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HLMN logo HLMN
Upturn stock rating
HLMN logo

Hillman Solutions Corp (HLMN)

Upturn stock rating
$9.74
Last Close (24-hour delay)
upturn advisory
PASS
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  • SELL Advisory (Profit)​
  • SELL Advisory (Loss)​
  • Profit
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Upturn Stock info Stock price based on last close
*as per simulation
(see disclosures)
Time period over
  • ALL
  • YEAR
  • MONTH
  • WEEK

Upturn Advisory Summary

10/24/2025: HLMN (1-star) is currently NOT-A-BUY. Pass it for now.

Upturn Star Rating

rating

Not Recommended Performance

These Stocks/ETFs, based on Upturn Advisory, consistently fall short of market performance, signaling caution before investing.

Number of Analysts

rating

8 Analysts rated it

Limited analyst coverage, niche firm, research info may be scarce.

1 Year Target Price $12.38

1 Year Target Price $12.38

Analysts Price Target For last 52 week
$12.38 Target price
52w Low $6.55
Current$9.74
52w High $12.08

Analysis of Past Performance

Type Stock
Historic Profit 37.26%
Avg. Invested days 74
Today’s Advisory PASS
Upturn Star Rating upturn star rating icon
Upturn Advisory Performance Upturn Advisory Performance 4.0
Stock Returns Performance Upturn Returns Performance 3.0
Upturn Profits based on simulation Profits based on simulation
Upturn Profits based on simulation Last Close 10/24/2025

Key Highlights

Company Size Small-Cap Stock
Market Capitalization 1.93B USD
Price to earnings Ratio 88.55
1Y Target Price 12.38
Price to earnings Ratio 88.55
1Y Target Price 12.38
Volume (30-day avg) 8
Beta 1.64
52 Weeks Range 6.55 - 12.08
Updated Date 10/26/2025
52 Weeks Range 6.55 - 12.08
Updated Date 10/26/2025
Dividends yield (FY) -
Basic EPS (TTM) 0.11

Analyzing Revenue: Products, Geography and Growth

Revenue by Products

Product revenue - Year on Year

Earnings Date

Report Date 2025-10-30
When -
Estimate 0.2035
Actual -

Profitability

Profit Margin 1.44%
Operating Margin (TTM) 8.96%

Management Effectiveness

Return on Assets (TTM) 2.56%
Return on Equity (TTM) 1.83%

Valuation

Trailing PE 88.55
Forward PE 14.77
Enterprise Value 2553664301
Price to Sales(TTM) 1.28
Enterprise Value 2553664301
Price to Sales(TTM) 1.28
Enterprise Value to Revenue 1.7
Enterprise Value to EBITDA 11.19
Shares Outstanding 197639225
Shares Floating 195664809
Shares Outstanding 197639225
Shares Floating 195664809
Percent Insiders 0.99
Percent Institutions 103.08

ai summary icon Upturn AI SWOT

Hillman Solutions Corp

stock logo

Company Overview

overview logo History and Background

Hillman Solutions Corp was founded in 1964. Initially focused on fasteners, it has expanded through acquisitions and organic growth to offer a broader range of hardware solutions. The company went public via SPAC in 2021.

business area logo Core Business Areas

  • Fasteners: Provides a wide array of fasteners, including nuts, bolts, screws, and related products for various applications.
  • Home Solutions: Offers home organization, mailboxes, picture hanging and home decor products.
  • Protective Solutions: Supplies personal protective equipment (PPE) such as gloves, masks, and safety glasses
  • Robotics & Digital Solutions: Focuses on robotics and digital inventory management solutions for retail environments.

leadership logo Leadership and Structure

Doug Cahill serves as Chairman and CEO. The company has a traditional corporate structure with executive leadership overseeing various business units.

Top Products and Market Share

overview logo Key Offerings

  • Fasteners: A comprehensive range of fasteners representing a significant portion of revenue. Competitors include Fastenal (FAST), W.W. Grainger (GWW), and other regional distributors. No publicly available specific market share data.
  • Key Cutting and Locksmithing Solutions: Provides key duplication services and related products. Competitors include Minute Key and traditional locksmiths. No publicly available specific market share data.
  • Personal Protective Equipment (PPE): Offers protective gear such as gloves, masks and other protective equipment. Competitors include 3M (MMM) and Honeywell (HON). No publicly available specific market share data.

Market Dynamics

industry overview logo Industry Overview

The market is characterized by demand for fasteners, home solutions, and PPE products. It is influenced by construction activity, retail sales, and regulatory standards. Inventory management solutions are increasingly important.

Positioning

Hillman Solutions Corp is a leading provider of hardware solutions, with a strong presence in retail channels. Their competitive advantage lies in their breadth of product offerings and established distribution network.

