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X Financial Class A(XYF)

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ADVISORIES YOU CAN VERIFY
QUALITY SIGNAL
3-STAR RATING
PASS
LAST CLOSE
$4.94
10/02/2026
(24-hour delay)

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*as per simulation (see disclosures)
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Upturn Advisory & Investor View for XYF

10/02/2026: XYF (3-star) is currently NOT-A-BUY. Pass it for now.

X Financial is a Chinese fintech company that focuses on loan facilitation and credit assessment services for individuals. The company utilizes a technology-led approach to connect borrowers with institutional funding partners, emphasizing a risk-managed lending strategy. Its primary investment story hinges on its ability to navigate the complex Chinese regulatory landscape while maintaining credit portfolio quality. However, primary risks include heavy exposure to government policy changes, stiff competition from larger incumbents, and reliance on institutional funding stability. The stock may suit value-oriented investors who are comfortable with the inherent volatility of the Chinese fintech sector and are looking for exposure to the digital lending market.

How to Read the Upturn Advisory

The Upturn Star Rating and the current BUY, SELL, or PASS advisory are generated by Upturn’s AI advisory engine based on proprietary signal analysis, price behavior, advisory history, and historical signal performance.

Company fundamentals, valuation, risks, and news provide supporting context about the business.

Investor Fit

Investor styleFitWhy
Growth investorMixed fitThe company operates in a mature, highly regulated market where explosive growth is challenging to sustain.
Momentum investorMixed fitThe stock often reacts to regulatory news and sector-wide sentiment, requiring a positive upturn signal to justify momentum entry.
Value investorStrong fit while signal remains positiveThe stock frequently trades at low multiples, potentially offering value if the underlying credit quality remains resilient.
Dividend investorWeak fitThe company does not provide a reliable or consistent dividend yield.
Low-risk investorWeak fitHigh sensitivity to regulatory and geopolitical risk makes this unsuitable for low-risk portfolios.

Risk Profile

Risk factorLevelWhy it matters
Price volatilityHighThe stock is subject to significant swings based on sector sentiment and regulatory updates.
Valuation riskMediumWhile multiples may seem low, they often reflect underlying uncertainty regarding sustainable earnings.
Competition risk (fintech incumbents)HighLarger peers have better access to data and cheaper funding, creating constant pressure.
Business qualityMediumThe reliance on external institutional funding and regulatory permits limits long-term control.
Dividend incomeLow / noneIncome investors will not find the dividend profile attractive.
Execution riskMedium / highMaintaining credit quality and regulatory compliance is complex and resource-intensive.

Price Behavior

Steady Uptrend
PRICE PATH

Steady Uptrend

The stock demonstrates consistent and steady upward price momentum.

Choppy
PRICE STABILITY

Choppy

The stock has experienced frequent reversals and pronounced short-term price swings.

Analysis of Past Performance

Type Stock
Historic Profit 221.65%
Avg. Invested days 55
Today’s Advisory PASS
Upturn Advisory Rating upturn star rating icon
Upturn Advisory Performance Upturn Advisory Performance icon 4.0
Stock Returns Performance Upturn Returns Performance icon 5.0
Upturn Profits based on simulation icon Profits based on simulation
Upturn last close icon Last Close 10/02/2026

Upturn Scorecard

Upturn Star Rating

★★★★★
XYF receives a 4-star rating, supported by strong unit economics, solid company fundamentals, and solid quantitative characteristics. The rating is constrained by soft analyst coverage, weak price momentum, and limited analyst upside.

Company Fundamentals

★★★★★
XYF has solid overall fundamentals (4 stars), with solid financial health, solid growth momentum, and solid ownership. In FY2025 versus FY2024, strong cash generation (FCF margin 19.5%) and solid revenue growth (+26.6%) are partially offset by negative earnings growth (-7.5%).

Financial Health Rating

★★★★★
XYF's financial health is supported by strong cash strength, including free-cash-flow generation of $1.4B (19.5% of revenue). Operating efficiency is solid (4 stars), which helps explain the 4-star overall score.

Growth Momentum Score

★★★★★
Revenue growth is XYF's strongest growth driver at +26.6% FY2025 versus FY2024 (solid, 4 stars). By comparison, while earnings growth (-7.5%, negative) and free-cash-flow growth (-4.2%, slightly negative) hold the profile back, so recent growth is not broad-based across the business.

Ownership

★★★★★
Institutional ownership is 4.0% and approximately 67.1% of outstanding shares are publicly tradable, supporting liquidity and institutional participation. Insider ownership of 16.66% supports management-shareholder alignment.

Top 5 Institutional Investors

Two Sigma Investments LLC 0.52%
Qube Research & Technologies 0.37%
Acadian Asset Management LLC 0.28%
Morgan Stanley - Brokerage Accounts 0.28%
Trexquant Investment LP 0.23%

Unit Economics (Per $1K Revenue)

★★★★★
XYF generates approximately $736 of gross profit, $214 of operating income, and $195 of free cash flow for every $1,000 of revenue. Based on FY2025 results. Strong margins and strong cash conversion support the rating, although capital efficiency remains solid.

