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Upturn AI SWOT - About
POST 
Post Holdings Inc (POST)
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Upturn Advisory Summary
07/11/2025: POST (1-star) is currently NOT-A-BUY. Pass it for now.
Upturn Star Rating
Not Recommended Performance
These Stocks/ETFs, based on Upturn Advisory, consistently fall short of market performance, signaling caution before investing.
Number of Analysts
11 Analysts rated it
Moderately tracked stock, growing coverage, gaining market and investor attention.
1 Year Target Price $127.64
1 Year Target Price $127.64
| 4 | Strong Buy |
| 3 | Buy |
| 4 | Hold |
| 0 | Sell |
| 0 | Strong Sell |
Analysis of Past Performance
Type Stock | Historic Profit -0.22% | Avg. Invested days 49 | Today’s Advisory PASS |
Upturn Star Rating | Upturn Advisory Performance  2.0 | Stock Returns Performance  1.0 |
| Profits based on simulation | Last Close 07/11/2025 |
Key Highlights
Company Size Mid-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 6.00B USD | Price to earnings Ratio 19.07 | 1Y Target Price 127.64 |
Price to earnings Ratio 19.07 | 1Y Target Price 127.64 | ||
Volume (30-day avg) 11 | Beta 0.44 | 52 Weeks Range 103.33 - 125.84 | Updated Date 07/11/2025 |
52 Weeks Range 103.33 - 125.84 | Updated Date 07/11/2025 | ||
Dividends yield (FY) - | Basic EPS (TTM) 5.61 |
Analyzing Revenue: Products, Geography and Growth
Revenue by Products
Product revenue - Year on Year
Earnings Date
Report Date - | When - | Estimate - | Actual - |
Profitability
Profit Margin 4.53% | Operating Margin (TTM) 9.84% |
Management Effectiveness
Return on Assets (TTM) 4.05% | Return on Equity (TTM) 9.13% |
Valuation
Trailing PE 19.07 | Forward PE 28.74 | Enterprise Value 12290647064 | Price to Sales(TTM) 0.76 |
Enterprise Value 12290647064 | Price to Sales(TTM) 0.76 | ||
Enterprise Value to Revenue 1.56 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA 9.62 | Shares Outstanding 55718600 | Shares Floating 44950421 |
Shares Outstanding 55718600 | Shares Floating 44950421 | ||
Percent Insiders 11.37 | Percent Institutions 97.07 |
Upturn AI SWOT
Post Holdings Inc
Company Overview
History and Background
Post Holdings, Inc. traces its roots back to the Postum Cereal Company, founded by C.W. Post in 1895. The company evolved through acquisitions and divestitures, including Kraft Foods. In 2012, Ralcorp spun off its Post Foods cereal business as Post Holdings, Inc. Post Holdings has grown significantly through strategic acquisitions in the consumer packaged goods sector, diversifying beyond cereal.
Core Business Areas
- Post Consumer Brands: Manufactures and markets ready-to-eat cereals, including iconic brands like Honey Bunches of Oats, Pebbles, and Great Grains. It is the third largest branded cereal manufacturer in the United States.
- Weetabix: Produces and markets branded and private label cereals, as well as breakfast drinks primarily in the United Kingdom and international markets.
- Refrigerated Retail: Includes brands like Michael Foods (leading producer of refrigerated potato products, shell eggs, and other value-added egg products), Bob Evans Farms (leading producer of refrigerated side dishes and breakfast meats), and Almark Foods (hard-cooked and deviled egg products).
- Foodservice: Offers a broad range of food products to the foodservice industry, including egg products, potato products, and cheese products.
- Convenience: Supplies nutritional and protein bars and supplements under brands such as Premier Protein, Dymatize, and PowerBar.
Leadership and Structure
Robert V. Vitale serves as the President and Chief Executive Officer. The company operates with a decentralized structure, with each segment having its own management team. The corporate leadership provides strategic direction and oversight.
Top Products and Market Share
Key Offerings
- Honey Bunches of Oats: A popular ready-to-eat cereal. Competitors include General Mills' Cheerios and Kellogg's Frosted Flakes. Market share is estimated around 5-7% of the US cereal market, depending on the specific time period.
- Premier Protein: Ready-to-drink protein shakes and bars. Competitors include Abbott's Ensure, Glanbia's Optimum Nutrition, and PepsiCo's Muscle Milk. Market share is estimated around 20-25% of the US protein beverage market.
- Michael Foods Egg Products: Refrigerated egg products. Competitors include Cal-Maine Foods and Rose Acre Farms. This segment does not report product revenues.
Market Dynamics
Industry Overview
The consumer packaged goods (CPG) industry is highly competitive, with established players and evolving consumer preferences. Trends include increasing demand for healthier options, convenience foods, and private label products. The ready-to-eat cereal and protein supplement categories are particularly dynamic.
Positioning
Post Holdings has positioned itself as a diversified CPG company through acquisitions. Its competitive advantage lies in its portfolio of established brands and its ability to generate cost synergies through acquisitions. They actively manage their portfolio, divesting underperforming brands and acquiring growing ones.