Total Addressable Market (TAM)

The total addressable market is estimated to be in the billions of dollars, encompassing fasteners, home organization, and PPE. Hillman captures a portion through various distribution channels.

Upturn SWOT Analysis

Strengths

  • Broad product portfolio
  • Extensive distribution network
  • Strong relationships with major retailers
  • Established brand reputation

Weaknesses

  • Dependence on retail channel
  • Exposure to commodity price fluctuations
  • Integration challenges from acquisitions
  • Debt burden

Opportunities

  • Expansion into new markets
  • Development of innovative products
  • Growth in e-commerce
  • Further acquisitions to expand product offerings

Threats

  • Economic downturn affecting construction and retail
  • Increased competition from online retailers
  • Fluctuations in raw material costs
  • Supply chain disruptions

Competitors and Market Share

competitor logo Key Competitors

  • FAST
  • GWW
  • HD
  • LOW

Competitive Landscape

Hillman Solutions Corp competes with a mix of large industrial distributors and smaller specialized players. Their competitive advantage lies in their comprehensive product offerings and strong relationships with retailers.

Major Acquisitions

Big Time Products

  • Year: 2021
  • Acquisition Price (USD millions): 271
  • Strategic Rationale: Expanded Hillman's presence in the home solutions category.

Growth Trajectory and Initiatives

Historical Growth: Growth has been driven by organic expansion and strategic acquisitions.

Future Projections: Future growth is expected to be driven by product innovation, market expansion, and acquisitions.

Recent Initiatives: Recent initiatives include expanding their robotics and digital solutions offerings and investing in new product development.

Summary

Hillman Solutions Corp is a leading provider of hardware solutions with a diversified product portfolio and extensive distribution network. While their reliance on retail channels and exposure to commodity prices present challenges, strategic acquisitions and expansion into new markets provide growth opportunities. Maintaining a strong balance sheet and managing supply chain risks will be crucial for long-term success. The company has good market share and also carries a heavy debt load.

Peer Comparison

Sources and Disclaimers

Data Sources:

  • Company SEC Filings
  • Industry Reports
  • Market Research Reports
  • Analyst Estimates

Disclaimers:

This analysis is based on available information and is not financial advice. Market conditions and company performance can change. Conduct your own due diligence before making investment decisions.

Upturn AI Summarization AI Summarization is directionally correct and might not be accurate.

Upturn AI Summarization Summarized information shown could be a few years old and not current.

Upturn AI Summarization Fundamental Rating based on AI could be based on old data.

Upturn AI Summarization AI-generated summaries may have inaccuracies (hallucinations). Please verify the information before taking action.

About Hillman Solutions Corp

Exchange NASDAQ
Headquaters Forest Park, OH, United States
IPO Launch date 2021-07-15
President, CEO & Director Mr. Jon Michael Adinolfi
Sector Industrials
Industry Tools & Accessories
Full time employees 3886
Full time employees 3886

Hillman Solutions Corp., together with its subsidiaries, provides hardware-related products and related merchandising services in the United States, Canada, Mexico, Latin America, and the Caribbean. The company offers hardware products, including anchor shackles and eye bolts, door hinges and chains, garage doors, safety hasps, gate hooks and latches, magnets, hooks and storage, corner braces and mending plates, and springs; and fasteners, such as anchors, ball bearings, bolts, kits, nails, nuts, pins, rivets, screws, spacers, threaded inserts, tools/brushes, washers, wire hardware, and other accessories. It also provides driveway markers/reflectors, numbers, letters, plaques, signs, stencils, survey and flagging tapes, and safety and caution products; threaded rods, aluminum tubes, and slotted and aluminum angles; wall hangings, including frame hardware, hooks, picture hanging, adhesives, mirrors, wires, and wall hanging accessories, as well as picture hanging and tool-free mounting products; face masks, gloves, and glasses; keys and engravings; and electrical, plumbing, and automotive products and accessories. It offers its products under the Power Pro, Hillman, Deck Plus, Fas-n-Tite, Hardware Essentials, Durasteel, Steelworks, OOK, Distinctions, AWP, Quick Tag, Keykrafter, Digz, High & Mighty, True Grip, Firm Grip, Ozco, Borefast, Gorilla Grip, Soft Scrub, Ajustlock, Timber-Tite, and Axxess+ brand names. The company sells its products to hardware stores, home centers, mass merchants, pet supply stores, industrial distributors, automotive aftermarket distributors, and other retail outlets, as well as industrial original equipment manufacturers. Hillman Solutions Corp. was founded in 1964 and is headquartered in Forest Park, Ohio.