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GFR logo GFR
Upturn stock rating
GFR logo

Greenfire Resources Ltd. (GFR)

Upturn stock rating
$4.61
Last Close (24-hour delay)
Profit since last BUY-8.8%
upturn advisory
SELL
SELL since 4 days
  • BUY Advisory
  • SELL Advisory (Profit)​
  • SELL Advisory (Loss)​
  • Profit
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  • Pass (Skip investing)
Upturn Stock info Stock price based on last close
*as per simulation
(see disclosures)
Time period over
  • ALL
  • YEAR
  • MONTH
  • WEEK

Upturn Advisory Summary

10/15/2025: GFR (1-star) is a SELL. SELL since 4 days. Simulated Profits (-8.80%). Updated daily EoD!

Upturn Star Rating

rating

Not Recommended Performance

These Stocks/ETFs, based on Upturn Advisory, consistently fall short of market performance, signaling caution before investing.

Number of Analysts

rating

2 Analysts rated it

Very few follow this stock; limited insights, higher-risk early investing.

1 Year Target Price $5.7

1 Year Target Price $5.7

Analysts Price Target For last 52 week
$5.7 Target price
52w Low $3.81
Current$4.61
52w High $7.95

Analysis of Past Performance

Type Stock
Historic Profit -28.46%
Avg. Invested days 30
Today’s Advisory SELL
Upturn Star Rating upturn star rating icon
Upturn Advisory Performance Upturn Advisory Performance 1.0
Stock Returns Performance Upturn Returns Performance 1.0
Upturn Profits based on simulation Profits based on simulation
Upturn Profits based on simulation Last Close 10/15/2025

Key Highlights

Company Size Small-Cap Stock
Market Capitalization 318.60M USD
Price to earnings Ratio 2.22
1Y Target Price 5.7
Price to earnings Ratio 2.22
1Y Target Price 5.7
Volume (30-day avg) 2
Beta 0.27
52 Weeks Range 3.81 - 7.95
Updated Date 10/15/2025
52 Weeks Range 3.81 - 7.95
Updated Date 10/15/2025
Dividends yield (FY) -
Basic EPS (TTM) 2.04

Earnings Date

Report Date -
When -
Estimate -
Actual -

Profitability

Profit Margin 28.74%
Operating Margin (TTM) 35.05%

Management Effectiveness

Return on Assets (TTM) 7.82%
Return on Equity (TTM) 25.81%

Valuation

Trailing PE 2.22
Forward PE -
Enterprise Value 502878891
Price to Sales(TTM) 0.45
Enterprise Value 502878891
Price to Sales(TTM) 0.45
Enterprise Value to Revenue 0.96
Enterprise Value to EBITDA 2.68
Shares Outstanding 70253000
Shares Floating 21998322
Shares Outstanding 70253000
Shares Floating 21998322
Percent Insiders 15.41
Percent Institutions 71.24

ai summary icon Upturn AI SWOT

Greenfire Resources Ltd.

stock logo

Company Overview

overview logo History and Background

Greenfire Resources Ltd. is a Canadian-based company focused on the sustainable development of thermal oil resources in the Athabasca region of Alberta, Canada. Founded in 2011, it has focused on deploying advanced technologies for in-situ oil sands extraction. The company is focused on improving environmental performance and decreasing its carbon footprint.

business area logo Core Business Areas

  • Thermal Oil Production: Focused on in-situ (steam-assisted gravity drainage - SAGD) oil sands extraction, producing bitumen.
  • Resource Development: Exploring and developing new oil sands leases in the Athabasca region. Focused on low carbon extraction practices.
  • Carbon Sequestration: Greenfire is invested in exploring carbon capture and storage technologies to reduce its CO2 emissions.

leadership logo Leadership and Structure

Robert Logan is the President & Chief Executive Officer. The company operates with a management team focused on engineering, geology, and finance.

Top Products and Market Share

overview logo Key Offerings

  • Bitumen: Greenfire Resources Ltd.'s primary product is bitumen, extracted from the Athabasca oil sands. The market share data is difficult to ascertain as a private company; however, it's a small player compared to giants like Suncor, Cenovus and Canadian Natural Resources. These companies are primary competitors.

Market Dynamics

industry overview logo Industry Overview

The oil sands industry faces increasing pressure for environmental sustainability and reduced greenhouse gas emissions. Demand remains driven by global energy needs, but there's increasing movement to renewables.

Positioning

Greenfire Resources Ltd. is positioned as a technologically innovative operator in the oil sands industry, prioritizing environmental performance. They are smaller than most other players in the Athabasca region.

Total Addressable Market (TAM)

The global crude oil market is estimated to be worth trillions of dollars annually. Greenfire Resources Ltd.'s TAM is limited to the oil sands sector which is a segment of the global market. Their position is much smaller than leading companies, placing it as a small niche market.

Upturn SWOT Analysis

Strengths

  • Technological innovation in SAGD
  • Focus on reducing environmental footprint
  • Experienced management team
  • Significant oil sands resource base

Weaknesses

  • Relatively small production volume
  • Reliance on oil prices
  • High capital intensity
  • Geographic concentration in Athabasca

Opportunities

  • Adoption of carbon capture technologies
  • Expansion of production capacity
  • Strategic partnerships with larger oil companies
  • Increased demand for responsibly sourced oil

Threats

  • Fluctuations in oil prices
  • Stringent environmental regulations
  • Competition from other oil producers
  • Geopolitical instability

Competitors and Market Share

competitor logo Key Competitors

  • SU
  • CVE
  • CNQ

Competitive Landscape

Greenfire Resources Ltd. is smaller than the leading competitors. They are focused on new SAGD technologies, and need to demonstrate strong returns.

Growth Trajectory and Initiatives

Historical Growth: Historical growth is difficult to assess due to the company being private.

Future Projections: Future projections are not publicly available.

Recent Initiatives: Focus on environmental performance and low carbon extraction technologies

Summary

Greenfire Resources Ltd. is a company focused on sustainable oil sands development through innovative SAGD extraction. As a small private company they are at a competitive disadvantage against bigger players. They have focused on a strategy to improve environmental performance. Potential oil price drops and stricter environmental regulations pose challenges for the company's future outlook.

Peer Comparison

Sources and Disclaimers

Data Sources:

  • Greenfire Resources Ltd. Website
  • Industry Reports
  • Publicly Available Information

Disclaimers:

This analysis is based on limited publicly available information and analyst estimates. Market share data is estimated. The AI-based rating is for informational purposes only and not financial advice.

Upturn AI Summarization AI Summarization is directionally correct and might not be accurate.

Upturn AI Summarization Summarized information shown could be a few years old and not current.

Upturn AI Summarization Fundamental Rating based on AI could be based on old data.

Upturn AI Summarization AI-generated summaries may have inaccuracies (hallucinations). Please verify the information before taking action.

About Greenfire Resources Ltd.

Exchange NYSE
Headquaters Calgary, AB, Canada
IPO Launch date 2023-09-21
CEO -
Sector Energy
Industry Oil & Gas E&P
Full time employees 193
Full time employees 193

Greenfire Resources Ltd., together with its subsidiaries, engages in the exploration, development, and operation of oil and gas properties in the Athabasca oil sands region of Alberta, Canada. The company's principal asset include Hangingstone Facilities located in south of Fort McMurray, Alberta. Greenfire Resources Ltd. is headquartered in Calgary, Canada.