Home 
Today's Top Picks 
Top Performers 
Watchlist 
My Robo Portfolios 
ETF Zone 
How It Works 
News - Chart
- Upturn Summary
- Highlights
- Valuation
Upturn AI Summary - About
Greenfire Resources Ltd.(GFR)
Advisory History & Simulated Performance *
*as per simulation (see disclosures)- ALL
- 1Y
- 1M
- 1W
- BUY Advisory
- SELL Advisory (Profit)
- SELL Advisory (Loss)
- Profit
- Loss
- PASS (Skip)
Stock price based on last close Advisory Performance History (Simulated)
Upturn Advisory & Investor View for GFR
09/25/2026: GFR (1-star) has a low Upturn Star Rating. Not recommended to BUY.
Greenfire Resources Ltd. is a specialized energy producer focused on the extraction of bitumen from oil sands using SAGD thermal recovery in Alberta, Canada. Its main strength lies in its concentrated expertise in thermal project management, which has allowed for operational stability in a capital-intensive industry. The primary investment story centers on the potential for production optimization and the long-reserve life of its assets. Key risks include heavy exposure to fluctuating crude oil prices, regulatory hurdles regarding carbon emissions, and operational execution risks. The stock may suit investors looking for direct energy exposure, though it remains better suited for those with a higher tolerance for commodity market volatility and specific industry risks.
How to Read the Upturn Advisory
The Upturn Star Rating and the current BUY, SELL, or PASS advisory are generated by Upturn’s AI advisory engine based on proprietary signal analysis, price behavior, advisory history, and historical signal performance.
Company fundamentals, valuation, risks, and news provide supporting context about the business.
Investor Fit
| Investor style | Fit | Why |
|---|---|---|
| Growth investor | Mixed fit | Growth is tied to commodity cycles and asset optimization rather than aggressive expansion. |
| Momentum investor | Strong fit while signal remains positive | Energy stocks often show momentum during supply-constrained periods. |
| Value investor | Mixed fit | Valuation is often dependent on volatile oil price projections. |
| Dividend investor | Weak fit | The company currently focuses on capital retention rather than dividend payouts. |
| Low-risk investor | Weak fit | Commodity price volatility and single-industry exposure create significant risk. |
Risk Profile
| Risk factor | Level | Why it matters |
|---|---|---|
| Price volatility | High | Revenues are directly tied to the price of heavy crude oil which is highly cyclical. |
| Valuation risk | Medium | Valuation relies heavily on commodity price forecasting. |
| Competition risk (Oil & Gas) | High | Larger players have cost advantages that put pressure on smaller operators. |
| Business quality | Medium | Operational success is dependent on specialized thermal recovery performance. |
| Dividend income | Low / none | Capital is directed toward operations, not shareholder distributions. |
| Execution risk | Medium / high | Managing steam-to-oil ratios and operational costs is technically challenging. |
Price Behavior
Strong Uptrend
The stock has maintained a strong upward price trend across the last three quarters.
Moderately Choppy
The stock has experienced noticeable price swings while retaining some directional structure.
Analysis of Past Performance
Type Stock | Historic Profit -46.25% | Avg. Invested days 30 | Today’s Advisory WEAK BUY |
Upturn Advisory Rating  | Upturn Advisory Performance  2.0 | Stock Returns Performance  1.0 |
| Profits based on simulation | Last Close 09/25/2026 |
Upturn Scorecard
Upturn Star Rating 
Company Fundamentals
Financial Health Rating
Growth Momentum Score
Ownership
Top 5 Institutional Investors
Unit Economics (Per $1K Revenue)
Economic Dimensions
Quantitative Style Profile
Style Classification
Quality Focused
Key Highlights
Company Size Small-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 1.41B USD | Price to earnings Ratio - | 1Y Target Price 5.75 |
Price to earnings Ratio - | 1Y Target Price 5.75 | ||
Volume (30-day avg) 1.3M shares | Beta 0.18 | 52 Weeks Range 4.15 - 7.16 | Updated Date 09/25/2026 |
52 Weeks Range 4.15 - 7.16 | Updated Date 09/25/2026 | ||
Dividends yield (FY) - | Basic EPS (TTM) -0.25 |
How Company Makes Money
| Business area | What it includes | Retail investor read |
|---|---|---|
| Thermal Bitumen Production | Extraction and sale of bitumen from oil sands using SAGD technology. | The company makes money by selling crude oil extracted from the ground; profitability depends on how efficiently they can produce it relative to the market price. |
Valuation
Trailing PE - | Forward PE 7.69 | Enterprise Value 1.48B | Price to Sales(TTM) 2.43 |
Enterprise Value 1.48B | Price to Sales(TTM) 2.43 | ||
Enterprise Value to Revenue 3.46 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA 35.56 | Shares Outstanding 240.41M | Shares Floating 34.30M |
Shares Outstanding 240.41M | Shares Floating 34.30M | ||
Percent Insiders 0.12 | Percent Institutions 33.15 |
Upturn AI Summary
AI Summarization is directionally correct and might not be accurate.
