestyle appeal. However, it faces disadvantages in terms of scale compared to larger competitors like AEO, and the agility of pure-play e-commerce retailers. The market is highly fragmented, with significant competition from both specialized lifestyle retailers and broader fashion chains.
Growth Trajectory and Initiatives
Historical Growth: Tillys has experienced periods of growth driven by store expansion, e-commerce development, and adapting to fashion trends. However, like many specialty retailers, it has also faced challenges and periods of fluctuating performance.
Future Projections: Analyst estimates for future growth would typically focus on projected revenue increases, EPS growth, and potential improvements in profitability, often tied to strategic initiatives like enhancing the digital platform and optimizing store performance. These projections are forward-looking and subject to change.
Recent Initiatives: Recent initiatives likely include investments in e-commerce optimization, digital marketing, inventory management improvements, and potentially store remodels or strategic store closures/openings to adapt to market conditions.
Summary
Tillys Inc. is a specialty retailer with a well-defined niche in the youth apparel and footwear market, leveraging strong brand relationships and an omni-channel strategy. Its strengths lie in its curated product offering and loyal customer base. However, the company faces significant challenges from intense competition, evolving fashion trends, and the ongoing shift towards e-commerce. Continued investment in its digital capabilities and product assortment will be crucial for future success, while careful management of inventory and operational costs will mitigate threats from market volatility.
Similar Stocks
Sources and Disclaimers
Data Sources:
- Company's official investor relations website (SEC filings, annual reports)
- Financial news outlets (e.g., Wall Street Journal, Bloomberg)
- Market research reports (e.g., Statista, Industry Analysis)
- Financial data providers (e.g., Yahoo Finance, Google Finance)
Disclaimers:
This analysis is based on publicly available information and is intended for informational purposes only. It does not constitute financial advice. Market conditions, company performance, and future projections are subject to change. Investors should conduct their own due diligence before making any investment decisions.
AI Summarization is directionally correct and might not be accurate.
Summarized information shown could be a few years old and not current.
Fundamental Rating based on AI could be based on old data.
AI-generated summaries may have inaccuracies (hallucinations). Please verify the information before taking action.
About Tillys Inc
Exchange NYSE | Headquaters Irvine, CA, United States | ||
IPO Launch date 2012-05-04 | President, CEO & Director Mr. Nate Smith | ||
Sector Consumer Cyclical | Industry Apparel Retail | Full time employees 1410 | Website https://www.tillys.com |
Full time employees 1410 | Website https://www.tillys.com | ||
Tilly's, Inc. operates as a specialty retailer of casual apparel, footwear, accessories, and hardgoods for young men and women, boys, and girls in the United States. Its apparel merchandise includes branded, fashion, and styles for tops, outerwear, bottoms, swim and dresses; and accessories merchandise consist of backpacks, hydration bottles, hats, sunglasses, small electronics and accessories, handbags, watches, jewelry, and others. The company also provides third-party merchandise assortment across its various product categories. It sells its merchandise through its stores and e-commerce website, www.tillys.com. Tilly's, Inc. was founded in 1982 and is headquartered in Irvine, California.

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