MFA official logo MFA
MFA 1-star rating from Upturn Advisory
MFA Financial Inc (MFA) company logo

MFA Financial Inc (MFA)

MFA Financial Inc (MFA) 1-star rating from Upturn Advisory
$9.63
Last Close (24-hour delay)
Profit since last BUY0.84%
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Consider higher Upturn Star rating
BUY since 8 days
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Upturn Advisory Summary

12/10/2025: MFA (1-star) has a low Upturn Star Rating. Not recommended to BUY.

Upturn Star Rating

Upturn 1 star rating for performance

Not Recommended Performance

These Stocks/ETFs, based on Upturn Advisory, consistently fall short of market performance, signaling caution before investing.

Number of Analysts

2 star rating from financial analysts

7 Analysts rated it

Limited analyst coverage, niche firm, research info may be scarce.

1 Year Target Price $14.45

1 Year Target Price $14.45

Analysts Price Target For last 52 week
$14.45 Target price
52w Low $7.27
Current$9.63
52w High $10.17

Analysis of Past Performance

Type Stock
Historic Profit -3.07%
Avg. Invested days 35
Today’s Advisory Consider higher Upturn Star rating
Upturn Star Rating upturn star rating icon
Upturn Advisory Performance Upturn Advisory Performance icon 3.0
Stock Returns Performance Upturn Returns Performance icon 1.0
Upturn Profits based on simulation icon Profits based on simulation
Upturn last close icon Last Close 12/10/2025

Key Highlights

Company Size Small-Cap Stock
Market Capitalization 988.70M USD
Price to earnings Ratio 11.2
1Y Target Price 14.45
Price to earnings Ratio 11.2
1Y Target Price 14.45
Volume (30-day avg) 7
Beta 1.67
52 Weeks Range 7.27 - 10.17
Updated Date 12/11/2025
52 Weeks Range 7.27 - 10.17
Updated Date 12/11/2025
Dividends yield (FY) 14.85%
Basic EPS (TTM) 0.86

Earnings Date

Report Date -
When -
Estimate -
Actual -

Profitability

Profit Margin 46.01%
Operating Margin (TTM) 56.49%

Management Effectiveness

Return on Assets (TTM) 1.1%
Return on Equity (TTM) 6.94%

Valuation

Trailing PE 11.2
Forward PE 6.73
Enterprise Value 10572646400
Price to Sales(TTM) 3.54
Enterprise Value 10572646400
Price to Sales(TTM) 3.54
Enterprise Value to Revenue 30.34
Enterprise Value to EBITDA -
Shares Outstanding 102195703
Shares Floating 100738392
Shares Outstanding 102195703
Shares Floating 100738392
Percent Insiders 0.92
Percent Institutions 56.24

Icon representing Upturn AI-generated SWOT analysis summary Upturn AI SWOT

MFA Financial Inc

MFA Financial Inc(MFA) company logo displayed in Upturn AI summary

Company Overview

Company history and background logo History and Background

MFA Financial, Inc. (MFA) was founded in 2005 and is a real estate investment trust (REIT) that focuses on investing in, and managing, a portfolio of residential mortgages and related assets. It has evolved from an initial focus on agency mortgage-backed securities to include a broader range of credit-sensitive assets, such as non-agency mortgage-backed securities, residential mortgage loans, and servicing rights. MFA aims to generate long-term shareholder value by managing its portfolio to generate consistent dividend income.

Company business area logo Core Business Areas

  • Segment Name 1: Agency Mortgage-Backed Securities (MBS): MFA invests in MBS guaranteed by government-sponsored enterprises (GSEs) like Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac. These are generally considered lower credit risk investments.
  • Segment Name 2: Non-Agency MBS: MFA also invests in MBS that are not guaranteed by government entities, which can offer higher yields but also carry greater credit risk.
  • Segment Name 3: Residential Mortgage Loans: The company directly originates or acquires residential mortgage loans, which can include both performing and non-performing loans.
  • Segment Name 4: Servicing Rights: MFA may acquire mortgage servicing rights (MSRs), which represent the right to collect principal and interest payments on mortgage loans and perform associated servicing functions.

leadership logo Leadership and Structure

MFA Financial, Inc. is externally managed by MFA Management, LLC. The company's operations are overseen by a Board of Directors. Key executive roles include Chief Executive Officer, Chief Financial Officer, and Chief Investment Officer, who are responsible for the strategic direction and day-to-day operations of the company.

Top Products and Market Share

Product Key Offerings logo Key Offerings

  • Product Name 1: Agency MBS: These are the core of MFA's investment strategy. While precise market share for MFA within the vast Agency MBS market is difficult to isolate due to its public nature and high liquidity, it is a significant participant. Competitors include a wide range of institutional investors, hedge funds, and other REITs.
  • Product Name 2: Non-Agency MBS and Residential Mortgage Loans: These offerings cater to investors seeking higher yields. MFA competes with other specialty finance companies, hedge funds, and private equity firms in this space. Market share is highly fragmented and often private.
  • Product Name 3: Mortgage Servicing Rights (MSRs): MFA's involvement in MSRs positions it within the mortgage servicing industry. Competitors include large mortgage servicers and other entities specializing in MSR acquisition.

