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POST 
Post Holdings Inc (POST)
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Upturn Advisory Summary
12/10/2025: POST (1-star) is currently NOT-A-BUY. Pass it for now.
Upturn Star Rating
Not Recommended Performance
These Stocks/ETFs, based on Upturn Advisory, consistently fall short of market performance, signaling caution before investing.
Number of Analysts
11 Analysts rated it
Moderately tracked stock, growing coverage, gaining market and investor attention.
1 Year Target Price $123.22
1 Year Target Price $123.22
| 4 | Strong Buy |
| 3 | Buy |
| 4 | Hold |
| 0 | Sell |
| 0 | Strong Sell |
Analysis of Past Performance
Type Stock | Historic Profit -10.44% | Avg. Invested days 44 | Today’s Advisory PASS |
Upturn Star Rating | Upturn Advisory Performance  2.0 | Stock Returns Performance  1.0 |
| Profits based on simulation | Last Close 12/10/2025 |
Key Highlights
Company Size Mid-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 5.25B USD | Price to earnings Ratio 17.54 | 1Y Target Price 123.22 |
Price to earnings Ratio 17.54 | 1Y Target Price 123.22 | ||
Volume (30-day avg) 11 | Beta 0.39 | 52 Weeks Range 95.07 - 125.84 | Updated Date 12/10/2025 |
52 Weeks Range 95.07 - 125.84 | Updated Date 12/10/2025 | ||
Dividends yield (FY) - | Basic EPS (TTM) 5.51 |
Analyzing Revenue: Products, Geography and Growth
Revenue by Products
Product revenue - Year on Year
Earnings Date
Report Date 2025-11-20 | When After Market | Estimate 1.88 | Actual 2.09 |
Profitability
Profit Margin 4.11% | Operating Margin (TTM) 9.09% |
Management Effectiveness
Return on Assets (TTM) 4.03% | Return on Equity (TTM) 8.54% |
Valuation
Trailing PE 17.54 | Forward PE 28.74 | Enterprise Value 12564861226 | Price to Sales(TTM) 0.64 |
Enterprise Value 12564861226 | Price to Sales(TTM) 0.64 | ||
Enterprise Value to Revenue 1.54 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA 9.46 | Shares Outstanding 52154798 | Shares Floating 41678985 |
Shares Outstanding 52154798 | Shares Floating 41678985 | ||
Percent Insiders 12.78 | Percent Institutions 96.96 |
Upturn AI SWOT
Post Holdings Inc
Company Overview
History and Background
Post Holdings, Inc. was founded in 2012 as a spin-off from Ralston Purina. It quickly established itself as a diversified food company through a series of strategic acquisitions, focusing on both branded and private label products. Key milestones include the acquisition of Ralston's ready-to-eat cereal business, the purchase of Michael Foods in 2014, and the significant acquisition of Bob Evans Farms in 2017, expanding its portfolio into refrigerated prepared foods. Post Holdings has continued to refine its portfolio, divesting non-core assets and focusing on growth areas within the food industry.
Core Business Areas
- Ready-to-Eat Cereal: This segment encompasses a wide range of popular breakfast cereal brands, both branded and private label. It includes iconic names and caters to diverse consumer preferences.
- Refrigerated Foods: This segment primarily consists of Michael Foods, offering a variety of egg products, cheese, and potato-based side dishes. Bob Evans Farms also falls under this umbrella, contributing prepared meals and side dishes.
- Active Nutrition: This segment focuses on protein-rich products, including powders, bars, and ready-to-drink beverages, catering to consumers seeking health and wellness solutions. Brands like Premier Protein are key here.
- Foodservice: This segment provides food products to various foodservice channels, including restaurants, institutions, and industrial clients. It often leverages the company's other manufacturing capabilities.
Leadership and Structure
Post Holdings is led by a seasoned management team with a strong track record in the food industry. Rob Vitale serves as President and CEO. The company operates under a decentralized structure, allowing its various business units to maintain autonomy and focus on their specific markets and brands.
Top Products and Market Share
Key Offerings
- Competitors: Kellogg Company (K), General Mills (GIS), smaller private label manufacturers.
- Description: A diverse portfolio of breakfast cereals targeting various consumer demographics and taste preferences. Post Holdings is a significant player in the US cereal market, though facing competition from larger players and private labels.