Economic Dimensions

★★★★★
Effective Tax Rate: 16.61%

Quantitative Style Profile

★★★★★
XYF has a high-quality, liquid, relatively low-volatility profile. Weak momentum is the primary drawback.

Style Classification

Quality Focused

Value-OrientedQuality TiltLow VolatilitySmall / Mid Cap RiskHighly Liquid / Institution-Friendly

Key Highlights

Company Size Small-Cap Stock
Market Capitalization 182.45M USD
Price to earnings Ratio 2.25
1Y Target Price 1.7
Price to earnings Ratio 2.25
1Y Target Price 1.7
Volume (30-day avg) 73.8K shares
Beta 0.48
52 Weeks Range 2.96 - 13.31
Updated Date 10/02/2026
52 Weeks Range 2.96 - 13.31
Updated Date 10/02/2026
Dividends yield (FY) 10.94%
Basic EPS (TTM) 2.2

How Company Makes Money

Business areaWhat it includesRetail investor read
Loan FacilitationService fees from matching borrowers to institutional lenders and credit enhancement services.The company acts as a middleman in the credit market, earning fees for assessing and matching borrowers.
Geography (China)All operations are concentrated in the Chinese consumer credit market.Performance is entirely dependent on the economic and regulatory environment in China.

Analyzing Revenue: Products, Geography and Growth

Revenue by Products

Product revenue - Year on Year

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Valuation

Trailing PE 2.25
Forward PE -
Enterprise Value 83.31M
Price to Sales(TTM) 0.03
Enterprise Value 83.31M
Price to Sales(TTM) 0.03
Enterprise Value to Revenue 0.1
Enterprise Value to EBITDA 0.77
Shares Outstanding 20.67M
Shares Floating 13.87M
Shares Outstanding 20.67M
Shares Floating 13.87M
Percent Insiders 16.66
Percent Institutions 4.02

Icon representing Upturn AI-generated SWOT analysis summary Upturn AI Summary

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Financial Metrics

🧭 Investment Snapshot

Total Revenue (Scale)

Information icon Total money earned from selling products or services before any costs. It is needed to understand the scale of the business and its ability to generate income.

Net Income (Profit)

Information icon Final profit after all expenses, interest, and taxes are deducted. It is needed to determine the overall profitability available to shareholders.

Free Cash Flow (Cash Strength)

Information icon Cash remaining after operating activities and capital expenditures, showing cash available for growth. It is needed to evaluate the company’s ability to invest, pay dividends, or reduce debt.

📈 Growth & Strength

Operating Income (Core Profit)

Information icon Profit from core operations after deducting all operating expenses. It is needed to measure how efficiently the company runs its primary business activities.

EBITDA (Cash Earnings)

Information icon Earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization, indicating operating cash potential. It is needed to compare operating performance across companies without accounting or financing differences.

Gross Profit (Unit Profitability)

Information icon Revenue minus cost of revenue, showing profit after direct production costs. It is needed to evaluate core business profitability before overhead expenses.

🛡️ Financial Safety

Cash (Liquidity Buffer)

Information icon Total cash and cash equivalents on hand. It is needed to evaluate immediate liquidity and financial flexibility.

Total Debt (Leverage Risk)

Information icon Total debt including both short-term and long-term components. It is needed to assess the company’s leverage and financial risk.

Net Working Capital (Short-Term Health)

Information icon Current assets minus current liabilities, indicating short-term liquidity strength. It is needed to assess whether the company can meet its short-term obligations.

🧱 Balance Sheet Strength

Stockholder Equity (Net Worth)

Information icon Total equity value held by shareholders. It is needed to understand the net worth of the company from the owners’ perspective.

Total Assets (Asset Base)

Information icon The full value of everything the company owns, including cash, inventory, equipment, and investments. It is needed to understand the resource base used to generate revenue.

Income Before Tax (Pre-Tax Earnings)

Information icon Income before provision for income taxes. It is needed to analyze profitability independent of tax structures.

⚙️ Cost & Drag Factors

Cost of Revenue (Production Cost)

Information icon Direct costs required to produce and deliver the products or services sold. It is needed to assess efficiency in production and service delivery.

Total Operating Expenses (Operating Cost)

Information icon Indirect costs of running the business such as salaries, marketing, and administration. It is needed to understand how much it costs to sustain ongoing business operations.

Income Tax Expense (Tax Drag)

Information icon Amount of taxes paid or payable to the government. It is needed to evaluate the impact of taxation on overall profitability.

About X Financial Class A

Exchange NYSE
Headquarters -
IPO Launch date 2018-09-18
Founder, CEO & Chairman Mr. Yue Tang
Sector Financial Services
Industry Credit Services
Full time employees 643
Full time employees 643

X Financial, together with its subsidiaries, operates as an online personal finance company in the People's Republic of China. The company offers Xiaoying credit loans, which are online personal credit loan products comprising Xiaoying card loans and other unsecured loan products; and Xiaoying housing loans, a secured home equity loan product. It also provides guarantee, consulting, e-commerce, and microcredit services. In addition, the company engages in the technology development and service, as well as the sale of products. X Financial was founded in 2014 and is headquartered in Shenzhen, the People's Republic of China.