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HLMN
Upturn stock ratingUpturn stock rating

Hillman Solutions Corp (HLMN)

Upturn stock ratingUpturn stock rating
$7.62
Last Close (24-hour delay)
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PASS
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Upturn Stock infoUpturn Stock info Stock price based on last close
*as per simulation
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Time period over
  • ALL
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Upturn Advisory Summary

07/03/2025: HLMN (2-star) is currently NOT-A-BUY. Pass it for now.

Upturn Star Rating

rating

Below Average Performance

These Stocks/ETFs, based on Upturn Advisory, often underperform the market, warranting careful consideration before investing.

Number of Analysts

rating

8 Analysts rated it

Limited analyst coverage, niche firm, research info may be scarce.

1 Year Target Price $10.86

1 Year Target Price $10.86

Analysts Price Target For last 52 week
$10.86 Target price
52w Low $6.55
Current$7.62
52w High $12.08

Analysis of Past Performance

Type Stock
Historic Profit 21.47%
Avg. Invested days 83
Today’s Advisory PASS
Upturn Star Rating Upturn stock ratingUpturn stock rating
Upturn Advisory Performance Upturn Advisory Performance 4.0
Stock Returns Performance Upturn Returns Performance 3.0
Upturn Profits based on simulationUpturn Profits based on simulation Profits based on simulation
Upturn Profits based on simulationUpturn Profits based on simulation Last Close 07/03/2025

Key Highlights

Company Size Small-Cap Stock
Market Capitalization 1.51B USD
Price to earnings Ratio 76.2
1Y Target Price 10.86
Price to earnings Ratio 76.2
1Y Target Price 10.86
Volume (30-day avg) 8
Beta 1.67
52 Weeks Range 6.55 - 12.08
Updated Date 07/4/2025
52 Weeks Range 6.55 - 12.08
Updated Date 07/4/2025
Dividends yield (FY) -
Basic EPS (TTM) 0.1

Analyzing Revenue: Products, Geography and Growth

Revenue by Products

Product revenue - Year on Year

Revenue by Geography

Geography revenue - Year on Year

Earnings Date

Report Date -
When -
Estimate -
Actual -

Profitability

Profit Margin 1.24%
Operating Margin (TTM) 4.12%

Management Effectiveness

Return on Assets (TTM) 2.48%
Return on Equity (TTM) 1.57%

Valuation

Trailing PE 76.2
Forward PE 14.37
Enterprise Value 2280004326
Price to Sales(TTM) 1.02
Enterprise Value 2280004326
Price to Sales(TTM) 1.02
Enterprise Value to Revenue 1.54
Enterprise Value to EBITDA 10.37
Shares Outstanding 197508992
Shares Floating 195549288
Shares Outstanding 197508992
Shares Floating 195549288
Percent Insiders 0.99
Percent Institutions 104.15

ai summary icon Upturn AI SWOT

Hillman Solutions Corp

stock logo

Company Overview

overview logo History and Background

Hillman Solutions Corp was founded in 1964. It initially focused on fasteners and over time expanded through acquisitions and organic growth into a broader range of home improvement products and services.

business area logo Core Business Areas

  • Retail Solutions: Provides a wide range of fasteners, hardware, and related products to retailers, primarily in the home improvement and hardware channels.
  • Robotics & Digital Solutions: Offers robotic and digital solutions for product fulfillment, merchandising, and inventory management in retail environments. Also offers security solutions.

leadership logo Leadership and Structure

Doug Cahill is the CEO. The company has a traditional corporate structure with various functional departments reporting to the executive leadership team.

Top Products and Market Share

overview logo Key Offerings

  • Fasteners (Nuts, Bolts, Screws): Standard and specialty fasteners for various applications. Hillman has a significant market share in the retail fastener market, estimated to be around 20-25%. Competitors include Apex Tool Group and other smaller fastener manufacturers. Revenue from fasteners is estimated at 60% of total revenue.
  • Key Cutting and Lock Services: Key duplication services and lock hardware. Estimated market share for key cutting is around 15-20% through retail partnerships. Competitors include Minute Key and other key service providers.
  • Robotic Solutions: Robotic kiosks that improve retail efficiency and offer security products to make retail stores safer. Market share in robotics is small but growing. Primary competitor is Badger Technologies and other robotics providers.

Market Dynamics

industry overview logo Industry Overview

The home improvement market is influenced by housing market conditions, consumer spending, and DIY trends. The industrial fastener market correlates with manufacturing activity. The security sector is being driven by AI adoption in retail stores.

Positioning

Hillman is a well-established supplier to major retailers like Home Depot and Lowe's, with a strong presence in fasteners and related hardware. The company is differentiating itself through its robotic and digital solutions.

