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HLMN 
Hillman Solutions Corp (HLMN)
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Stock price based on last close (see disclosures)
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Upturn Advisory Summary
11/28/2025: HLMN (1-star) is currently NOT-A-BUY. Pass it for now.
Upturn Star Rating
Not Recommended Performance
These Stocks/ETFs, based on Upturn Advisory, consistently fall short of market performance, signaling caution before investing.
Number of Analysts
8 Analysts rated it
Limited analyst coverage, niche firm, research info may be scarce.
1 Year Target Price $12.21
1 Year Target Price $12.21
| 3 | Strong Buy |
| 2 | Buy |
| 3 | Hold |
| 0 | Sell |
| 0 | Strong Sell |
Analysis of Past Performance
Type Stock | Historic Profit 37.26% | Avg. Invested days 74 | Today’s Advisory PASS |
Upturn Star Rating | Upturn Advisory Performance  4.0 | Stock Returns Performance  3.0 |
| Profits based on simulation | Last Close 11/28/2025 |
Key Highlights
Company Size Small-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 1.73B USD | Price to earnings Ratio 46.05 | 1Y Target Price 12.21 |
Price to earnings Ratio 46.05 | 1Y Target Price 12.21 | ||
Volume (30-day avg) 8 | Beta 1.64 | 52 Weeks Range 6.55 - 11.55 | Updated Date 11/29/2025 |
52 Weeks Range 6.55 - 11.55 | Updated Date 11/29/2025 | ||
Dividends yield (FY) - | Basic EPS (TTM) 0.19 |
Analyzing Revenue: Products, Geography and Growth
Revenue by Products
Product revenue - Year on Year
Earnings Date
Report Date 2025-11-04 | When - | Estimate 0.2 | Actual 0.22 |
Profitability
Profit Margin 2.44% | Operating Margin (TTM) 10.87% |
Management Effectiveness
Return on Assets (TTM) 2.84% | Return on Equity (TTM) 3.11% |
Valuation
Trailing PE 46.05 | Forward PE 14.58 | Enterprise Value 2472735332 | Price to Sales(TTM) 1.13 |
Enterprise Value 2472735332 | Price to Sales(TTM) 1.13 | ||
Enterprise Value to Revenue 1.61 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA 9.92 | Shares Outstanding 197289638 | Shares Floating 195314769 |
Shares Outstanding 197289638 | Shares Floating 195314769 | ||
Percent Insiders 0.99 | Percent Institutions 103.48 |
Upturn AI SWOT
Hillman Solutions Corp
Company Overview
History and Background
Hillman Solutions Corp was founded in 1964 as a hardware distribution company. Over the years, it has grown through acquisitions and organic expansion, evolving into a leading provider of complete hardware solutions, including fasteners, home organization products, and key duplication services.
Core Business Areas
- Fasteners: Provides a wide array of fasteners, including screws, nuts, bolts, and washers, used in various applications across construction, home improvement, and industrial sectors.
- Home Organization: Offers a diverse range of storage and organization products, such as shelving, closet organizers, and garage storage solutions, catering to the needs of homeowners and DIY enthusiasts.
- Key Solutions: Provides key duplication services and related products, including key blanks, key cutting machines, and accessories, serving both retail and commercial customers.
- Protective Solutions: Protective Solutions includes protective floor-care and furniture repair products
Leadership and Structure
Hillman Solutions Corp is led by a team of experienced executives, including the CEO, CFO, and various vice presidents responsible for different business units. The organizational structure comprises functional departments such as sales, marketing, operations, finance, and technology.
Top Products and Market Share
Key Offerings
- Fasteners: Hillman's fasteners are a core product, used in a variety of industries. While specific market share data is difficult to ascertain, the overall fasteners market is competitive with several players. Competitors include Stanley Black & Decker (SWK) and Fastenal (FAST). Revenue for 2023 ~$830M
- Home Organization Products: Includes brands like ClosetMaid and provides various storage solutions. The market is competitive with IKEA, The Container Store, and other home improvement retailers. Revenue for 2023 ~$240M
- Key Duplication Services: Hillman's key duplication business offers a wide range of key blanks, key duplication machines, and related services, and have a relatively significant market share. Competitors include Minute Key and other key cutting services.
Market Dynamics
Industry Overview
The hardware solutions industry is driven by factors such as construction activity, home improvement spending, and industrial production. It's moderately fragmented, with a mix of large players and smaller niche providers. Macroeconomic conditions significantly affect the industry's performance.
Positioning
Hillman Solutions Corp is positioned as a leading provider of complete hardware solutions, offering a diverse product portfolio, strong distribution network, and well-established brand recognition. Its competitive advantages include its scale, product breadth, and customer relationships.
