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HLMN 
Hillman Solutions Corp (HLMN)
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Upturn Advisory Summary
12/31/2025: HLMN (1-star) is currently NOT-A-BUY. Pass it for now.
Upturn Star Rating
Not Recommended Performance
These Stocks/ETFs, based on Upturn Advisory, consistently fall short of market performance, signaling caution before investing.
Number of Analysts
8 Analysts rated it
Limited analyst coverage, niche firm, research info may be scarce.
1 Year Target Price $12.21
1 Year Target Price $12.21
| 3 | Strong Buy |
| 2 | Buy |
| 3 | Hold |
| 0 | Sell |
| 0 | Strong Sell |
Analysis of Past Performance
Type Stock | Historic Profit 37.26% | Avg. Invested days 74 | Today’s Advisory PASS |
Upturn Star Rating | Upturn Advisory Performance  4.0 | Stock Returns Performance  3.0 |
| Profits based on simulation | Last Close 12/31/2025 |
Key Highlights
Company Size Small-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 1.71B USD | Price to earnings Ratio 45.58 | 1Y Target Price 12.21 |
Price to earnings Ratio 45.58 | 1Y Target Price 12.21 | ||
Volume (30-day avg) 8 | Beta 1.64 | 52 Weeks Range 6.55 - 10.64 | Updated Date 01/1/2026 |
52 Weeks Range 6.55 - 10.64 | Updated Date 01/1/2026 | ||
Dividends yield (FY) - | Basic EPS (TTM) 0.19 |
Analyzing Revenue: Products, Geography and Growth
Revenue by Products
Product revenue - Year on Year
Earnings Date
Report Date - | When - | Estimate - | Actual - |
Profitability
Profit Margin 2.44% | Operating Margin (TTM) 10.87% |
Management Effectiveness
Return on Assets (TTM) 3.04% | Return on Equity (TTM) 3.11% |
Valuation
Trailing PE 45.58 | Forward PE 14.64 | Enterprise Value 2454979265 | Price to Sales(TTM) 1.11 |
Enterprise Value 2454979265 | Price to Sales(TTM) 1.11 | ||
Enterprise Value to Revenue 1.61 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA 9.95 | Shares Outstanding 197289638 | Shares Floating 195549543 |
Shares Outstanding 197289638 | Shares Floating 195549543 | ||
Percent Insiders 0.99 | Percent Institutions 103.65 |
Upturn AI SWOT
Hillman Solutions Corp
Company Overview
History and Background
Hillman Solutions Corp. was founded in 1949. It has evolved into a leading provider of hardware solutions, focusing on fasteners, hardware, and related products. Significant milestones include its expansion into various retail channels and its strategic acquisitions aimed at broadening its product portfolio and market reach. The company was previously part of the privately held Hillman Group and became a publicly traded entity through a SPAC merger with Landcadia Holdings III, Inc. in 2021.
Core Business Areas
- Retail Solutions: Provides a comprehensive range of hardware, fasteners, and related products to major retailers across the United States and Canada. This includes a focus on private label and branded offerings for various hardware and home improvement categories.
- Industrial Solutions: Offers specialized fasteners and hardware solutions to industrial clients, often involving customized product development and supply chain management for manufacturing and assembly operations.
- Services: Includes services such as product merchandising, inventory management, and point-of-sale solutions for its retail partners, enhancing the customer experience and driving sales.
Leadership and Structure
Hillman Solutions Corp. is led by a management team with extensive experience in the retail and manufacturing sectors. The organizational structure is designed to support its diverse business segments, with dedicated teams for retail partnerships, industrial sales, product development, and operations. Specific leadership roles and titles are detailed in their official SEC filings and investor relations materials.
Top Products and Market Share
Key Offerings
- Fasteners: Screws, bolts, nuts, washers, anchors, and related hardware. While specific market share for this broad category is difficult to pinpoint, Hillman is a significant supplier to major retail chains. Key competitors include companies like Stanley Engineered Fastening (part of Stanley Black & Decker), ITW Construction, and various specialized fastener manufacturers.
- Hardware: Hinges, drawer slides, shelf pins, locks, and other general hardware items. Similar to fasteners, Hillman holds a substantial share within its retail channels. Competitors include companies like Amerock, Liberty Hardware, and many other general hardware suppliers.
- Key Blanks and Accessories: Includes automotive key blanks, key cutting machines, and related accessories, serving locksmiths and automotive service centers. Competitors in this niche include Ilco (part of Spectra Premium) and various independent key blank manufacturers.
Market Dynamics
Industry Overview
Hillman Solutions Corp. operates in the broad hardware and home improvement retail sector, which is influenced by consumer spending on home renovation, construction, and DIY projects. The industry is characterized by a mix of large big-box retailers, independent hardware stores, and e-commerce platforms. Supply chain efficiency, product innovation, and strong retail partnerships are crucial for success.
Positioning
Hillman Solutions Corp. is positioned as a key supplier and solutions provider to major retailers, offering a wide array of private label and branded hardware and fastener products. Its competitive advantages lie in its extensive distribution network, strong relationships with large retail partners, and its ability to provide integrated services like merchandising and inventory management. The company focuses on offering value and convenience to both retailers and end consumers.
Total Addressable Market (TAM)
The total addressable market for hardware, fasteners, and related products is substantial, encompassing both the retail and industrial sectors. Estimates for the global hardware market alone range in the hundreds of billions of dollars. Hillman Solutions Corp. primarily targets the North American retail and industrial hardware market. Its positioning is strong within its chosen channels, serving as a primary vendor for many large retail chains, but it competes with a vast number of smaller and specialized players across the broader TAM.
