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Post Holdings Inc(POST)
Advisory History & Simulated Performance *
*as per simulation (see disclosures)- ALL
- 1Y
- 1M
- 1W
- BUY Advisory
- SELL Advisory (Profit)
- SELL Advisory (Loss)
- Profit
- Loss
- PASS (Skip)
Stock price based on last close Advisory Performance History (Simulated)
Upturn Advisory & Investor View for POST
10/09/2026: POST (1-star) is currently NOT-A-BUY. Pass it for now.
Post Holdings is a consumer-packaged goods company that has transformed from a pure-play cereal producer into a diversified holding company through aggressive acquisitions. Its strengths lie in its operational focus and ability to manage a wide portfolio ranging from refrigerated foods to pet products. The primary investment story revolves around this inorganic growth strategy and potential margin expansion in newer segments like pet food. However, investors must consider the risks posed by significant debt levels, intense competition from legacy food giants, and commodity price volatility. The stock may best suit growth-oriented investors comfortable with M&A-driven strategy, though it lacks the dividend income sought by traditional staples investors.
How to Read the Upturn Advisory
The Upturn Star Rating and the current BUY, SELL, or PASS advisory are generated by Upturn’s AI advisory engine based on proprietary signal analysis, price behavior, advisory history, and historical signal performance.
Company fundamentals, valuation, risks, and news provide supporting context about the business.
Investor Fit
| Investor style | Fit | Why |
|---|---|---|
| Growth investor | Mixed fit | Post grows primarily through M&A, offering inorganic growth potential rather than steady organic expansion. |
| Momentum investor | Strong fit while signal remains positive | The stock can exhibit strong price action following successful acquisition announcements or earnings surprises. |
| Value investor | Strong fit | Post is often priced at reasonable multiples compared to broader consumer staples, reflecting its debt profile. |
| Dividend investor | Weak fit | Post does not pay a dividend, making it unsuitable for income-focused portfolios. |
| Low-risk investor | Mixed fit | While consumer staples are generally defensive, Post's debt levels introduce higher volatility than typical sector peers. |
Risk Profile
| Risk factor | Level | Why it matters |
|---|---|---|
| Price volatility | Medium / high | The stock price is susceptible to swings based on acquisition news, debt sentiment, and sector rotations. |
| Valuation risk | Medium | Overpaying for acquisitions is a recurring risk that could impair long-term capital allocation efficiency. |
| Competition risk (packaged food incumbents) | High | Intense competition from massive rivals like General Mills limits pricing power and market share gains. |
| Business quality | Medium | Post maintains stable cash flows, but its reliance on debt and commoditized markets tempers long-term quality scores. |
| Dividend income | Low / none | Investors receive zero income from dividends, relying entirely on capital appreciation. |
| Execution risk | Medium / high | The company's growth strategy depends heavily on its ability to integrate diverse businesses successfully. |
Price Behavior
Steep Decline
The stock price has dropped sharply with strong downward pressure.
Moderately Choppy
The stock has experienced noticeable price swings while retaining some directional structure.
