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Confluent Inc (CFLT)



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Upturn Advisory Summary
08/14/2025: CFLT (1-star) is currently NOT-A-BUY. Pass it for now.
1 Year Target Price $24.69
1 Year Target Price $24.69
20 | Strong Buy |
8 | Buy |
7 | Hold |
1 | Sell |
0 | Strong Sell |
Analysis of Past Performance
Type Stock | Historic Profit -47.89% | Avg. Invested days 32 | Today’s Advisory PASS |
Upturn Star Rating ![]() ![]() | Upturn Advisory Performance ![]() | Stock Returns Performance ![]() |
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Key Highlights
Company Size Mid-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 6.15B USD | Price to earnings Ratio - | 1Y Target Price 24.69 |
Price to earnings Ratio - | 1Y Target Price 24.69 | ||
Volume (30-day avg) 36 | Beta 0.96 | 52 Weeks Range 15.64 - 37.90 | Updated Date 08/15/2025 |
52 Weeks Range 15.64 - 37.90 | Updated Date 08/15/2025 | ||
Dividends yield (FY) - | Basic EPS (TTM) -0.93 |
Analyzing Revenue: Products, Geography and Growth
Revenue by Products
Product revenue - Year on Year
Revenue by Geography
Geography revenue - Year on Year
Earnings Date
Report Date 2025-07-30 | When After Market | Estimate 0.08 | Actual 0.09 |
Profitability
Profit Margin -29.28% | Operating Margin (TTM) -34.16% |
Management Effectiveness
Return on Assets (TTM) -9.28% | Return on Equity (TTM) -32.18% |
Valuation
Trailing PE - | Forward PE 49.51 | Enterprise Value 5320815576 | Price to Sales(TTM) 5.78 |
Enterprise Value 5320815576 | Price to Sales(TTM) 5.78 | ||
Enterprise Value to Revenue 5 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA -18.93 | Shares Outstanding 291931008 | Shares Floating 280607926 |
Shares Outstanding 291931008 | Shares Floating 280607926 | ||
Percent Insiders 3.54 | Percent Institutions 90.9 |
Upturn AI SWOT
Confluent Inc
Company Overview
History and Background
Confluent, Inc. was founded in 2014 by the creators of Apache Kafka. It aims to provide a cloud-native platform for data streaming built on Kafka.
Core Business Areas
- Confluent Cloud: A fully managed, cloud-native data streaming platform that allows users to build real-time data pipelines and applications.
- Confluent Platform: A self-managed, enterprise-grade distribution of Apache Kafka that includes additional features and tools for managing and monitoring Kafka deployments.
- Confluent Streaming Governance: Provides features for data cataloging, lineage tracking, and access control to ensure data compliance.
Leadership and Structure
Jay Kreps (Co-founder and CEO), Erica Schultz (President). The company operates with a standard functional organizational structure, with departments focusing on engineering, sales, marketing, and operations.
Top Products and Market Share
Key Offerings
- Confluent Cloud: A fully managed data streaming platform built on Apache Kafka. Primary competitor: Amazon Kinesis. Confluent Cloud is a major revenue generator for the company, precise market share data is variable depending on report but estimated at about 30% of Kafka cloud-based solutions. Exact revenue breakdown isn't publically shared.
- Confluent Platform: An enterprise distribution of Apache Kafka. Primary competitor: Cloudera DataFlow. Revenue is significant, but shifting towards cloud offerings. Market share for on-premise Kafka solutions is difficult to definitively state but Confluent remains a leader.
Market Dynamics
Industry Overview
The data streaming market is experiencing rapid growth driven by the increasing need for real-time data processing and analytics. Demand for real-time application, fueled by needs such as Fraud detection, supply chain monitoring, and inventory. More companies are moving to real-time capabilities.
Positioning
Confluent is a leader in the data streaming market, particularly with its expertise in Apache Kafka. Its competitive advantage lies in its fully managed cloud service and its contributions to the Kafka open-source project.
Total Addressable Market (TAM)
The total addressable market for data streaming is estimated to be tens of billions of dollars. Confluent is positioned to capture a significant share of this market due to its leadership in Kafka and its cloud-native platform.