Total Addressable Market (TAM)

The TAM for fasteners and home hardware is estimated at $20 billion globally. Robotics and security solutions represent an additional $5 billion TAM. Hillman is positioned to capture a growing share of these markets through its diverse product portfolio and channel partnerships.

Upturn SWOT Analysis

Strengths

  • Established relationships with major retailers
  • Broad product portfolio
  • Strong brand recognition
  • Growing robotics and digital solutions business
  • Efficient supply chain

Weaknesses

  • Dependence on large retailers
  • Exposure to housing market cycles
  • Competition from lower-cost manufacturers
  • Integration challenges from acquisitions

Opportunities

  • Expansion into new retail channels
  • Further development of robotic and digital solutions
  • Increased demand for home security products
  • International expansion
  • Acquisition of complementary businesses

Threats

  • Economic downturn
  • Increased competition from online retailers
  • Fluctuations in raw material prices
  • Changes in consumer preferences
  • Supply chain disruptions

Competitors and Market Share

competitor logo Key Competitors

  • FAST
  • GRA
  • WCC

Competitive Landscape

Hillmanu2019s strength is its existing channel partnerships but faces competition from smaller, more nimble firms which have been more successful at online market share.

Major Acquisitions

River's Edge

  • Year: 2022
  • Acquisition Price (USD millions): 50
  • Strategic Rationale: Expands Hillman's outdoor product offerings and distribution network.

Growth Trajectory and Initiatives

Historical Growth: Hillman's growth has been driven by organic sales increases and strategic acquisitions.

Future Projections: Analysts project moderate revenue growth over the next few years, driven by continued demand for home improvement products and the expansion of the robotics and digital solutions business.

Recent Initiatives: Recent initiatives include the acquisition of companies in the security and robotics space, as well as investments in new product development and supply chain optimization.

Summary

Hillman Solutions is a stable company with strong retail partnerships. It benefits from the steady demand for home improvement products. It faces competition and is impacted by housing market cycles, but it's growing Robotic and Digital Solutions should help the company grow. Continued innovation and strategic acquisitions will be key to Hillman's future success.

Peer Comparison

Sources and Disclaimers

Data Sources:

  • Company website
  • Industry reports
  • Analyst estimates
  • SEC filings

Disclaimers:

This analysis is based on publicly available information and is not financial advice. Market conditions and company performance are subject to change.

Upturn AI SummarizationUpturn AI Summarization AI Summarization is directionally correct and might not be accurate.

Upturn AI SummarizationUpturn AI Summarization Summarized information shown could be a few years old and not current.

Upturn AI SummarizationUpturn AI Summarization Fundamental Rating based on AI could be based on old data.

Upturn AI SummarizationUpturn AI Summarization AI-generated summaries may have inaccuracies (hallucinations). Please verify the information before taking action.

About Hillman Solutions Corp

Exchange NASDAQ
Headquaters Forest Park, OH, United States
IPO Launch date 2021-07-15
President, CEO & Director Mr. Jon Michael Adinolfi
Sector Industrials
Industry Tools & Accessories
Full time employees 3886
Full time employees 3886

Hillman Solutions Corp., together with its subsidiaries, provides hardware-related products and related merchandising services in the United States, Canada, Mexico, Latin America, and the Caribbean. The company offers hardware products, including anchor shackles and eye bolts, door hinges and chains, garage doors, safety hasps, gate hooks and latches, magnets, hooks and storage, corner braces and mending plates, and springs; and fasteners, such as anchors, ball bearings, bolts, kits, nails, nuts, pins, rivets, screws, spacers, threaded inserts, tools/brushes, washers, wire hardware, and other accessories. It also provides driveway markers/reflectors, numbers, letters, plaques, signs, stencils, survey and flagging tapes, and safety and caution products; threaded rods, aluminum tubes, and slotted and aluminum angles; wall hangings, including frame hardware, hooks, picture hanging, adhesives, mirrors, wires, and wall hanging accessories, as well as picture hanging and tool-free mounting products; face masks, gloves, and glasses; keys and engravings; and electrical, plumbing, and automotive products and accessories. It offers its products under the Power Pro, Hillman, Deck Plus, Fas-n-Tite, Hardware Essentials, Durasteel, Steelworks, OOK, Distinctions, AWP, Quick Tag, Keykrafter, Digz, High & Mighty, True Grip, Firm Grip, Ozco, Borefast, Gorilla Grip, Soft Scrub, Ajustlock, Timber-Tite, and Axxess+ brand names. The company sells its products to hardware stores, home centers, mass merchants, pet supply stores, industrial distributors, automotive aftermarket distributors, and other retail outlets, as well as industrial original equipment manufacturers. Hillman Solutions Corp. was founded in 1964 and is headquartered in Forest Park, Ohio.