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Upturn AI SWOT - About
Hillman Solutions Corp (HLMN)
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Upturn Advisory Summary
07/01/2025: HLMN (2-star) is currently NOT-A-BUY. Pass it for now.
Upturn Star Rating
Below Average Performance
These Stocks/ETFs, based on Upturn Advisory, often underperform the market, warranting careful consideration before investing.
Number of Analysts
8 Analysts rated it
Limited analyst coverage, niche firm, research info may be scarce.
1 Year Target Price $10.86
1 Year Target Price $10.86
| 3 | Strong Buy |
| 2 | Buy |
| 3 | Hold |
| 0 | Sell |
| 0 | Strong Sell |
Analysis of Past Performance
Type Stock | Historic Profit 21.47% | Avg. Invested days 83 | Today’s Advisory PASS |
Upturn Star Rating | Upturn Advisory Performance  4.0 | Stock Returns Performance  3.0 |
| Profits based on simulation | Last Close 07/01/2025 |
Key Highlights
Company Size Small-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 1.41B USD | Price to earnings Ratio 71.4 | 1Y Target Price 10.86 |
Price to earnings Ratio 71.4 | 1Y Target Price 10.86 | ||
Volume (30-day avg) 8 | Beta 1.67 | 52 Weeks Range 6.55 - 12.08 | Updated Date 07/1/2025 |
52 Weeks Range 6.55 - 12.08 | Updated Date 07/1/2025 | ||
Dividends yield (FY) - | Basic EPS (TTM) 0.1 |
Analyzing Revenue: Products, Geography and Growth
Revenue by Products
Product revenue - Year on Year
Revenue by Geography
Geography revenue - Year on Year
Earnings Date
Report Date - | When - | Estimate - | Actual - |
Profitability
Profit Margin 1.24% | Operating Margin (TTM) 4.12% |
Management Effectiveness
Return on Assets (TTM) 2.48% | Return on Equity (TTM) 1.57% |
Valuation
Trailing PE 71.4 | Forward PE 13.46 | Enterprise Value 2183225125 | Price to Sales(TTM) 0.95 |
Enterprise Value 2183225125 | Price to Sales(TTM) 0.95 | ||
Enterprise Value to Revenue 1.47 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA 9.93 | Shares Outstanding 197508992 | Shares Floating 195549288 |
Shares Outstanding 197508992 | Shares Floating 195549288 | ||
Percent Insiders 0.98 | Percent Institutions 104.17 |
Analyst Ratings
Rating 2 | Target Price 10.86 | Buy 2 | Strong Buy 3 |
Buy 2 | Strong Buy 3 | ||
Hold 3 | Sell - | Strong Sell - | |
Strong Sell - |
Upturn AI SWOT
Hillman Solutions Corp
Company Overview
History and Background
Hillman Solutions Corp was founded in 1964. It initially focused on fasteners and over time expanded through acquisitions and organic growth into a broader range of home improvement products and services.
Core Business Areas
- Retail Solutions: Provides a wide range of fasteners, hardware, and related products to retailers, primarily in the home improvement and hardware channels.
- Robotics & Digital Solutions: Offers robotic and digital solutions for product fulfillment, merchandising, and inventory management in retail environments. Also offers security solutions.
Leadership and Structure
Doug Cahill is the CEO. The company has a traditional corporate structure with various functional departments reporting to the executive leadership team.
Top Products and Market Share
Key Offerings
- Fasteners (Nuts, Bolts, Screws): Standard and specialty fasteners for various applications. Hillman has a significant market share in the retail fastener market, estimated to be around 20-25%. Competitors include Apex Tool Group and other smaller fastener manufacturers. Revenue from fasteners is estimated at 60% of total revenue.
- Key Cutting and Lock Services: Key duplication services and lock hardware. Estimated market share for key cutting is around 15-20% through retail partnerships. Competitors include Minute Key and other key service providers.
- Robotic Solutions: Robotic kiosks that improve retail efficiency and offer security products to make retail stores safer. Market share in robotics is small but growing. Primary competitor is Badger Technologies and other robotics providers.
Market Dynamics
Industry Overview
The home improvement market is influenced by housing market conditions, consumer spending, and DIY trends. The industrial fastener market correlates with manufacturing activity. The security sector is being driven by AI adoption in retail stores.
Positioning
Hillman is a well-established supplier to major retailers like Home Depot and Lowe's, with a strong presence in fasteners and related hardware. The company is differentiating itself through its robotic and digital solutions.