Total Addressable Market (TAM)
The total addressable market (TAM) for hardware solutions is estimated to be in the tens of billions of dollars globally. Hillman is positioned well within this TAM. Market size estimates vary based on product segmentation but expect over $50B for North America with Hillman's market share estimated to be around 2-3%.
Upturn SWOT Analysis
Strengths
- Strong Brand Recognition
- Extensive Distribution Network
- Diverse Product Portfolio
- Established Customer Relationships
Weaknesses
- Dependence on Retail Partners
- Vulnerability to Raw Material Price Fluctuations
- Exposure to Economic Cycles
- Limited direct-to-consumer presence
Opportunities
- Expansion into New Geographies
- Development of Innovative Products
- Growth in E-Commerce Channels
- Strategic Acquisitions
Threats
- Increased Competition
- Changing Consumer Preferences
- Economic Downturns
- Supply Chain Disruptions
Competitors and Market Share
Key Competitors
- Stanley Black & Decker (SWK)
- Fastenal (FAST)
- Ames Companies Inc. (Private)
Competitive Landscape
Hillman has a very broad range. The large competitors have strengths in brand recognition and distribution. Smaller players focus on specific niches.
Major Acquisitions
Big Time Products
- Year: 2021
- Acquisition Price (USD millions): 310
- Strategic Rationale: Expanded Hillman's product portfolio and market presence in the automotive and hardware sectors.
Growth Trajectory and Initiatives
Historical Growth: Historical growth has been driven by acquisitions, product innovation, and expansion into new markets.
Future Projections: Analyst estimates suggest continued growth in revenue and earnings, driven by factors such as market expansion, product development, and cost optimization. Projected revenue growth of 3-5% annually over the next few years.
Recent Initiatives: Recent initiatives include investments in e-commerce, new product launches, and strategic acquisitions to expand market share and product offerings.
Summary
Hillman Solutions Corp. shows steady revenue growth but fluctuating net income, indicating potential cost management challenges. Its diversified product portfolio and strong distribution network are key strengths. Dependence on retail partners and raw material price volatility present vulnerabilities. Strategic acquisitions and e-commerce investments could fuel future growth, but increased competition poses a significant threat.
Similar Stocks
Sources and Disclaimers
Data Sources:
- Company SEC Filings (10-K, 10-Q)
- Company Investor Relations Website
- Analyst Reports
- Market Research Reports
- Company Press Releases
Disclaimers:
The information provided is for informational purposes only and should not be considered as financial advice. Investment decisions should be based on thorough research and consultation with a qualified financial advisor. Market share estimates are approximate and based on available data.
AI Summarization is directionally correct and might not be accurate.
Summarized information shown could be a few years old and not current.
Fundamental Rating based on AI could be based on old data.
AI-generated summaries may have inaccuracies (hallucinations). Please verify the information before taking action.
About Hillman Solutions Corp
Exchange NASDAQ | Headquaters Forest Park, OH, United States | ||
IPO Launch date 2021-07-15 | President, CEO & Director Mr. Jon Michael Adinolfi | ||
Sector Industrials | Industry Tools & Accessories | Full time employees 3886 | Website https://www.hillmangroup.com |
Full time employees 3886 | Website https://www.hillmangroup.com | ||
Hillman Solutions Corp., together with its subsidiaries, provides hardware-related products and related merchandising services in the United States, Canada, Mexico, Latin America, and the Caribbean. The company offers hardware products, including anchor shackles and eye bolts, door hinges and chains, garage doors, safety hasps, gate hooks and latches, magnets, hooks and storage, corner braces and mending plates, and springs; and fasteners, such as anchors, ball bearings, bolts, kits, nails, nuts, pins, rivets, screws, spacers, threaded inserts, tools/brushes, washers, wire hardware, and other accessories. It also provides driveway markers/reflectors, numbers, letters, plaques, signs, stencils, survey and flagging tapes, and safety and caution products; threaded rods, aluminum tubes, and slotted and aluminum angles; wall hangings, including frame hardware, hooks, picture hanging, adhesives, mirrors, wires, and wall hanging accessories, as well as picture hanging and tool-free mounting products; face masks, gloves, and glasses; keys and engravings; and electrical, plumbing, and automotive products and accessories. It offers its products under the Power Pro, Hillman, Deck Plus, Fas-n-Tite, Hardware Essentials, Durasteel, Steelworks, OOK, Distinctions, AWP, Quick Tag, Keykrafter, Digz, High & Mighty, True Grip, Firm Grip, Ozco, Borefast, Gorilla Grip, Soft Scrub, Ajustlock, Timber-Tite, and Axxess+ brand names. The company sells its products to hardware stores, home centers, mass merchants, pet supply stores, industrial distributors, automotive aftermarket distributors, and other retail outlets, as well as industrial original equipment manufacturers. Hillman Solutions Corp. was founded in 1964 and is headquartered in Forest Park, Ohio.
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