Alpha Technology Group Limited Ordinary Shares(ATGL)

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EXPLORE ADVISORIES AND THEIR HISTORY
QUALITY SIGNAL RECENCY
1-STAR RATING
Consider higher Upturn Star rating
BUY for 7 days
PROFIT SINCE LAST BUY
-7.08% ▼
LAST CLOSE
$9.05
11/03/2026
(24-hour delay)

Advisory History & Simulated Performance *

*as per simulation (see disclosures)
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  • 1Y
  • 1M
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  • BUY Advisory
  • SELL Advisory (Profit)
  • SELL Advisory (Loss)
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Upturn Stock price based on last close iconStock price based on last close
Simulated performance—not actual client returns. Excludes advisory subscription fees, trading commissions, and taxes, which would reduce returns. Results depend on calculation assumptions and do not guarantee future outcomes. See Disclosures for full methodology, assumptions, and limitations.

Advisory Performance History (Simulated)Advisory Performance History info

Simulated performance—not actual client returns. Excludes advisory subscription fees, trading commissions, and taxes, which would reduce returns. Results depend on calculation assumptions and do not guarantee future outcomes. See Disclosures for full methodology, assumptions, and limitations.

Upturn Advisory & Investor View for ATGL

11/03/2026: ATGL (1-star) has a low Upturn Star Rating. Not recommended to BUY.

Alpha Technology Group Limited is a China-based IT services provider focused on delivering custom software and technical support to enterprise clients. The company leverages its local market expertise to build specialized IT solutions, though it operates in a highly fragmented and competitive environment. Its primary growth opportunity lies in the ongoing digital transformation of Chinese enterprises and the potential for service expansion. However, investors face risks related to intense competition, regulatory volatility, and significant revenue concentration. As a smaller, non-dividend-paying stock with inherent price volatility, it is most suited for growth-oriented investors who can tolerate risks associated with the smaller-scale technology services sector.

How to Read the Upturn Advisory

The Upturn Star Rating and the current BUY, SELL, or PASS advisory are generated by Upturn’s AI advisory engine based on proprietary signal analysis, price behavior, advisory history, and historical signal performance.

Company fundamentals, valuation, risks, and news provide supporting context about the business.

Investor Fit

Investor styleFitWhy
Growth investorMixed fitThe company offers exposure to the growth of the Chinese IT sector but lacks the proven scale of larger industry incumbents.
Momentum investorMixed fitMomentum suitability is conditional on a positive Upturn signal, given the stock's historical volatility and sensitivity to market sentiment.
Value investorMixed fitValuation is often speculative, making it a challenging fit for traditional value investors looking for established cash flows.
Dividend investorWeak fitThe company does not provide a reliable dividend stream, making it unsuitable for income-focused investors.
Low-risk investorWeak fitHigh volatility and sensitivity to regulatory and execution risks make this unsuitable for low-risk portfolios.

Risk Profile

Risk factorLevelWhy it matters
Price volatilityHighSmall-cap tech stocks frequently experience significant price swings driven by lower liquidity and market sentiment.
Valuation riskMedium / highSpeculative growth expectations can lead to disconnects between stock price and underlying financial performance.
Competition riskHighStrong competition from established domestic software providers limits pricing power and market share growth.
Business qualityMediumThe company has a consistent service model, but lacks the deep economic moats of larger, more diversified technology players.
Dividend incomeLow / noneInvestors should not expect any income from this security as the company retains capital for growth.
Execution riskMedium / highSuccessful performance depends on the ability to continuously secure new projects in a highly competitive environment.

Price Behavior

Steep Decline
PRICE PATH

Steep Decline

The stock price has dropped sharply with strong downward pressure.

Extreme Price Shocks
PRICE STABILITY

Extreme Price Shocks

The stock has experienced exceptionally large and disruptive price movements during the period.

Analysis of Past Performance

Type Stock
Historic Profit 13.52%
Avg. Invested days 14
Today’s Advisory Consider higher Upturn Star rating
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Upturn Advisory Performance Upturn Advisory Performance icon 2.0
Stock Returns Performance Upturn Returns Performance icon 2.0
Upturn Profits based on simulation icon Profits based on simulation
Upturn last close icon Last Close 11/03/2026

Upturn Scorecard

Upturn Star Rating

★★★★★
ATGL receives a 2-star rating, reflecting soft or weak scores across the available pillars. The rating is constrained by weak unit economics, soft company fundamentals, and soft analyst coverage.

Company Fundamentals

★★★★★
ATGL has soft overall fundamentals (2 stars), with soft financial health, soft growth momentum, and solid ownership. In FY2025 versus FY2024, growth and ownership metrics are mixed: negative earnings growth (-1180.6%), weak cash generation (FCF margin -188.5%), negative revenue growth (-40.2%).

Financial Health Rating

★★★★★
ATGL's financial health is soft, with the relatively strongest area being moderate liquidity, including working-capital and asset support (WC/assets 66.0%). Operating efficiency is weak (1 stars), which helps explain the 2-star overall score.