Total Addressable Market (TAM)
The TAM for fasteners and home hardware is estimated at $20 billion globally. Robotics and security solutions represent an additional $5 billion TAM. Hillman is positioned to capture a growing share of these markets through its diverse product portfolio and channel partnerships.
Upturn SWOT Analysis
Strengths
- Established relationships with major retailers
- Broad product portfolio
- Strong brand recognition
- Growing robotics and digital solutions business
- Efficient supply chain
Weaknesses
- Dependence on large retailers
- Exposure to housing market cycles
- Competition from lower-cost manufacturers
- Integration challenges from acquisitions
Opportunities
- Expansion into new retail channels
- Further development of robotic and digital solutions
- Increased demand for home security products
- International expansion
- Acquisition of complementary businesses
Threats
- Economic downturn
- Increased competition from online retailers
- Fluctuations in raw material prices
- Changes in consumer preferences
- Supply chain disruptions
Competitors and Market Share
Key Competitors
- FAST
- GRA
- WCC
Competitive Landscape
Hillmanu2019s strength is its existing channel partnerships but faces competition from smaller, more nimble firms which have been more successful at online market share.
Major Acquisitions
River's Edge
- Year: 2022
- Acquisition Price (USD millions): 50
- Strategic Rationale: Expands Hillman's outdoor product offerings and distribution network.
Growth Trajectory and Initiatives
Historical Growth: Hillman's growth has been driven by organic sales increases and strategic acquisitions.
Future Projections: Analysts project moderate revenue growth over the next few years, driven by continued demand for home improvement products and the expansion of the robotics and digital solutions business.
Recent Initiatives: Recent initiatives include the acquisition of companies in the security and robotics space, as well as investments in new product development and supply chain optimization.
Summary
Hillman Solutions is a stable company with strong retail partnerships. It benefits from the steady demand for home improvement products. It faces competition and is impacted by housing market cycles, but it's growing Robotic and Digital Solutions should help the company grow. Continued innovation and strategic acquisitions will be key to Hillman's future success.
Peer Comparison
Sources and Disclaimers
Data Sources:
- Company website
- Industry reports
- Analyst estimates
- SEC filings
Disclaimers:
This analysis is based on publicly available information and is not financial advice. Market conditions and company performance are subject to change.
AI Summarization is directionally correct and might not be accurate.
Summarized information shown could be a few years old and not current.
Fundamental Rating based on AI could be based on old data.
AI-generated summaries may have inaccuracies (hallucinations). Please verify the information before taking action.
About Hillman Solutions Corp
Exchange NASDAQ | Headquaters Forest Park, OH, United States | ||
IPO Launch date 2021-07-15 | President, CEO & Director Mr. Jon Michael Adinolfi | ||
Sector Industrials | Industry Tools & Accessories | Full time employees 3886 | Website https://www.hillmangroup.com |
Full time employees 3886 | Website https://www.hillmangroup.com | ||
Hillman Solutions Corp., together with its subsidiaries, provides hardware-related products and related merchandising services in the United States, Canada, Mexico, Latin America, and the Caribbean. The company offers hardware products, including anchor shackles and eye bolts, door hinges and chains, garage doors, safety hasps, gate hooks and latches, magnets, hooks and storage, corner braces and mending plates, and springs; and fasteners, such as anchors, ball bearings, bolts, kits, nails, nuts, pins, rivets, screws, spacers, threaded inserts, tools/brushes, washers, wire hardware, and other accessories. It also provides driveway markers/reflectors, numbers, letters, plaques, signs, stencils, survey and flagging tapes, and safety and caution products; threaded rods, aluminum tubes, and slotted and aluminum angles; wall hangings, including frame hardware, hooks, picture hanging, adhesives, mirrors, wires, and wall hanging accessories, as well as picture hanging and tool-free mounting products; face masks, gloves, and glasses; keys and engravings; and electrical, plumbing, and automotive products and accessories. It offers its products under the Power Pro, Hillman, Deck Plus, Fas-n-Tite, Hardware Essentials, Durasteel, Steelworks, OOK, Distinctions, AWP, Quick Tag, Keykrafter, Digz, High & Mighty, True Grip, Firm Grip, Ozco, Borefast, Gorilla Grip, Soft Scrub, Ajustlock, Timber-Tite, and Axxess+ brand names. The company sells its products to hardware stores, home centers, mass merchants, pet supply stores, industrial distributors, automotive aftermarket distributors, and other retail outlets, as well as industrial original equipment manufacturers. Hillman Solutions Corp. was founded in 1964 and is headquartered in Forest Park, Ohio.
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