Summarized information shown could be a few years old and not current.
Fundamental Rating based on AI could be based on old data.
AI-generated summaries may have inaccuracies (hallucinations). Please verify the information before taking action.
Financial Metrics
🧭 Investment Snapshot
Total Revenue (Scale)
Total money earned from selling products or services before any costs. It is needed to understand the scale of the business and its ability to generate income.
Net Income (Profit)
Final profit after all expenses, interest, and taxes are deducted. It is needed to determine the overall profitability available to shareholders.
Free Cash Flow (Cash Strength)
Cash remaining after operating activities and capital expenditures, showing cash available for growth. It is needed to evaluate the company’s ability to invest, pay dividends, or reduce debt.
📈 Growth & Strength
Operating Income (Core Profit)
Profit from core operations after deducting all operating expenses. It is needed to measure how efficiently the company runs its primary business activities.
EBITDA (Cash Earnings)
Earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization, indicating operating cash potential. It is needed to compare operating performance across companies without accounting or financing differences.
Gross Profit (Unit Profitability)
Revenue minus cost of revenue, showing profit after direct production costs. It is needed to evaluate core business profitability before overhead expenses.
🛡️ Financial Safety
Cash (Liquidity Buffer)
Total cash and cash equivalents on hand. It is needed to evaluate immediate liquidity and financial flexibility.
Total Debt (Leverage Risk)
Total debt including both short-term and long-term components. It is needed to assess the company’s leverage and financial risk.
Net Working Capital (Short-Term Health)
Current assets minus current liabilities, indicating short-term liquidity strength. It is needed to assess whether the company can meet its short-term obligations.
🧱 Balance Sheet Strength
Stockholder Equity (Net Worth)
Total equity value held by shareholders. It is needed to understand the net worth of the company from the owners’ perspective.
Total Assets (Asset Base)
The full value of everything the company owns, including cash, inventory, equipment, and investments. It is needed to understand the resource base used to generate revenue.
Income Before Tax (Pre-Tax Earnings)
Income before provision for income taxes. It is needed to analyze profitability independent of tax structures.
⚙️ Cost & Drag Factors
Cost of Revenue (Production Cost)
Direct costs required to produce and deliver the products or services sold. It is needed to assess efficiency in production and service delivery.
Total Operating Expenses (Operating Cost)
Indirect costs of running the business such as salaries, marketing, and administration. It is needed to understand how much it costs to sustain ongoing business operations.
Income Tax Expense (Tax Drag)
Amount of taxes paid or payable to the government. It is needed to evaluate the impact of taxation on overall profitability.
About Greenfire Resources Ltd.
Exchange NYSE | Headquarters Calgary, AB, Canada | ||
IPO Launch date 2023-09-21 | CEO - | ||
Sector Energy | Industry Oil & Gas E&P | Full time employees 197 | Website https://www.greenfireres.com |
Full time employees 197 | Website https://www.greenfireres.com | ||
Greenfire Resources Ltd., together with its subsidiaries, engages in the exploration, development, and operation of oil and gas properties in the Athabasca oil sands region of Alberta, Canada. The company's principal asset includes the Hangingstone Facilities which consist of the Expansion Asset and the Demo Asset located in south of Fort McMurray, Alberta. Greenfire Resources Ltd. is headquartered in Calgary, Canada.
Note: This website is maintained by Upturn Corporation, which is an investment adviser registered with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission. Such registration does not imply a certain level of skill or training. Investing in securities has risks. Past performance is no guarantee of future returns. No assurance is provided as to any particular investment return, and you may lose money using our services. You are strongly advised to consult appropriate counsel before making any investments in companies you learn about through our services. You should obtain appropriate legal, tax, investment, accounting, and other advice that takes into account your investment portfolio and overall financial situation. You are solely responsible for conducting due diligence on a potential investment. We do not affect trades for you. You will select your own broker through which to transact. Investments are not FDIC insured, they are not guaranteed, and they may lose value. Please see the Privacy Policy, Terms of Use, and Disclosure for more information.
All company names, trademarks, logos, and brands are the property of their respective owners and are used for identification and informational purposes only. Use of these names, trademarks, and logos does not imply endorsement by their respective owners.