Upturn SWOT Analysis
Strengths
- Strong expertise in Apache Kafka
- Leading cloud-native data streaming platform
- Large and growing customer base
- Strong community support
- Founded by Kafka creators
Weaknesses
- Reliance on Apache Kafka open source
- Competition from larger cloud providers
- Profitability concerns (currently not profitable)
- Complexity of managing Kafka infrastructure can be a barrier to entry for some customers
Opportunities
- Expansion into new markets and industries
- Development of new data streaming applications
- Increased adoption of cloud-native technologies
- Growing demand for real-time data analytics
- Further integration with other cloud services
Threats
- Competition from established cloud providers (AWS, Azure, GCP)
- Open-source alternatives to Confluent Platform
- Economic downturn impacting IT spending
- Rapidly changing technology landscape
- Security vulnerabilities in Kafka or Confluent products
Competitors and Market Share
Key Competitors
- AMZN
- MSFT
- IBM
Competitive Landscape
Confluent's advantages include its Kafka expertise and cloud-native platform. Its disadvantages include competition from larger cloud providers with broader service offerings. A focus on specific verticals and use-cases is key to improving Confluent's edge against competitors.
Major Acquisitions
ImplyData
- Year: 2024
- Acquisition Price (USD millions): 91.5
- Strategic Rationale: Acquisition of technology and product portfolio in the real-time analytics space to help close the gap between Apache Kafka and real-time analytics applications.
Metadata Technology North America Corporation
- Year: 2021
- Acquisition Price (USD millions): 22
- Strategic Rationale: The company was acquired for their work in the area of cloud metadata, especially related to data streaming use cases.
Growth Trajectory and Initiatives
Historical Growth: Confluent has experienced rapid revenue growth in recent years, driven by the adoption of its cloud platform and the increasing popularity of Kafka.
Future Projections: Analysts project continued revenue growth for Confluent, driven by the increasing demand for data streaming solutions. Expect a growth of 20 to 30% on a per year basis. Focus on profitability in the coming years.
Recent Initiatives: Recent initiatives include expanding the features of Confluent Cloud, investing in its sales and marketing efforts, and forming partnerships with other technology companies.
Summary
Confluent is a leading company in the data streaming market, driven by its expertise in Apache Kafka and its cloud-native platform. While experiencing substantial growth, it faces competition from larger cloud providers and needs to achieve profitability. Recent acquisitions strategically expand its capabilities, but effective integration will be crucial. Confluent holds a strong position with a need for continued innovation.
Peer Comparison
Sources and Disclaimers
Data Sources:
- Confluent Inc. Investor Relations
- Company Filings (10-K, 10-Q)
- Third-party market research reports
- Analyst reports
Disclaimers:
This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Market conditions and company performance are subject to change. Investment decisions should be made based on thorough research and consultation with a qualified financial advisor.
AI Summarization is directionally correct and might not be accurate.
Summarized information shown could be a few years old and not current.
Fundamental Rating based on AI could be based on old data.
AI-generated summaries may have inaccuracies (hallucinations). Please verify the information before taking action.
About Confluent Inc
Exchange NASDAQ | Headquaters Mountain View, CA, United States | ||
IPO Launch date 2021-06-24 | Co-Founder, Chairman & CEO Mr. Edward Kreps | ||
Sector Technology | Industry Software - Infrastructure | Full time employees 3060 | Website https://www.confluent.io |
Full time employees 3060 | Website https://www.confluent.io |
Confluent, Inc. operates a data streaming platform in the United States and internationally. The company provides platforms that allow customers to connect their applications, systems, and data layers comprising Confluent Cloud, a managed cloud-native software-as-a-service (SaaS); and Confluent Platform, an enterprise-grade self-managed software. It also offers connectors for existing applications, and IT and cloud infrastructure; Apache Flink services that allows teams to create reusable data streams that can be delivered real-time; WarpStream, a bring your own cloud managed streaming service; and stream governance, a managed data governance suite that is designed for the intricacies of streaming data, which allows teams to accelerate data streaming initiatives without bypassing controls for risk management or regulatory compliance. In addition, the company offers professional services comprising packaged and residency offerings; education offerings consisting of training and certification guidance, technical resources, and access to hands-on training and certification exams; and certification programs. It serves banking and financial services, retail and ecommerce, manufacturing, automotive, telecommunication, gaming, insurance, and technology industries, as well as public sector. The company was formerly known as Infinitem, Inc. and changed its name to Confluent, Inc. in September 2014. Confluent, Inc. was incorporated in 2014 and is headquartered in Mountain View, California.

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