Market Dynamics

industry overview logo Industry Overview

MFA operates within the mortgage and real estate finance industry, a sector heavily influenced by interest rate movements, housing market conditions, and regulatory changes. The market for mortgage-backed securities and related assets is large and dynamic, driven by the ongoing demand for housing and the securitization of mortgages. The residential mortgage lending market is highly competitive.

Positioning

MFA Financial is positioned as a diversified mortgage REIT with a focus on generating stable income through its investments in residential credit assets. Its competitive advantage lies in its experienced management team, diversified asset portfolio, and ability to adapt to changing market conditions. However, its dependence on interest rate sensitivity and credit risk exposure presents ongoing challenges.

Total Addressable Market (TAM)

The total addressable market for mortgage and real estate finance is vast, encompassing the trillions of dollars in outstanding residential mortgages and mortgage-backed securities globally. MFA's direct TAM is within the US market for the types of assets it invests in. MFA is a participant in specific segments of this broad market, focusing on opportunities within Agency MBS, Non-Agency MBS, and direct lending.

Upturn SWOT Analysis

Strengths

  • Experienced Management Team
  • Diversified Portfolio of Real Estate Credit Assets
  • Ability to Generate Consistent Dividend Income
  • Access to Capital Markets

Weaknesses

  • Sensitivity to Interest Rate Fluctuations
  • Exposure to Credit Risk in Non-Agency Assets
  • Reliance on External Management
  • Potential for Leverage Amplification of Losses

Opportunities

  • Favorable Interest Rate Environments (for certain strategies)
  • Growth in Housing Market
  • Acquisition of Undervalued Assets
  • Expansion into New Credit-Sensitive Asset Classes

Threats

  • Rising Interest Rates (increasing borrowing costs and decreasing MBS values)
  • Economic Downturns and Housing Market Contractions
  • Increased Competition
  • Changes in Regulatory Environment
  • Inflationary Pressures

Competitors and Market Share

Key competitor logo Key Competitors

  • Annaly Capital Management (NLY)
  • AG Mortgage Investment Trust Inc. (MITT)
  • Chimera Investment Corporation (CIM)
  • Apollo Commercial Real Estate Finance, Inc. (ARI)
  • New Residential Investment Corp. (NRZ)

Competitive Landscape

MFA competes with other mortgage REITs and diversified financial institutions. Its advantages include a specialized focus on residential credit and an experienced management team. Disadvantages can arise from its moderate size compared to some larger peers, potentially limiting economies of scale, and its specific asset allocation which can be more or less advantageous depending on market conditions. Competition for attractive assets is intense.

Growth Trajectory and Initiatives

Historical Growth: MFA's historical growth has been driven by strategic acquisitions of mortgage-related assets and by managing its portfolio to capitalize on market opportunities. Growth in book value per share and dividend payouts are key indicators of historical success. Expansion into non-agency assets has been a significant part of its growth strategy.

Future Projections: Future growth projections for MFA will depend on its ability to navigate a complex interest rate environment, manage credit risk, and identify accretive investment opportunities. Analyst estimates for EPS and book value growth will provide insights into expected future performance, though these are subject to significant uncertainty in the current economic climate.

Recent Initiatives: Recent initiatives likely focus on optimizing its portfolio allocation between agency and non-agency assets, managing its leverage effectively, and potentially exploring new investment strategies to enhance returns and mitigate risks in a changing interest rate landscape.

Summary

MFA Financial Inc is a diversified mortgage REIT with a strong history of dividend payments. Its core strength lies in its experienced management and diversified portfolio of residential credit assets. However, it faces significant threats from interest rate volatility and credit risk. Its future success hinges on its ability to prudently manage leverage and adapt its investment strategy to evolving market conditions, while competitors like Annaly and NRZ hold larger market shares.

Similar Stocks

Sources and Disclaimers

Data Sources:

  • Company's Investor Relations Website
  • SEC Filings (10-K, 10-Q)
  • Financial Data Providers (e.g., Bloomberg, Refinitiv - for market data and competitor information)
  • Industry Research Reports

Disclaimers:

This analysis is based on publicly available information and is for informational purposes only. It does not constitute investment advice. Financial data and market share figures are estimates and subject to change. Investors should conduct their own due diligence before making any investment decisions.

Information icon for Upturn AI Summarization accuracy disclaimer AI Summarization is directionally correct and might not be accurate.

Information icon for Upturn AI Summarization data freshness disclaimer Summarized information shown could be a few years old and not current.

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About MFA Financial Inc

Exchange NYSE
Headquaters New York, NY, United States
IPO Launch date 1998-04-13
CEO & Director Mr. Craig L. Knutson
Sector Real Estate
Industry REIT - Mortgage
Full time employees 348
Full time employees 348

MFA Financial, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, operates as a real estate investment trust in the United States. It invests in residential mortgage securities, including non-agency mortgage-backed securities, agency MBS, and credit risk transfer securities; residential whole loans, including purchased performing loans, purchased credit deteriorated, and non-performing loans; and mortgage servicing rights related assets. The company qualifies as a real estate investment trust for federal income tax purposes. It generally would not be subject to federal corporate income taxes if it distributes at least 90% of its taxable income to its stockholders. MFA Financial, Inc. was incorporated in 1997 and is based in New York, New York.