Analysis of Past Performance
Type Stock | Historic Profit -14.16% | Avg. Invested days 40 | Today’s Advisory PASS |
Upturn Advisory Rating  | Upturn Advisory Performance  2.0 | Stock Returns Performance  1.0 |
| Profits based on simulation | Last Close 10/09/2026 |
Upturn Scorecard
Upturn Star Rating 
Company Fundamentals
Financial Health Rating
Growth Momentum Score
Ownership
Top 5 Institutional Investors
Unit Economics (Per $1K Revenue)
Economic Dimensions
Quantitative Style Profile
Style Classification
Quality Focused
Key Highlights
Company Size Mid-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 3.26B USD | Price to earnings Ratio 13.5 | 1Y Target Price 104 |
Price to earnings Ratio 13.5 | 1Y Target Price 104 | ||
Volume (30-day avg) 905.6K shares | Beta 0.32 | 52 Weeks Range 71.45 - 117.28 | Updated Date 10/09/2026 |
52 Weeks Range 71.45 - 117.28 | Updated Date 10/09/2026 | ||
Dividends yield (FY) - | Basic EPS (TTM) 5.5 |
How Company Makes Money
| Business area | What it includes | Retail investor read |
|---|---|---|
| Post Consumer Brands | Ready-to-eat cereals like Honey Bunches of Oats and Pebbles. | This is a stable, cash-generative segment focusing on breakfast staple products. |
| Refrigerated Retail | Bob Evans side dishes and egg products sold in retail stores. | A key growth area focusing on the trend toward convenience in refrigerated grocery aisles. |
| Pet Food | Rachael Ray Nutrish and private-label pet foods. | This segment is a high-growth priority meant to capitalize on pet ownership trends. |
| Foodservice | Egg and potato products for restaurants and food distributors. | This business provides essential B2B volume with margins tied to food service demand. |
Analyzing Revenue: Products, Geography and Growth
Revenue by Products
Product revenue - Year on Year
Valuation
Trailing PE 13.5 | Forward PE 28.25 | Enterprise Value 10.80B | Price to Sales(TTM) 0.39 |
Enterprise Value 10.80B | Price to Sales(TTM) 0.39 | ||
Enterprise Value to Revenue 1.28 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA 7.81 | Shares Outstanding 43.96M | Shares Floating 34.44M |
Shares Outstanding 43.96M | Shares Floating 34.44M | ||
Percent Insiders 15.8 | Percent Institutions 104.82 |
Financial Metrics
🧭 Investment Snapshot
Total Revenue (Scale)
Total money earned from selling products or services before any costs. It is needed to understand the scale of the business and its ability to generate income.
Net Income (Profit)
Final profit after all expenses, interest, and taxes are deducted. It is needed to determine the overall profitability available to shareholders.
Free Cash Flow (Cash Strength)
Cash remaining after operating activities and capital expenditures, showing cash available for growth. It is needed to evaluate the company’s ability to invest, pay dividends, or reduce debt.
📈 Growth & Strength
Operating Income (Core Profit)
Profit from core operations after deducting all operating expenses. It is needed to measure how efficiently the company runs its primary business activities.
EBITDA (Cash Earnings)
Earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization, indicating operating cash potential. It is needed to compare operating performance across companies without accounting or financing differences.
Gross Profit (Unit Profitability)
Revenue minus cost of revenue, showing profit after direct production costs. It is needed to evaluate core business profitability before overhead expenses.
🛡️ Financial Safety
Cash (Liquidity Buffer)
Total cash and cash equivalents on hand. It is needed to evaluate immediate liquidity and financial flexibility.
Total Debt (Leverage Risk)
Total debt including both short-term and long-term components. It is needed to assess the company’s leverage and financial risk.
Net Working Capital (Short-Term Health)
Current assets minus current liabilities, indicating short-term liquidity strength. It is needed to assess whether the company can meet its short-term obligations.
🧱 Balance Sheet Strength
Stockholder Equity (Net Worth)
Total equity value held by shareholders. It is needed to understand the net worth of the company from the owners’ perspective.
Total Assets (Asset Base)
The full value of everything the company owns, including cash, inventory, equipment, and investments. It is needed to understand the resource base used to generate revenue.
Income Before Tax (Pre-Tax Earnings)
Income before provision for income taxes. It is needed to analyze profitability independent of tax structures.
⚙️ Cost & Drag Factors
Cost of Revenue (Production Cost)
Direct costs required to produce and deliver the products or services sold. It is needed to assess efficiency in production and service delivery.
Total Operating Expenses (Operating Cost)
Indirect costs of running the business such as salaries, marketing, and administration. It is needed to understand how much it costs to sustain ongoing business operations.
Income Tax Expense (Tax Drag)
Amount of taxes paid or payable to the government. It is needed to evaluate the impact of taxation on overall profitability.
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