- Product Name 1: Ready-to-Eat Cereals (e.g., Honeycomb, Grape-Nuts, Shredded Wheat)
- Competitors: BodyArmor (part of Coca-Cola), Optimum Nutrition (part of Glanbia), various other sports nutrition brands.
- Description: A leading brand in the ready-to-drink protein shake category, popular among health-conscious consumers and those seeking convenient protein sources. This segment has seen strong growth.
- Product Name 2: Premier Protein Shakes
- Competitors: Southeastern Mills, Kraft Heinz (for some sides), various regional and national egg processors.
- Description: A significant provider of processed egg products (liquid, frozen, dried) and refrigerated potato-based side dishes for both foodservice and retail channels.
- Product Name 3: Michael Foods Egg Products & Potato Sides
- Competitors: Nestlu00e9 (for some prepared meals), private label brands, other refrigerated meal component manufacturers.
- Description: Popular line of prepared, refrigerated side dishes such as mashed potatoes, macaroni and cheese, and stuffing, primarily for the retail grocery market.
- Product Name 4: Bob Evans Refrigerated Side Dishes
Market Dynamics
Industry Overview
Post Holdings operates within the highly competitive and mature U.S. food industry, which is characterized by evolving consumer preferences towards healthier options, convenience, and value. The cereal segment faces declining volumes but remains a significant category. The refrigerated and active nutrition segments are generally experiencing more robust growth.
Positioning
Post Holdings has carved out a strong position by acquiring and integrating well-known brands and expanding into high-growth categories like active nutrition and refrigerated foods. Its diversified portfolio provides some resilience against downturns in any single segment. The company's strategy of strategic acquisitions and divestitures allows it to adapt to market shifts and focus on profitable areas.
Total Addressable Market (TAM)
The TAM for Post Holdings is substantial, encompassing the vast U.S. food market, which is valued in hundreds of billions of dollars. Specifically, the ready-to-eat cereal market is in the tens of billions, refrigerated foods are in the hundreds of billions, and the protein and health supplements market is growing rapidly into the tens of billions. Post Holdings is a significant player in its specific niches within these broader markets, aiming to capture a meaningful share through its diverse brand portfolio and strategic acquisitions.
Upturn SWOT Analysis
Strengths
- Diversified Brand Portfolio
- Strong Presence in Growth Segments (Active Nutrition)
- Acquisition Expertise and Track Record
- Established Distribution Networks
- Experienced Management Team
Weaknesses
- Dependence on Cereal Segment Performance (historically)
- Integration challenges with recent acquisitions
- Sensitivity to commodity price fluctuations
- Brand perception challenges in some mature categories
Opportunities
- Expansion of Active Nutrition product lines
- Further penetration into health-conscious consumer segments
- Leveraging private label growth
- International market expansion
- Innovation in convenient and healthy food options
Threats
- Intensifying competition from established players and private labels
- Shifting consumer preferences away from traditional processed foods
- Rising ingredient and packaging costs
- Potential for economic downturn impacting consumer spending
- Regulatory changes in food labeling and safety
Competitors and Market Share
Key Competitors
- General Mills (GIS)
- Kellogg Company (K)
- Conagra Brands (CAG)
- Hormel Foods Corporation (HRL)
Competitive Landscape
Post Holdings competes with large, established food conglomerates and numerous smaller, specialized companies. Its strengths lie in its agility in acquisitions and its strong position in specific niches like protein shakes. However, it faces intense competition in more mature categories like traditional cereals where brand loyalty and marketing spend are critical. Innovation and efficient operations are key differentiators.
Major Acquisitions
Bob Evans Farms
- Year: 2017
- Acquisition Price (USD millions): 1650
- Strategic Rationale: Acquisition aimed to significantly expand Post Holdings' presence in the refrigerated prepared foods market, adding well-established brands and distribution channels. It diversified the company's revenue streams beyond cereal.
Michael Foods
- Year: 2014
- Acquisition Price (USD millions): 2450
- Strategic Rationale: This acquisition was transformative, adding a leading producer of value-added egg products and refrigerated side dishes. It created a significant platform for the Refrigerated Foods segment and offered substantial synergy opportunities.