Growth Momentum Score

★★★★★
Free-cash-flow growth is ATGL's strongest growth driver at +29.3% FY2025 versus FY2024 (solid, 4 stars). By comparison, while revenue growth (-40.2%, negative) and earnings growth (-1180.6%, negative) hold the profile back, so recent growth is not broad-based across the business.

Ownership

★★★★★
Institutional ownership is 0.0% and approximately 97.4% of outstanding shares are publicly tradable, supporting liquidity and institutional participation. Insider ownership of 82.47% supports management-shareholder alignment.

Top 5 Institutional Investors

UBS Group AG 0.00%

Unit Economics (Per $1K Revenue)

★★★★★
ATGL generates approximately $-5,248 of gross profit, $-7,821 of operating income, and $-1,885 of free cash flow for every $1,000 of revenue. Based on FY2025 results. Operating losses and cash burn explain the 1-star rating, with weak cash conversion and weak capital efficiency.

Economic Dimensions

★★★★★
Effective Tax Rate: 1.49%

Quantitative Style Profile

★★★★★
ATGL has a liquid profile. Weak momentum is the primary drawback, while soft valuation.

Style Classification

Quality Focused

High VolatilitySmall / Mid Cap RiskHighly Liquid / Institution-Friendly

Key Highlights

Company Size Small-Cap Stock
Market Capitalization 165.53M USD
Price to earnings Ratio -
1Y Target Price -
Price to earnings Ratio -
1Y Target Price -
Volume (30-day avg) 104.1K shares
Beta 3.47
52 Weeks Range 3.97 - 35.81
Updated Date 11/02/2026
52 Weeks Range 3.97 - 35.81
Updated Date 11/02/2026
Dividends yield (FY) -
Basic EPS (TTM) -0.52

How Company Makes Money

Business areaWhat it includesRetail investor read
IT ConsultingRevenue generated from software project design and system implementation services.The company earns money by helping other businesses build and manage their IT systems.
Technical MaintenanceRecurring fees from long-term support and maintenance contracts.Provides a base of recurring revenue through ongoing technical assistance and system upkeep.

Analyzing Revenue: Products, Geography and Growth

Revenue by Products

Product revenue - Year on Year

Valuation

Trailing PE -
Forward PE -
Enterprise Value 171.14M
Price to Sales(TTM) 18.65
Enterprise Value 171.14M
Price to Sales(TTM) 18.65
Enterprise Value to Revenue 151.28
Enterprise Value to EBITDA -8.32
Shares Outstanding 15.26M
Shares Floating 14.86M
Shares Outstanding 15.26M
Shares Floating 14.86M
Percent Insiders 82.47
Percent Institutions -

Financial Metrics

🧭 Investment Snapshot

Total Revenue (Scale)

Information icon Total money earned from selling products or services before any costs. It is needed to understand the scale of the business and its ability to generate income.

Net Income (Profit)

Information icon Final profit after all expenses, interest, and taxes are deducted. It is needed to determine the overall profitability available to shareholders.

Free Cash Flow (Cash Strength)

Information icon Cash remaining after operating activities and capital expenditures, showing cash available for growth. It is needed to evaluate the company’s ability to invest, pay dividends, or reduce debt.

📈 Growth & Strength

Operating Income (Core Profit)

Information icon Profit from core operations after deducting all operating expenses. It is needed to measure how efficiently the company runs its primary business activities.

EBITDA (Cash Earnings)

Information icon Earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization, indicating operating cash potential. It is needed to compare operating performance across companies without accounting or financing differences.

Gross Profit (Unit Profitability)

Information icon Revenue minus cost of revenue, showing profit after direct production costs. It is needed to evaluate core business profitability before overhead expenses.

🛡️ Financial Safety

Cash (Liquidity Buffer)

Information icon Total cash and cash equivalents on hand. It is needed to evaluate immediate liquidity and financial flexibility.

Total Debt (Leverage Risk)

Information icon Total debt including both short-term and long-term components. It is needed to assess the company’s leverage and financial risk.

Net Working Capital (Short-Term Health)

Information icon Current assets minus current liabilities, indicating short-term liquidity strength. It is needed to assess whether the company can meet its short-term obligations.

🧱 Balance Sheet Strength

Stockholder Equity (Net Worth)

Information icon Total equity value held by shareholders. It is needed to understand the net worth of the company from the owners’ perspective.

Total Assets (Asset Base)

Information icon The full value of everything the company owns, including cash, inventory, equipment, and investments. It is needed to understand the resource base used to generate revenue.

Income Before Tax (Pre-Tax Earnings)

Information icon Income before provision for income taxes. It is needed to analyze profitability independent of tax structures.

⚙️ Cost & Drag Factors

Cost of Revenue (Production Cost)

Information icon Direct costs required to produce and deliver the products or services sold. It is needed to assess efficiency in production and service delivery.

Total Operating Expenses (Operating Cost)

Information icon Indirect costs of running the business such as salaries, marketing, and administration. It is needed to understand how much it costs to sustain ongoing business operations.

Income Tax Expense (Tax Drag)

Information icon Amount of taxes paid or payable to the government. It is needed to evaluate the impact of taxation on overall profitability.

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