Upturn SWOT Analysis
Strengths
- Extensive retail distribution network and strong relationships with major retailers.
- Broad product portfolio in fasteners, hardware, and related categories.
- Capabilities in private label manufacturing and branded product offerings.
- Integrated supply chain and logistics management expertise.
- Established brand recognition within its core product areas.
Weaknesses
- Dependence on a few large retail customers.
- Susceptibility to fluctuations in consumer spending and housing market trends.
- Competition from lower-cost manufacturers and private label brands from retailers themselves.
- Limited direct-to-consumer presence.
Opportunities
- Expansion into emerging retail channels and e-commerce platforms.
- Acquisition of complementary businesses to expand product lines or market reach.
- Leveraging data analytics to enhance product offerings and customer insights.
- Growth in the DIY and home improvement sectors.
- Increased demand for specialized fasteners in construction and manufacturing.
Threats
- Intense competition from both domestic and international players.
- Rising raw material costs and supply chain disruptions.
- Economic downturns impacting consumer discretionary spending.
- Changes in retail strategies by major partners.
- Regulatory changes affecting manufacturing or product safety.
Competitors and Market Share
Key Competitors
- Stanley Black & Decker (SWK)
- Fastenal Company (FAST)
- Grainger (GWW)
- The Home Depot (HD)
- Lowe's Companies (LOW)
Competitive Landscape
Hillman Solutions Corp. faces intense competition from diversified industrial suppliers, large retailers with their own private label brands, and specialized manufacturers. Its advantages lie in its strong retail channel penetration and comprehensive product solutions. However, larger competitors may have greater scale, broader product diversification, and more significant R&D budgets. Hillman's strategy often revolves around being a preferred partner for its retail clients.
Growth Trajectory and Initiatives
Historical Growth: Hillman Solutions Corp. has experienced growth through organic expansion and strategic acquisitions, building a strong presence in the North American hardware market. Its historical growth is tied to its ability to secure and maintain partnerships with major retailers and to adapt its product offerings to market demand.
Future Projections: Future growth projections for Hillman Solutions Corp. would typically be based on analyst estimates, company guidance, and market research. These projections often consider expected performance in its core retail segment, potential new market penetration, and the impact of economic conditions.
Recent Initiatives: Recent initiatives likely include strategies to enhance product innovation, optimize supply chain operations for efficiency, expand digital commerce capabilities, and potentially pursue further accretive acquisitions. Post-merger integration and synergy realization would also be key initiatives.
Summary
Hillman Solutions Corp. is a significant player in the North American hardware and fastener market, primarily serving major retailers. Its strengths lie in its extensive distribution network and strong retail relationships, complemented by a diverse product portfolio. The company's primary risks include customer concentration and sensitivity to economic cycles. Continued investment in supply chain efficiency and strategic expansion into new channels will be crucial for its future growth and stability.
Similar Stocks
Sources and Disclaimers
Data Sources:
- Company SEC Filings (10-K, 10-Q)
- Investor Relations Websites
- Financial News Outlets
- Industry Research Reports
Disclaimers:
This JSON output is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. All data is based on publicly available information and subject to change. Investors should conduct their own due diligence before making any investment decisions.
AI Summarization is directionally correct and might not be accurate.
Summarized information shown could be a few years old and not current.
Fundamental Rating based on AI could be based on old data.
AI-generated summaries may have inaccuracies (hallucinations). Please verify the information before taking action.
About Hillman Solutions Corp
Exchange NASDAQ | Headquaters Forest Park, OH, United States | ||
IPO Launch date 2021-07-15 | President, CEO & Director Mr. Jon Michael Adinolfi | ||
Sector Industrials | Industry Tools & Accessories | Full time employees 3886 | Website https://www.hillmangroup.com |
Full time employees 3886 | Website https://www.hillmangroup.com | ||
Hillman Solutions Corp., together with its subsidiaries, provides hardware-related products and related merchandising services in the United States, Canada, Mexico, Latin America, and the Caribbean. The company offers hardware products, including anchor shackles and eye bolts, door hinges and chains, garage doors, safety hasps, gate hooks and latches, magnets, hooks and storage, corner braces and mending plates, and springs; and fasteners, such as anchors, ball bearings, bolts, kits, nails, nuts, pins, rivets, screws, spacers, threaded inserts, tools/brushes, washers, wire hardware, and other accessories. It also provides driveway markers/reflectors, numbers, letters, plaques, signs, stencils, survey and flagging tapes, and safety and caution products; threaded rods, aluminum tubes, and slotted and aluminum angles; wall hangings, including frame hardware, hooks, picture hanging, adhesives, mirrors, wires, and wall hanging accessories, as well as picture hanging and tool-free mounting products; face masks, gloves, and glasses; keys and engravings; and electrical, plumbing, and automotive products and accessories. It offers its products under the Power Pro, Hillman, Deck Plus, Fas-n-Tite, Hardware Essentials, Durasteel, Steelworks, OOK, Distinctions, AWP, Quick Tag, Keykrafter, Digz, High & Mighty, True Grip, Firm Grip, Ozco, Borefast, Gorilla Grip, Soft Scrub, Ajustlock, Timber-Tite, and Axxess+ brand names. The company sells its products to hardware stores, home centers, mass merchants, pet supply stores, industrial distributors, automotive aftermarket distributors, and other retail outlets, as well as industrial original equipment manufacturers. Hillman Solutions Corp. was founded in 1964 and is headquartered in Forest Park, Ohio.
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