Active Nutrition Brands (including Premier Protein)
- Year:
- Acquisition Price (USD millions):
- Strategic Rationale: Through various acquisitions and organic growth, Post Holdings has built a dominant position in the active nutrition space, capitalizing on the growing consumer demand for protein and health-focused products.
Growth Trajectory and Initiatives
Historical Growth: Post Holdings has experienced substantial growth primarily through strategic acquisitions, expanding its product offerings and market reach significantly since its inception. Organic growth has been more modest in some segments, but strong performance in areas like active nutrition has been a key driver.
Future Projections: Analyst projections generally anticipate continued revenue growth, supported by ongoing demand in the active nutrition and refrigerated food segments. Profitability is expected to improve as integration of acquired businesses matures and cost synergies are realized. Focus on higher-margin products and operational efficiencies is likely to drive future earnings per share.
Recent Initiatives: Post Holdings has been actively managing its portfolio, including the spin-off of its Attune Foods business and continued investment in its higher-growth segments. The company is also focused on optimizing its supply chain and operational efficiency across its various brands.
Summary
Post Holdings Inc. is a diversified food company with a strong growth strategy driven by strategic acquisitions, particularly in the active nutrition and refrigerated foods segments. Its established brands and expanding portfolio provide resilience, but it faces intense competition and evolving consumer preferences. The company needs to continue to innovate and optimize its operations to maintain its growth trajectory and profitability.
Similar Stocks
Sources and Disclaimers
Data Sources:
- Post Holdings Inc. Investor Relations
- SEC Filings (10-K, 10-Q)
- Financial News Outlets (e.g., Bloomberg, Reuters, Wall Street Journal)
- Market Research Reports (e.g., Statista, Euromonitor)
Disclaimers:
This analysis is based on publicly available information and is intended for informational purposes only. It does not constitute financial advice. Numerical data may be rounded for brevity. Market share percentages are estimates and can fluctuate. Historical financial data and projections should be independently verified.
AI Summarization is directionally correct and might not be accurate.
Summarized information shown could be a few years old and not current.
Fundamental Rating based on AI could be based on old data.
AI-generated summaries may have inaccuracies (hallucinations). Please verify the information before taking action.
About Post Holdings Inc
Exchange NYSE | Headquaters Saint Louis, MO, United States | ||
IPO Launch date 2012-01-27 | President, CEO & Director Mr. Robert V. Vitale | ||
Sector Consumer Defensive | Industry Packaged Foods | Full time employees 13180 | Website https://www.postholdings.com |
Full time employees 13180 | Website https://www.postholdings.com | ||
Post Holdings, Inc. operates as a consumer packaged goods holding company in the United States and internationally. It operates through Post Consumer Brands, Weetabix, Foodservice, and Refrigerated Retail segments. The Post Consumer Brands segment manufactures, markets, and sells branded and private label ready-to-eat (RTE) cereals under Honey Bunches of Oats, Pebbles, and Malt-O-Meal brands; hot cereal; peanut butter under the Peter Pan brand; and branded and private label pet food under Rachael Ray Nutrish, Nature's Recipe, 9Lives, Kibbles 'n Bits and Gravy Train brands. The Weetabix segment manufactures, markets, and distributes branded and private label RTE cereal under Weetabix and Alpen brands; hot cereals and other cereal-based food products; private label cereals; and protein-based shakes under the UFIT brand, and nutritional snacks. The Foodservice segment produces and distributes egg products primarily under Papetti's and Abbotsford Farms brands, as well as potato products in the foodservice and food ingredient channels. The segment also manufactures certain meat products. The Refrigerated Retail segment produces and distributes side dish, potato, sausage products under Bob Evans, Bob Evans Farms, and Simply Potatoes brands; eggs and egg products under Bob Evans Egg Whites and Egg Beaters brands; and cheese and other dairy products under Crystal Farms brand. It serves grocery stores, mass merchandise customers, supercenters, club stores, natural/specialty stores, dollar stores, discounters, wholesalers, convenience stores, pet supply retailers, drug store customers, foodservice distributors, and national restaurant chains, as well as sells its products in the military, ecommerce, and foodservice channels. The company was founded in 1895 and is headquartered in Saint Louis, Missouri.
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