Total Addressable Market (TAM)
The total addressable market (TAM) for Post Holdingsu2019 segments is estimated to be several hundred billion dollars across breakfast cereals, protein supplements, refrigerated foods, and foodservice products. Post Holdings, with its ~$7 billion in revenue, has a relatively small share of this massive TAM, indicating significant growth potential.
Upturn SWOT Analysis
Strengths
- Diversified product portfolio
- Strong brand recognition (select brands)
- Experienced management team
- Proven acquisition strategy
- Efficiency gains through cost synergies from acquisitions
Weaknesses
- High debt levels due to acquisitions
- Exposure to commodity price fluctuations
- Integration risks associated with acquisitions
- Dependence on key retail customers
- Some underperforming brands within portfolio
Opportunities
- Further acquisitions in fragmented CPG categories
- Expansion into new geographies
- Innovation in product development (healthier options, convenience)
- Growth in private label market
- Leveraging e-commerce channels
Threats
- Intense competition from established players
- Changing consumer preferences (health trends)
- Economic downturn impacting consumer spending
- Regulatory changes in food labeling and safety
- Disruptions in supply chain and distribution
Competitors and Market Share
Key Competitors
- GIS
- K
- CAG
- HRL
- SJM
Competitive Landscape
Post Holdings competes with larger, more established players in many of its segments. Its advantages include its diversified portfolio and its ability to acquire and integrate companies effectively. Disadvantages include its high debt load and its relative lack of scale compared to some competitors.
Major Acquisitions
Lacka Foods Dairy
- Year: 2023
- Acquisition Price (USD millions): 765
- Strategic Rationale: Expands Michael Foods' presence in the dairy industry and provides access to new products and customers.
Bob Evans Farms
- Year: 2017
- Acquisition Price (USD millions): 1500
- Strategic Rationale: Diversified Post Holdings' portfolio into refrigerated side dishes and breakfast meats, leveraging the Bob Evans brand.
Growth Trajectory and Initiatives
Historical Growth: Post Holdings has experienced significant revenue growth through acquisitions over the past decade. Organic growth has been more modest.
Future Projections: Analyst estimates suggest continued revenue growth driven by acquisitions and organic growth in key segments like protein supplements and refrigerated foods. Profitability is expected to improve as integration synergies are realized.
Recent Initiatives: Recent initiatives include the acquisition of Lacka Foods Dairy, focus on cost reduction initiatives, portfolio optimization through divestitures and continued investments in high-growth segments.
Summary
Post Holdings is a diversified consumer packaged goods company that has grown significantly through strategic acquisitions. Its strengths lie in its diverse portfolio, recognizable brands, and experienced management. Key risks include its high debt levels and integration challenges. Future growth will depend on its ability to continue acquiring and integrating companies successfully, while also driving organic growth in its core segments.
Peer Comparison
Sources and Disclaimers
Data Sources:
- Company Filings
- Analyst Reports
- Market Research Reports
- Company Investor Relations
Disclaimers:
The information provided is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Market conditions and company performance can change rapidly. Please do your own due diligence before making any investment decisions.
AI Summarization is directionally correct and might not be accurate.
Summarized information shown could be a few years old and not current.
Fundamental Rating based on AI could be based on old data.
AI-generated summaries may have inaccuracies (hallucinations). Please verify the information before taking action.
About Post Holdings Inc
Exchange NYSE | Headquaters Saint Louis, MO, United States | ||
IPO Launch date 2012-01-27 | President, CEO & Director Mr. Robert V. Vitale | ||
Sector Consumer Defensive | Industry Packaged Foods | Full time employees 11480 | Website https://www.postholdings.com |
Full time employees 11480 | Website https://www.postholdings.com | ||
Post Holdings, Inc. operates as a consumer packaged goods holding company in the United States and internationally. It operates through four segments: Post Consumer Brands, Weetabix, Foodservice, and Refrigerated Retail. The Post Consumer Brands segment manufactures, markets, and sells branded and private label ready-to-eat (RTE) cereals under Honey Bunches of Oats, Pebbles, and Malt-O-Meal brands; hot cereal; peanut butter under the Peter Pan brand; and branded and private label pet food under Rachael Ray Nutrish, Nature's Recipe, 9Lives, Kibbles 'n Bits and Gravy Train brands. The Weetabix segment manufactures, markets, and distributes branded and private label RTE cereal under Weetabix and Alpen brands; hot cereals and other cereal-based food products; private label cereals; and protein-based shakes under the UFIT brand, and nutritional snacks. The Foodservice segment produces and distributes egg products primarily under Papetti's and Abbotsford Farms brands, as well as potato products in the foodservice and food ingredient channels. The segment also manufactures certain meat products. The Refrigerated Retail segment produces and distributes side dish, potato, sausage products under Bob Evans, Bob Evans Farms, and Simply Potatoes brands; eggs and egg products under Bob Evans Egg Whites and Egg Beaters brands; and cheese and other dairy products under Crystal Farms brand. It serves grocery stores, mass merchandise customers, supercenters, club stores, natural/specialty stores, dollar stores, discounters, wholesalers, convenience stores, pet supply retailers, drug store customers, foodservice distributors, and national restaurant chains, as well as sells its products in the military, ecommerce, and foodservice channels. The company was founded in 1895 and is headquartered in Saint Louis, Missouri.
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